Bubbly-Mug 0x303080…c886ae
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$802
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
83.6%
Resolved
13
Trades
889
lifetime
Volume
$33.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$441
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 07-02 11:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
45% 67% +$349
Other
44% 100% +$112
Tech
6% — —
Sports
3% 60% +$335
Crypto
2% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -303 $-177 40¢ $-120 +$58 06-04 01:25
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -199 $-79 58¢ $-116 $-38 06-01 01:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -1,104 $-99 10¢ $-105 $-6 06-22 11:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -285 $-40 14¢ $-39 +$2 06-04 01:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -285 $-34 12¢ $-33 +$1 06-26 16:06
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -186 $-28 16¢ $-29 $-1 06-28 23:12
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes -53 $-2 0¢ $-0 +$2 06-15 06:44
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +75 $14 0¢ $0 $-14 06-20 18:15