Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$40,021

Trades

3,563

Unique wallets

852

Liquidity

$0

Latest YES mid

78¢

Latest NO mid

22¢

End date

2026-10-09

First seen

2026-10-09

last 10-09 18:46

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Vague-Hourglass +1,748 (anon) +1,359 Adventurous-Parole +1,200 (anon) +1,000 Stale-Timpani +904 (anon) +737 Supportive-Matchmaker +685 (anon) +649

NO holders

All-Peasant-Drug +2,536 (anon) +1,558 Vague-Hourglass +1,357 (anon) +1,162 Sympathetic-Back +1,000 Supportive-Matchmaker +951 Monstrous-Dew +811 (anon) +800

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -3.0¢ (top1%: 77% YES on $19.3K vs crowd: 80% YES on $37.2K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	167	$18.6K	$5.0K	+$13.6K
🐬 Dolphin	244	$7.5K	$1.3K	+$6.2K
🐟 Fish	240	$2.0K	$588	+$1.4K
🦐 Shrimp	201	$1.6K	$690	+$888

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	170	$14.8K	$4.5K	+$10.3K
🏆 Top 5%	123	$3.2K	$404	+$2.8K
✅ Top 10%	45	$439	$101	+$338
Median	64	$276	$81	+$195
Below median	184	$996	$753	+$243
⚠️ Bottom 10%	104	$3.2K	$335	+$2.8K
🔻 Bottom 5%	115	$3.2K	$504	+$2.7K
💀 Bottom 1%	47	$3.6K	$895	+$2.7K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	Down	+2,536	$138	$310	8	10-09 18:44
Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d	Up	+1,748	$1,513	$1,513	46	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882	Down	+1,558	$27	$27	5	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0x7f36…fc98	Up	+1,359	$543	$1,367	31	10-09 18:41
Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d	Down	+1,357	$248	$248	49	10-09 18:43
Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f	Up	+1,200	$1,188	$1,188	9	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Down	+1,162	$353	$353	43	10-09 18:42
(anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc	Up	+1,000	$990	$990	15	10-09 18:44
Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5	Down	+1,000	$476	$476	17	10-09 18:38
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Down	+951	$122	$122	48	10-09 18:43
Stale-Timpani 0x404e…4cd2	Up	+904	$895	$895	1	10-09 18:43
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	Down	+811	$97	$97	1	10-09 18:41
(anonymous) 0x3ef1…1f99	Down	+800	$400	$400	1	10-09 18:36
(anonymous) 0x4fbc…5df1	Down	+750	$15	$15	1	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0x252d…ad22	Up	+737	$700	$700	1	10-09 18:42
(anonymous) 0xc533…69a9	Down	+691	$229	$229	11	10-09 18:42
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Up	+685	$558	$558	55	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0x41e2…a354	Down	+682	$150	$150	30	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0x41e2…a354	Up	+649	$542	$542	25	10-09 18:43
Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15	Up	+647	$315	$315	14	10-09 18:40
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Up	+627	$453	$453	25	10-09 18:42
Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb	Down	+620	$11	$11	4	10-09 18:43
Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df	Up	+600	$594	$594	4	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0xb129…890c	Up	+580	$496	$496	7	10-09 18:42
Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9	Down	+572	$98	$98	142	10-09 18:43
Trim-School 0x3884…416d	Up	+554	$554	$554	10	10-09 18:46
(anonymous) 0x6bc7…c4a9	Up	+547	$285	$285	2	10-09 18:36
Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9	Up	+547	$439	$439	119	10-09 18:43
Tangible-Friendship 0x21d0…e8d7	Up	+518	$259	$259	2	10-09 18:36
(anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26	Up	+500	$495	$495	4	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26	Down	+500	$5	$5	1	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f	Down	+500	$5	$5	1	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0x764f…c347	Up	+477	$372	$372	33	10-09 18:43
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Down	+471	$128	$128	7	10-09 18:42
(anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8	Down	+465	$60	$60	41	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602	Down	+459	$82	$82	17	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8	Up	+438	$344	$344	21	10-09 18:42
(anonymous) 0x764f…c347	Down	+433	$100	$100	32	10-09 18:43
Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f	Down	+430	$118	$118	58	10-09 18:42
Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd	Down	+409	$62	$62	10	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e	Down	+401	$4	$4	16	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6	Down	+401	$111	$111	9	10-09 18:42
Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f	Up	+401	$289	$289	42	10-09 18:42
Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab	Down	+349	$88	$88	28	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882	Up	+344	$323	$356	5	10-09 18:44
(anonymous) 0x7743…fb42	Down	+343	$129	$129	11	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602	Up	+342	$254	$254	12	10-09 18:42
(anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd	Down	+335	$3	$3	18	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6	Up	+306	$182	$182	8	10-09 18:41
(anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b	Up	+303	$300	$300	1	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0x9d0a…f407	Down	+302	$42	$42	11	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0x2bdf…1eb3	Up	+301	$295	$295	3	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9	Down	+300	$57	$57	23	10-09 18:43
(anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176	Up	+300	$165	$165	8	10-09 18:40
Watchful-Milk 0xdb1d…b6c2	Down	+300	$132	$132	5	10-09 18:39
(anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8	Down	+299	$66	$66	7	10-09 18:42
(anonymous) 0xc533…69a9	Up	+295	$201	$201	11	10-09 18:42
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Up	+266	$221	$221	15	10-09 18:42
Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd	Up	+264	$240	$240	9	10-09 18:44
Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c	Up	+263	$194	$194	16	10-09 18:43