Bubbly-Mug 0x303080…c886ae
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$802
Unrealized P&L
-$61
Hit rate
83.6%
Resolved
13
Trades
892
lifetime
Volume
$33.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$506
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 07-03 15:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
45% 67% +$349
Other
45% 100% +$112
Tech
6% — —
Sports
3% 60% +$335
Crypto
2% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -199 $-79 64¢ $-126 $-47 06-01 01:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -1,104 $-99 11¢ $-116 $-17 06-22 11:52
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -303 $-177 30¢ $-93 +$85 06-04 01:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -285 $-40 30¢ $-84 $-44 06-04 01:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -186 $-28 26¢ $-47 $-19 06-28 23:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -285 $-34 14¢ $-38 $-4 06-26 16:06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -20 $-1 6¢ $-1 $-0 07-03 15:44
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +75 $14 0¢ $0 $-14 06-20 18:15