Scrawny-Virtue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$225

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

1,009

Trades

2,129

lifetime

Volume

$7.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-28 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

46% 47% -$33

Sports

27% 47% -$109

Crypto

14% 42% -$34

Politics

12% 34% -$54

Tech

1% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		-5	-$2	72¢	$-3	-$1	05-02 23:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-7	-$2	18¢	$-1	+$1	04-29 05:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	14	$125	94	78	+16	Yes	+$2	04-07 01:46
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	11	$109	81	65	+16	No	+$2	04-07 01:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	13	$77	48	48	-0	No	+$1	04-22 20:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	9	$70	43	43	+1	Yes	-$1	04-06 17:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	6	$63	36	36	+0	Yes	$0	04-19 22:45
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?	8	$61	59	59	+0	No	+$29	10-10 04:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$61	43	30	+13	Yes	-$13	04-07 21:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	10	$59	39	34	+6	No	+$1	04-20 13:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	11	$56	49	37	+12	No	+$0	04-21 05:05
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	7	$54	50	50	+0	Kansas City Royals	-$2	04-29 04:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	9	$53	72	72	+0	Yes	+$6	04-07 23:44
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	10	$53	38	37	+1	No	$0	04-21 18:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$51	27	27	+0	No	+$0	04-01 19:11
bitcoin above 66k on april 5	4	$50	26	26	+0	Yes	$0	04-05 08:27
bitcoin above 70k on april 6	7	$49	33	25	+8	No	+$3	04-06 14:43
ethereum above 2100 on april 9	7	$46	32	32	+1	Yes	+$2	04-09 02:04
mlb cle sea 2026 03 28	2	$44	31	31	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$19	03-29 07:29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	11	$42	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	04-23 17:51
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	7	$40	36	35	+1	Yes	+$1	04-13 21:06
atp kuzuhar andrade 2026 04 07	4	$40	31	31	+0	Andres Andrade	-$3	04-07 20:49
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	9	$38	59	49	+10	No	-$3	04-19 21:49
cricipl del guj 2026 04 08	4	$38	35	29	+6	Gujarat Titans	+$3	04-08 17:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	7	$37	29	29	+0	Yes	-$2	04-29 22:12
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	8	$36	23	23	+0	Yes	+$2	04-12 20:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	8	$35	124	31	+93	No	-$20	04-12 17:05
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	16	$34	43	43	+0	No	-$4	04-15 12:06
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	5	$31	17	17	+0	No	+$1	04-11 23:56
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	5	$31	23	23	+0	Yes	$0	04-13 17:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	6	$31	18	18	+0	No	+$0	04-11 23:56
will bryson dechambeau win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$31	17	17	+0	No	+$0	04-09 14:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 29?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xd36a26…
10-28 12:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x90591e…
10-28 10:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x571aea…
10-28 09:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 29?	No	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0xfafb4f…
10-28 09:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x465466…
10-28 08:35:47	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xadfe86…
10-28 08:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x1b9b29…
10-28 08:12:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6ba17a…
10-28 07:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xbdedaf…
10-28 07:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x5ec2f5…
10-27 23:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x76a25c…
10-27 21:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x28d536…
10-27 21:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x9c6d09…
10-27 21:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x772295…
10-27 21:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xe2e11f…
10-27 21:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xd5d548…
10-27 20:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x2d9d8e…
10-27 20:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xf2aaee…
10-27 20:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xeead7a…
10-27 20:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x0926f0…
10-27 20:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x7f4ca5…
10-27 20:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x5ef323…
10-27 20:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0xc76f3d…
10-27 04:05:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x56dd40…
10-27 03:55:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x10700c…
10-20 20:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	415	0¢	$2	0x08a91e…
10-20 10:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x311f29…
10-20 09:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xf1e1cd…
10-20 04:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x4541fc…
10-20 03:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf416ab…
10-19 15:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x1ecafa…
10-19 14:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 19?	No	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x9b9532…
10-19 14:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xbdcee2…
10-19 14:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x026fb4…
10-19 10:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x4bfbde…
10-19 08:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xbff8c3…
10-19 03:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcaf174…
10-19 03:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x851029…
10-18 22:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x89e5c5…
10-18 16:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x44002d…
10-18 14:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x252532…
10-18 14:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbdb389…
10-18 07:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xb66175…
10-18 07:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xdc6ef6…
10-18 03:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xccfb21…
10-18 03:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x6bb927…
10-18 03:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x122240…
10-16 11:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd46341…
10-16 11:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on October 17?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x2518a0…
10-16 07:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0xab9cf1…
10-16 07:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x07a13d…
10-16 06:26:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0xc9745c…
10-16 01:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xd11538…
10-16 00:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x22b727…
10-15 23:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfc80bc…
10-15 20:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$0	0xe370c2…
10-15 20:32:53	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 15?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xb3abee…
10-15 20:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xaf3a06…
10-15 20:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x9acade…
10-15 19:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x314dc4…
10-15 19:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xc77d7d…
10-15 19:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x01b73f…
10-15 19:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x1b4e9b…
10-15 19:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xac27ba…
10-15 18:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x502f30…
10-15 18:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xab8e2a…
10-15 15:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcb3f49…
10-15 14:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x45671d…
10-15 14:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x7ad36f…
10-15 13:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc09a09…
10-15 08:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xf7a0ff…
10-15 08:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x55e9a8…
10-15 07:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xf43006…
10-15 06:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x90b3c7…
10-15 06:25:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6b7abc…
10-15 06:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x8c922d…
10-15 06:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x7b3f25…
10-15 06:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x7a90a1…
10-15 06:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x740f2b…
10-15 06:02:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xd8e56e…
10-15 06:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xd29946…
10-15 06:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x357e19…
10-15 06:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x6d78be…
10-15 06:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xac9e20…
10-15 06:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x4dd7a6…
10-15 06:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x79f576…
10-15 06:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xd81a14…
10-15 06:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x06a871…
10-15 05:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x2b933c…
10-15 05:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xfffb5c…
10-15 03:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x01662b…
10-15 02:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x7861b4…
10-15 02:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xa20749…
10-15 02:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	28	9¢	$3	0x863266…
10-15 01:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0x922b0c…
10-15 00:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0xe6ee88…
10-14 23:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x112411…
10-14 23:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x3198b6…
10-14 22:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 14?	Yes	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0x260b3f…
10-14 22:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xf94148…