Assured-Zebra — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$147.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$735

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-23 07:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

85% 50% -$16,714

Other

15% 60% +$1,151

Crypto

0% 0% -$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	62	$28.7K	28,423	28,423	+0	No	-$6,359	05-23 07:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$21.4K	11,296	11,296	+0	No	+$621	04-26 13:55
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	10	$19.7K	10,413	10,413	+0	No	+$1,131	04-23 19:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$13.0K	13,853	13,853	+0	No	-$1,330	05-09 05:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	3	$12.5K	6,427	6,427	+0	No	+$173	05-18 19:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	16	$11.6K	7,044	7,044	+0	No	+$1,150	05-06 12:40
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$11.0K	13,598	0	+13,598	Yes	-$11,013	04-26 13:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	11	$9.0K	10,989	10,989	+0	No	-$1,461	05-07 19:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$7.8K	9,262	0	+9,262	No	+$1,505	04-20 16:51
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	11	$2.8K	1,463	1,463	+0	No	+$46	05-15 14:07
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	24	$2.5K	2,746	1,340	+1,406	Yes	-$33	05-15 14:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$2.0K	1,700	1,700	+0	No	-$119	05-09 05:21
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	21	$1.5K	1,291	1,291	+0	No	+$152	05-15 13:51
highest temperature in tokyo on march 19 2026 18c	3	$1.1K	545	545	+0	Yes	+$16	03-19 12:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$949	843	843	+0	No	-$38	05-09 05:17
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$694	373	373	+0	No	+$52	04-03 09:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 14:30 UTC	3	$658	405	322	+82	Up	-$14	03-19 14:36
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$551	560	0	+560	No	+$9	05-15 13:08
highest temperature in munich on march 19 2026 13c	1	$322	331	0	+331	Yes	+$9	03-19 14:50
highest temperature in tokyo on march 19 2026 16c	2	$66	76	76	+0	No	-$66	03-19 08:14
will powell say percent 20 times during march press conference	1	$60	66	0	+66	Yes	+$6	03-18 16:41
highest temperature in chengdu on march 20 2026 22c	1	$10	29	0	+29	Yes	-$10	03-20 08:17
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$4	121	0	+121	No	-$4	05-15 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 07:20:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	471	98¢	$464	0x03fca1…
05-22 22:03:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	471	98¢	$462	0xd2f07c…
05-22 21:35:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	2,010	23¢	$462	0xd196bd…
05-22 21:34:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2,010	45¢	$900	0x1bc19b…
05-22 21:31:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	10,514	9¢	$900	0x76f6e3…
05-18 19:07:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	10,514	60¢	$6,330	0x793d6d…
05-18 19:06:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	6,427	99¢	$6,330	0x96ff2c…
05-17 19:21:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	3,056	95¢	$2,903	0xd312a0…
05-17 19:20:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5,005	58¢	$2,903	0xad6a11…
05-17 00:14:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	3,371	97¢	$3,254	0x2b0158…
05-17 00:14:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5,000	65¢	$3,250	0x4143c1…
05-15 20:54:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2,068	63¢	$1,303	0xe1ea08…
05-15 20:22:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x745351…
05-15 20:02:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xfcce59…
05-15 19:44:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x36fd48…
05-15 19:29:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	54	63¢	$34	0xbc47bc…
05-15 18:31:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	157	63¢	$99	0xb4917b…
05-15 18:25:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	68	63¢	$43	0xac1096…
05-15 18:15:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	711	63¢	$448	0x8e858e…
05-15 14:25:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,406	100¢	$1,400	0x2bde9d…
05-15 14:07:14	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,441	99¢	$1,432	0x89b018…
05-15 13:57:05	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	617	99¢	$611	0xe408fe…
05-15 13:51:00	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	321	29¢	$93	0xed64b4…
05-15 13:50:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	646	61¢	$391	0xd654d5…
05-15 13:47:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xeab3e7…
05-15 13:47:38	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0x77df77…
05-15 13:45:57	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	60¢	$58	0xf3941a…
05-15 13:42:48	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	58¢	$45	0x62a1da…
05-15 13:39:32	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x33c974…
05-15 13:37:47	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xfce0a6…
05-15 13:37:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x25999a…
05-15 13:29:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	48¢	$100	0xeba817…
05-15 13:27:57	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	49¢	$104	0x337ec7…
05-15 13:25:13	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	54¢	$85	0x24f361…
05-15 13:24:53	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	54¢	$16	0xa7418e…
05-15 13:24:53	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x3c85a2…
05-15 13:22:35	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	43¢	$122	0x4f40d0…
05-15 13:21:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1,000	61¢	$610	0x70a1e0…
05-15 13:13:40	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	3¢	$4	0xe5213b…
05-15 13:08:35	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	560	98¢	$551	0x336e0b…
05-15 12:48:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	220	62¢	$136	0xef84dc…
05-15 12:47:11	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	694	18¢	$126	0xcf5e4c…
05-15 12:47:04	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	695	83¢	$574	0x7094a2…
05-15 10:38:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xe90ec1…
05-14 23:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	660	94¢	$623	0xb6b3f8…
05-14 23:08:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	992	63¢	$625	0xc98236…
05-14 21:42:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xfa2877…
05-14 21:19:53	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x5da626…
05-14 21:16:14	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0x9a39a2…
05-14 21:15:29	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	55¢	$36	0x0526c4…
05-14 21:13:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	34¢	$32	0xc0d2f3…
05-14 21:13:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x29f8c9…
05-14 21:12:49	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x6d177f…
05-14 21:10:29	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x107608…
05-14 21:09:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0xb8f909…
05-14 21:08:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	280	63¢	$176	0xd2de19…
05-14 21:00:55	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xfa9888…
05-14 20:59:37	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	54¢	$49	0x39ef44…
05-14 20:57:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	70	63¢	$44	0x44630a…
05-14 20:56:49	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xc5e5e8…
05-14 20:55:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	32¢	$15	0xa51cfd…
05-14 20:54:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x64d4be…
05-14 20:49:17	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	56	92¢	$51	0x3e0838…
05-14 20:48:12	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	54¢	$37	0x1ae1f1…
05-14 20:47:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x975ef6…
05-14 20:47:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	33¢	$38	0xa4ace2…
05-14 20:46:05	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x6ee082…
05-14 20:45:54	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xf4dea4…
05-14 20:44:23	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	53¢	$24	0x7b0089…
05-14 20:43:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x2eeb19…
05-14 20:40:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xba1a97…
05-14 20:36:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	150	63¢	$94	0x52fb2a…
05-14 20:35:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xb6c74f…
05-14 20:31:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x2cc475…
05-14 20:30:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	36¢	$16	0xc69f82…
05-14 20:28:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x3ee1c9…
05-14 20:26:16	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	48¢	$71	0xa43e48…
05-14 20:25:26	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x2e5b25…
05-14 20:24:09	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xfc55be…
05-14 20:23:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x3deca3…
05-14 20:22:53	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x57d1ff…
05-14 20:21:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x009951…
05-14 20:21:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	40¢	$17	0xe6624e…
05-14 20:20:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	300	63¢	$189	0x79b77b…
05-14 20:11:33	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x177c54…
05-14 20:10:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x8a6cc2…
05-14 20:08:01	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x2e9a94…
05-14 20:07:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0x669973…
05-09 06:41:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	540	74¢	$400	0x8ca68e…
05-09 05:53:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1,279	74¢	$947	0x69db4e…
05-09 05:39:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x16f686…
05-09 05:21:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,700	54¢	$918	0xe9cf91…
05-09 05:17:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	843	54¢	$455	0x8cca43…
05-09 05:16:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xcb0f87…
05-09 05:14:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	515	73¢	$376	0xe8e459…
05-09 05:14:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	73¢	$730	0x0a48f0…
05-09 05:09:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1,007	73¢	$735	0x98a3ad…
05-09 05:08:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,139	30¢	$1,842	0x9aaeb6…
05-08 18:49:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	251	73¢	$183	0xe8d04b…
05-08 18:48:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	539	34¢	$183	0x96913a…