Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$290

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

286

Trades

592

lifetime

Volume

$24.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-03

last 10-10 08:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 76% +$152

Other

5% 90% +$139

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 191 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	8	$739	723	622	+101	Up	-$360	10-04 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$638	347	347	+0	Down	+$38	10-09 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	8	$539	441	278	+163	Up	-$15	10-07 18:39
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	1	$500	505	0	+505	Yes	+$5	10-03 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	6	$421	417	140	+277	Down	+$6	10-09 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$413	337	132	+205	Up	+$18	10-09 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	8	$375	352	169	+183	Up	+$14	10-09 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	5	$340	374	0	+374	Up	-$108	10-07 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	5	$340	388	0	+388	Up	+$16	10-09 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$320	336	0	+336	Down	-$12	10-09 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$320	352	0	+352	Up	+$32	10-04 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$300	416	0	+416	Down	-$192	10-04 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$300	323	0	+323	Up	+$23	10-04 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$300	318	0	+318	Down	+$18	10-09 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	7	$300	297	36	+261	Down	-$21	10-08 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	6	$285	202	202	+0	Up	+$25	10-09 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	6	$255	152	152	+0	Up	+$5	10-09 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	6	$252	288	38	+250	Up	+$11	10-08 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	6	$250	291	36	+256	Down	-$31	10-09 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	6	$250	267	0	+267	Down	-$31	10-07 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$245	231	27	+204	Down	+$9	10-07 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	5	$245	266	0	+266	Down	+$10	10-09 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:25 UTC	4	$240	256	0	+256	Up	+$16	10-04 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	5	$226	312	83	+229	Up	+$5	10-09 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:20 UTC	3	$225	251	0	+251	Up	+$26	10-04 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$224	126	126	+0	Up	+$14	10-09 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$214	118	118	+0	Up	+$14	10-09 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$209	150	112	+38	Up	-$1	10-09 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$205	214	0	+214	Up	+$9	10-07 16:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:50 UTC	2	$200	302	0	+302	Up	+$102	10-04 07:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 08:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x2b3eb9…
10-10 07:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x2f0bbd…
10-10 07:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3c8023…
10-10 07:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0e649e…
10-10 07:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x656261…
10-09 22:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x91ff8b…
10-09 22:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd30790…
10-09 22:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1e16f0…
10-09 22:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x3fdb75…
10-09 22:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x7d31c1…
10-09 22:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x268a60…
10-09 22:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0xc83e64…
10-09 22:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xcda2c6…
10-09 22:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x10f108…
10-09 22:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xf9ab44…
10-09 21:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x7bd271…
10-09 21:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x37bb85…
10-09 21:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xc96888…
10-09 21:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x1756bd…
10-09 21:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x13a669…
10-09 21:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8f3e47…
10-09 21:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	27	24¢	$7	0x115020…
10-09 21:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0x702331…
10-09 21:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xde5185…
10-09 21:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4ebe0b…
10-09 21:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4e4cb1…
10-09 21:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9c2a3c…
10-09 21:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x7088c1…
10-09 21:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xd0d452…
10-09 21:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb74f4e…
10-09 21:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1a79b9…
10-09 21:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x70f7bb…
10-09 21:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x1a9bff…
10-09 21:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7411d1…
10-09 21:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x890946…
10-09 21:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfde493…
10-09 21:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x32da54…
10-09 21:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xe0f0e5…
10-09 21:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	140	68¢	$96	0xe36c08…
10-09 21:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x5358dd…
10-09 21:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x96d9f2…
10-09 21:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xe1c6fc…
10-09 21:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0x675b68…
10-09 21:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xf4102c…
10-09 21:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x4cae07…
10-09 21:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x1d08cb…
10-09 21:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb536fa…
10-09 21:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x5d0dce…
10-09 21:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x768b02…
10-09 21:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9b82e0…
10-09 21:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xd74090…
10-09 21:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x0bf54a…
10-09 21:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xc8e3fc…
10-09 21:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x4d03fb…
10-09 21:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xd0fee1…
10-09 21:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x5e0594…
10-09 21:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xad3f4a…
10-09 21:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x7b4a5f…
10-09 20:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	115	98¢	$112	0xf2e306…
10-09 20:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xd294c1…
10-09 20:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	59¢	$7	0xfa8de0…
10-09 20:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x01ff50…
10-09 20:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x94db93…
10-09 20:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x3ca4a8…
10-09 20:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc77c25…
10-09 20:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xce9487…
10-09 20:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0x746f20…
10-09 20:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x25a7a8…
10-09 20:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xd70f23…
10-09 20:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc9667d…
10-09 20:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbcd6bf…
10-09 20:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xadf84a…
10-09 20:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x4c67ce…
10-09 20:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x472a8e…
10-09 20:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	84¢	$10	0x91886b…
10-09 20:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x533d00…
10-09 20:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8ba1fe…
10-09 20:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xddff5b…
10-09 20:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x4898c0…
10-09 20:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0x1e565f…
10-09 20:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x401c4d…
10-09 19:18:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	45	92¢	$41	0xe0c22e…
10-09 19:17:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x49aee6…
10-09 19:17:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x30a140…
10-09 19:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	133	95¢	$127	0x645a54…
10-09 19:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x6d8557…
10-09 19:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	36	38¢	$14	0x84b4e9…
10-09 19:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x7d6005…
10-09 19:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x09e810…
10-09 19:05:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x8d7d39…
10-09 19:03:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0xcaafbf…
10-09 19:02:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1f26df…
10-09 19:01:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x683fe1…
10-09 19:00:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x17a570…
10-09 18:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x14fe89…
10-09 18:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe341ce…
10-09 18:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9ff820…
10-09 18:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb43183…
10-09 18:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4051ca…
10-09 18:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x79a4fe…