Apt-Passing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$1.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-19 21:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

41% — —

Other

34% 100% +$0

Crypto

24% 100% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	1	$231	231	+231	open	—	06-02 12:47
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$158	173	+173	open	—	05-16 12:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	1	$136	141	+141	open	—	05-20 16:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	1	$62	63	+63	open	—	05-20 17:48
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$61	61	+61	open	—	04-01 12:44
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$60	61	+61	Yes	+$0	05-05 09:55
Citrea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$58	58	+58	open	—	05-27 08:12
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$40	40	+40	Yes	+$0	05-10 07:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$38	38	+38	open	—	05-15 12:54
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$38	38	+38	open	—	05-14 18:30
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$35	35	+35	No	+$1	04-14 13:47
will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	2	$16	17	+17	open	—	07-19 14:31
pltr above 202 on january 30 2026	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	01-24 06:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	04-21 08:04
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	07-04 04:40
will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	2	$8	8	+8	open	—	07-19 21:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	2	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-09 08:56
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-05 23:55
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	02-21 04:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	04-24 02:55
msft above 405 on january 30 2026	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	01-17 03:56
nvda above 250 on january 30 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-08 04:45
aapl above 230 on january 30 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-11 07:10
will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	07-19 16:11
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-10 02:41
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-24 19:05
nvda above 240 on february 27 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	02-23 20:44
nvda above 240 on january 30 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-10 04:36
will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-20 16:57
will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	03-25 07:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:11:33	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xbbec1e…
07-19 16:11:19	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x608a9b…
07-19 14:31:13	will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe6c8bd…
07-16 19:28:34	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x761a8b…
07-12 03:59:28	will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc6d68f…
07-11 14:55:38	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd8d5a8…
07-04 04:40:04	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc59f0b…
06-02 12:47:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0x228359…
05-31 03:21:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x6ae506…
05-27 08:12:09	Citrea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x418475…
05-24 19:05:21	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e8fa7…
05-20 17:48:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x465854…
05-20 16:29:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	141	96¢	$136	0xd0bd04…
05-16 12:02:36	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	91¢	$158	0x2897fb…
05-15 12:54:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$38	0x74c915…
05-14 18:30:01	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x14efbf…
05-13 03:52:26	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb2c949…
05-10 07:03:22	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc5f02f…
05-10 02:41:41	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x184108…
05-09 22:10:15	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1c299f…
05-09 17:32:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3405e1…
05-09 08:56:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x397651…
05-09 04:43:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5b3443…
05-05 19:19:52	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x43c5f2…
05-05 09:55:02	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$60	0xfe993f…
04-26 09:29:20	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x583ded…
04-26 07:31:10	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $140 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd8271b…
04-24 02:55:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf15b82…
04-23 16:06:04	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of April?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x69320e…
04-23 09:40:44	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdfa520…
04-21 08:04:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xce1558…
04-20 14:35:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9fc0fb…
04-18 15:24:32	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $60 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x05a014…
04-18 03:11:54	Will Solana reach $150 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf843ee…
04-17 23:51:26	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5b6bfe…
04-17 15:30:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb0b25…
04-17 13:59:20	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2f53cc…
04-17 11:53:44	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x989e92…
04-16 18:35:32	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbc05fb…
04-16 12:35:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6160f1…
04-14 23:01:56	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9151f0…
04-14 13:47:15	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$35	0xd461a6…
04-14 05:42:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x308762…
04-13 03:37:15	Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd55aad…
04-12 23:06:17	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xea46fb…
04-12 22:04:23	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x91ef0c…
04-12 12:52:31	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $240 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x02af4b…
04-11 12:45:13	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd05f3a…
04-11 08:55:57	Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfe1da4…
04-08 20:32:49	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xff3bb5…
04-08 11:50:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf2280a…
04-01 12:44:19	EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xeb1894…
03-31 16:51:55	msft above 420 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5b0bf4…
03-29 23:11:00	nflx above 80 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf17937…
03-29 05:12:26	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc3250d…
03-28 02:46:57	nvda above 230 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0a7598…
03-27 03:05:35	will openai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2607f4…
03-26 22:23:25	will deepseek have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x51b0eb…
03-26 20:48:05	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb93946…
03-26 17:45:23	nvda above 150 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x966466…
03-26 07:37:49	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5b100c…
03-25 18:01:51	will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc5088f…
03-25 07:28:41	will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x18802a…
03-24 23:59:27	will hyperliquid dip to 24 in march	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x5c17d7…
03-24 23:39:37	pltr above 124 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x457db3…
03-24 22:36:59	nflx above 40 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x93fba9…
03-22 19:41:51	nflx above 160 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2f86c5…
03-21 05:28:27	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdb7c2a…
03-12 08:07:57	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd21cab…
03-11 00:50:35	amzn above 260 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3afc97…
03-10 17:17:41	will chainlink dip to 4 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x318c0e…
03-10 00:39:37	googl above 360 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x898d2a…
03-10 00:19:09	will chainlink dip to 4 in march	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x668337…
03-09 22:37:23	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3cd2c4…
03-09 13:04:05	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f4fb7…
03-09 06:07:23	will meituan have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d7b02…
03-08 08:04:25	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc9aa82…
03-08 05:21:55	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x710aca…
03-07 09:42:21	nvda above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbdf69b…
03-07 08:31:25	googl above 360 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbd51af…
03-07 04:20:21	bank of england decreases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting 876	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x300f54…
03-06 21:38:33	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x837981…
03-06 14:49:53	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37faa2…
03-06 12:11:53	will bnb reach 1100 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x275acb…
03-06 12:06:49	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x5fbb4a…
03-06 01:19:39	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x71abe0…
03-04 12:53:33	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb1d747…
03-04 11:41:13	will baidu have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x500bf9…
03-04 05:13:37	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4edd05…
03-03 16:59:55	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4425a4…
02-24 11:35:22	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6b1785…
02-23 23:09:10	nflx above 0 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc3f2b7…
02-23 20:44:56	nvda above 240 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c40c5…
02-23 17:01:34	msft above 345 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x95569a…
02-23 07:13:18	nvda above 230 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x380c59…
02-21 23:42:30	aapl above 310 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x338de9…
02-21 21:50:58	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x79e9cc…
02-21 04:27:48	will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9ec690…
02-21 04:07:22	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xee0b31…
01-24 06:02:36	pltr above 202 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x19ffef…