Delirious-Proximity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.52K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

1,690

Trades

3,367

lifetime

Volume

$32.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$29

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 11-06 16:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 56% -$1,054

Other

18% 43% -$446

Sports

0% 44% +$8

Politics

0% 0% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	+17	$16	99¢	$17	+$1	11-06 01:35
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+17	$10	68¢	$12	+$2	11-06 01:45
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	+1	$1	71¢	$1	$0	11-06 00:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp kumstat moelle 2026 08 16	2	$420	300	300	+0	Jan Kumstat	+$180	08-16 14:42
atp matsuda debru 2026 07 31	5	$392	385	385	+0	Gabriel Debru	+$35	07-31 14:52
atp varilla skatov 2026 07 31	7	$350	714	714	+0	Juan Pablo Varillas	+$150	07-31 16:05
atp humbert zheng 2026 08 16	2	$290	1,356	0	+1,356	Michael Zheng	-$290	08-16 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	21	$278	200	200	+0	Down	+$82	09-02 15:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:35 UTC	16	$254	200	200	+0	Down	+$46	09-14 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 21:50 UTC	17	$254	168	164	+5	Down	+$46	04-23 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	17	$250	200	200	+0	Up	+$50	09-02 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	21	$240	200	200	+0	Up	+$40	09-15 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$236	200	200	+0	Down	+$59	09-02 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	9	$234	200	200	+0	Up	+$86	09-15 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$224	171	171	+0	Down	+$24	09-01 22:16
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 19:45 UTC	4	$217	321	318	+3	Up	+$37	03-01 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$211	150	150	+0	Down	+$53	09-02 20:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 13:15 UTC	2	$188	231	228	+3	Up	+$35	03-02 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 20:35 UTC	16	$183	165	158	+6	Up	+$35	04-23 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:30 UTC	2	$182	257	250	+7	Up	-$132	04-24 00:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 22:00 UTC	2	$169	374	372	+2	Down	+$56	02-16 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	7	$169	150	148	+2	Down	+$49	09-01 21:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 19:45 UTC	2	$155	699	697	+2	Down	-$9	02-17 19:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:50 UTC	14	$153	130	130	+0	Down	+$84	09-14 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	5	$149	113	113	+0	Down	+$34	09-02 16:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:55 UTC	3	$148	100	100	+0	Down	+$48	09-14 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$146	100	100	+0	Down	+$52	09-02 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$142	470	0	+470	Up	-$142	09-02 21:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:00 UTC	2	$140	100	100	+0	Up	+$52	09-14 12:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:00 UTC	11	$140	100	100	+0	Down	+$30	09-14 13:03
China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic	3	$138	100	100	+0	Novak Djokovic	+$2	10-02 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$135	400	0	+400	Down	-$135	09-15 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	8	$133	100	100	+0	Up	+$47	09-15 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 16:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x908889…
11-06 15:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	49	19¢	$9	0xaa365a…
11-06 15:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x1f380e…
11-06 15:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x800c14…
11-06 15:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x5b03f3…
11-06 15:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	70	59¢	$41	0xbb1837…
11-06 14:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x4eb860…
11-06 14:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x412bbd…
11-06 14:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x93fd5c…
11-06 14:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	37	33¢	$12	0x7a6966…
11-06 14:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x21fb7f…
11-06 14:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	198	33¢	$65	0x1d0e65…
11-06 14:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xfc44cb…
11-06 14:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xba2fa8…
11-06 14:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7647e1…
11-06 14:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1525e8…
11-06 14:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x14f13c…
11-06 14:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x476132…
11-06 14:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x88dc34…
11-06 02:09:34	Ducks vs. Oilers	Ducks	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9aba4a…
11-06 01:45:34	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc6955d…
11-06 01:35:12	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x7c5b58…
11-06 01:33:46	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x30437f…
11-06 00:39:52	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6c952a…
11-05 19:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0x2ce3ac…
11-05 19:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	53¢	$9	0x075915…
11-05 19:10:21	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	150	19¢	$28	0xb165b8…
10-08 13:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xdadfc7…
10-08 00:55:28	Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-10-07?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x23fb94…
10-08 00:20:01	Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xb783fe…
10-07 17:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xb80df0…
10-07 17:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb7fa5e…
10-07 17:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x429f11…
10-07 17:39:10	Braga: Florian Broska vs Lukas Neumayer	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x950967…
10-06 03:36:13	China Open: Daria Snigur vs Mirra Andreeva	Daria Snigur	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xc8b61f…
10-06 03:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x762426…
10-06 03:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x0f116c…
10-06 03:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xac2ca5…
10-06 03:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	37	79¢	$29	0xb6555e…
10-06 03:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x7e24bf…
10-06 02:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xd73a90…
10-06 02:27:54	Honduras vs. Jamaica: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf4dfad…
10-06 02:10:11	Honduras vs. Jamaica: Honduras O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1531f6…
10-06 01:21:49	Flyers vs. Lightning	Flyers	SELL	28	13¢	$4	0xc71047…
10-06 00:49:43	Flyers vs. Lightning	Flyers	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xf0aec8…
10-05 22:52:28	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x59e40e…
10-05 22:22:14	Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1267b0…
10-04 17:03:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf5340e…
10-02 18:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x469eba…
10-02 18:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x81cc2c…
10-02 18:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xab67a8…
10-02 17:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x933c72…
10-02 17:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0xbf4646…
10-02 17:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xb78d8a…
10-02 17:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	103	55¢	$57	0x691dfd…
10-02 17:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe83394…
10-02 17:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xe87253…
10-02 17:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0x7b9633…
10-02 17:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x230035…
10-02 17:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x1d9cf6…
10-02 17:02:45	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0c43ee…
10-02 17:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x207a4d…
10-02 16:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0x07e11c…
10-02 16:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x65a1ea…
10-02 16:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb91cfa…
10-02 16:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x9c04ed…
10-02 16:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x6c3c19…
10-02 16:41:20	Will Latvia win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa133f3…
10-02 16:30:54	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Partizan	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfe7f69…
10-02 16:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xa7bc4a…
10-02 15:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	80	92¢	$74	0xef8e96…
10-02 15:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	80	47¢	$38	0x3ccaf7…
10-02 15:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb20991…
10-02 15:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xa52201…
10-02 15:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xcb0847…
10-02 15:04:47	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	Clement Tabur	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x7fabcb…
10-02 14:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8470a1…
10-02 14:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x7e2197…
10-02 14:54:03	China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	SELL	35	70¢	$24	0x7da319…
10-02 14:54:02	China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	SELL	65	70¢	$46	0xfd5b88…
10-02 14:44:02	China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xcdb007…
09-24 19:36:56	Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xcba583…
09-23 16:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x94091c…
09-22 20:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xfd4ad0…
09-22 20:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x40a61c…
09-22 19:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1946f7…
09-22 19:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x2fda75…
09-22 19:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x2f7f4b…
09-22 18:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x422e3e…
09-22 17:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x445801…
09-22 17:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x3ac3ac…
09-22 17:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x228934…
09-22 17:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x820136…
09-22 16:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd5b461…
09-22 16:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaba7b7…
09-22 15:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xf824c1…
09-22 15:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x7e1d89…
09-22 15:57:07	atp mayot boulais 2026 09 22	Justin Boulais	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x1fa2d8…
09-22 15:57:06	atp mayot boulais 2026 09 22	Justin Boulais	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x7e210a…
09-22 15:52:40	atp mayot boulais 2026 09 22	Justin Boulais	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x997f9b…