Flippant-Swimsuit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

3.4%

Resolved

133

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$59.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$392

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-10 03:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

33% 72% -$34

Sports

32% 75% +$78

Politics

32% 75% -$3

Crypto

2% 96% -$10

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No		+6	$8	98¢	$6	-$2	05-26 02:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$19.1K	9,581	9,567	+14	No	-$10	02-09 02:35
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$19.1K	9,625	9,623	+2	No	-$10	03-06 10:23
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$19.0K	9,525	9,523	+2	No	-$10	03-06 10:23
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	3	$152	84	78	+6	open	—	05-26 02:37
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$137	224	0	+224	No	+$87	07-14 06:17
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	07-26 08:39
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	07-26 08:39
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	07-26 08:40
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	2	$48	25	23	+2	No	$0	06-20 03:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 11?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	10-10 03:39
Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	09-12 02:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$45	27	27	+0	No	+$1	01-19 01:51
will the us next strike iran on january 16 2026 et 766	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$1	01-19 01:51
Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	07-26 08:40
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$38	20	18	+2	No	$0	03-09 01:21
will solana dip to 20 in august 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	08-22 06:36
will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-09 04:31
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-09 04:31
dota2 vsn2 tr7 2026 08 12	1	$20	22	0	+22	TEAM VISION	+$2	08-13 03:51
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-18 02:08
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-09 04:30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$20	26	0	+26	No	+$6	05-15 06:28
bitcoin above 72k on march 28	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-28 00:55
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 580plus	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-18 02:08
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 240plus	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-18 02:08
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-18 02:08
nba nop hou 2026 01 18	1	$20	20	0	+20	Rockets	+$0	01-19 01:59
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$19	23	0	+23	No	+$4	01-16 08:19
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	02-02 06:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	01-16 08:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 03:39:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x3b185c…
09-12 02:45:16	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xb5858e…
08-22 06:36:19	will solana dip to 20 in august 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x1a1c3c…
08-13 06:17:55	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4d080e…
08-13 06:17:40	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x729ba9…
08-13 06:16:46	dota2 ty huliga 2026 08 13 game handicap away 1pt5	HULIGANI	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0x127461…
08-13 06:16:22	dota2 ty huliga 2026 08 13 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0xcdaf35…
08-13 06:15:52	dota2 ty huliga 2026 08 13 game2	HULIGANI	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x454b6e…
08-13 06:15:33	dota2 ty huliga 2026 08 13 game1	HULIGANI	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xc249e0…
08-13 06:15:13	dota2 ty huliga 2026 08 13	HULIGANI	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x0bbaff…
08-13 06:14:19	dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 08 13 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x7386cd…
08-13 06:13:51	dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 08 13 game handicap away 1pt5	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x9c9d9a…
08-13 06:12:15	dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 08 13 game1	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x27deba…
08-13 06:11:49	dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 08 13 game2	Team Spirit	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x5ba77b…
08-13 06:10:51	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf22783…
08-13 05:10:00	dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 08 13	Team Spirit	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x6569d8…
08-13 05:06:07	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0x48b86a…
08-13 05:05:18	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game handicap away 1pt5	Aurora	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x10ff91…
08-13 05:04:36	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game2	GamerLegion	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x5d6a56…
08-13 05:04:15	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game2	GamerLegion	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xbaf5dc…
08-13 05:03:31	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game1	Aurora	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0x580c49…
08-13 05:03:04	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13	GamerLegion	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0xb78f53…
08-13 04:14:21	dota2 vsn2 tr7 2026 08 12 game handicap away 1pt5	Team Resilience	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfa3f0a…
08-13 04:03:25	dota2 vsn2 tr7 2026 08 12 game handicap away 1pt5	Team Resilience	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x8b60c2…
08-13 04:00:28	dota2 vsn2 tr7 2026 08 12 game1	Team Resilience	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xf2e64e…
08-13 03:57:31	dota2 boombo og 2026 08 12 game1	OG	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0xac3552…
08-13 03:56:36	dota2 boombo og 2026 08 12	OG	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xf35a26…
08-13 03:56:16	dota2 boombo og 2026 08 12	OG	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x5c7857…
08-13 03:54:12	dota2 vsn2 tr7 2026 08 12 game handicap away 1pt5	Team Resilience	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x80cc43…
08-13 03:53:24	dota2 vsn2 tr7 2026 08 12 game2	Team Resilience	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x151826…
08-13 03:52:54	dota2 vsn2 tr7 2026 08 12 game1	Team Resilience	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9ea65e…
08-13 03:52:54	dota2 vsn2 tr7 2026 08 12 game1	Team Resilience	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9578ff…
08-13 03:52:12	dota2 vsn2 tr7 2026 08 12 game1	Team Resilience	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x6dc6af…
08-13 03:51:48	dota2 vsn2 tr7 2026 08 12	TEAM VISION	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xa6cd6e…
08-13 03:49:37	dota2 liquid vg 2026 08 13 game handicap away 1pt5	Vici Gaming	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xad7d41…
07-26 08:40:21	Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x0c0cbe…
07-26 08:40:04	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0xf7dd07…
07-26 08:39:48	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x198c7d…
07-26 08:39:33	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x9c01b6…
07-14 06:17:56	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	224	61¢	$137	0x2f9176…
06-20 03:18:50	bitcoin above 56k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa5bd6f…
06-20 03:18:31	bitcoin above 60k on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc84aa1…
06-20 03:10:58	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x12a58b…
06-13 08:05:52	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x22e81c…
06-13 08:05:36	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x232f8d…
06-13 08:05:18	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5e9559…
06-09 04:32:22	bitcoin above 50k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb2b2d8…
06-09 04:32:04	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa0a3b2…
06-09 04:31:39	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xebcd21…
06-09 04:31:22	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x620d78…
06-09 04:31:04	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3852a2…
06-09 04:30:46	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xec3c03…
05-26 05:37:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3a1059…
05-26 05:37:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x24b3a8…
05-26 05:37:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xe8f736…
05-26 05:36:46	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb88abd…
05-26 05:34:53	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xbd6582…
05-26 02:37:22	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0x8ed54e…
05-18 02:51:00	Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x55a256…
05-18 02:50:43	Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7a1b8f…
05-18 02:50:22	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xffc725…
05-18 02:50:08	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7d61df…
05-18 02:47:21	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	92¢	$41	0x9e4b82…
05-15 06:29:16	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6a8ccc…
05-15 06:28:50	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3eb491…
05-15 06:28:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1bb99a…
05-15 06:28:15	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x8b1236…
04-30 13:07:52	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x955589…
04-09 01:44:49	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 215 239	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd2e864…
04-09 01:44:37	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1ca07c…
04-09 01:44:27	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 480 499	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x52f1c5…
04-09 01:43:41	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5d5883…
04-09 01:43:31	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x080caf…
04-07 02:09:05	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on april 9	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0c1710…
04-07 02:08:51	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 8	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa28659…
04-07 02:08:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 7	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xeea25c…
04-07 02:08:23	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x31a1a1…
04-07 02:08:11	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x0ed215…
04-07 02:08:03	bitcoin above 56k on april 9	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x59cf0a…
04-07 02:07:55	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x688c10…
04-07 02:07:45	bitcoin above 58k on april 7	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xccc06a…
04-01 01:55:23	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 580plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00db8a…
04-01 01:55:15	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0a2c26…
04-01 01:55:09	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 420 439	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1f9f6d…
04-01 01:54:49	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 2	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf69d20…
04-01 01:54:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 1	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbadef3…
04-01 01:54:23	bitcoin above 80k on april 2	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x111e01…
04-01 01:54:11	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x546582…
03-28 00:56:21	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4a1bbd…
03-28 00:56:09	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in march 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x60b41b…
03-28 00:55:59	will bitcoin reach 82k march 23 29	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2cb176…
03-28 00:55:49	will bitcoin reach 70k on march 27	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4fa613…
03-28 00:55:33	bitcoin above 80k on march 30	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfabf04…
03-28 00:55:23	bitcoin above 78k on march 29	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8fd660…
03-28 00:55:09	bitcoin above 72k on march 28	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xce83de…
03-18 02:08:41	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4ae98e…
03-18 02:08:31	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x67fd56…
03-18 02:08:25	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 240plus	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc59be8…
03-18 02:08:13	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 580plus	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9a99ed…
03-18 02:08:05	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x655e89…