Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

38.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$174

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$32

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-17

last 11-13 23:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

56% 50% +$25

Tech

21% 0% -$3

Sports

14% 100% +$6

Politics

9% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	+129	$20	12¢	$15	-$5	11-11 04:53
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+62	$10	16¢	$10	+$0	11-12 14:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+21	$10	19¢	$4	-$6	10-17 23:11
FAA outage attributed to Iran?	Yes	+114	$5	2¢	$2	-$3	11-13 22:53
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 7:00 PM ET?	Yes	+167	$10	0¢	$1	-$9	11-13 23:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 23:12:01	Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 7:00 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xa6ccb1…
11-13 22:54:55	Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 6:00 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	333	2¢	$5	0xa31880…
11-13 22:53:19	FAA outage attributed to Iran?	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0xc99eac…
11-12 14:42:45	Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x55679c…
11-11 04:53:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	16¢	$20	0xa9491e…
11-09 02:16:09	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x34bf2b…
11-09 02:12:06	Buccaneers vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x3a235a…
10-25 15:39:17	Spread: Lions (-10.5)	Packers	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb719de…
10-25 15:38:08	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd441d9…
10-25 15:37:30	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1d350d…
10-25 15:36:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	98	4¢	$4	0xab0eda…
10-25 15:36:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x21b276…
10-25 15:36:36	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	60¢	$28	0x01db29…
10-17 23:14:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0xc01034…
10-17 23:12:48	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x022514…
10-17 23:11:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x691f2e…
10-17 23:10:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc53c2a…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$58	47	47	+0	Yes	-$2	10-25 15:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	1	$20	129	0	+129	open	—	11-11 04:53
Spread: Lions (-10.5)	1	$15	20	0	+20	Packers	+$5	10-25 15:39
Buccaneers vs. Bears	1	$10	11	0	+11	Bears	+$1	11-09 02:12
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	62	0	+62	open	—	11-12 14:42
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 7:00 PM ET?	1	$10	167	0	+167	open	—	11-13 23:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	10-17 23:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$9	98	98	+0	open	—	10-25 15:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$7	23	23	+0	No	-$3	10-25 15:36
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	+$2	10-25 15:37
FAA outage attributed to Iran?	1	$5	114	0	+114	open	—	11-13 22:53
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 6:00 PM ET?	1	$5	333	0	+333	resolved	-$5	11-13 22:54
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?	1	$5	31	0	+31	Yes	+$26	11-09 02:16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	+$2	10-25 15:38