Thorny-Packaging — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$5.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-13 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

38% — —

Politics

36% 0% $-0

Tech

22% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+500	$12	1¢	$7	$-4	06-01 14:10
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes		+317	$5	1¢	$2	$-2	06-01 13:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	6	$979	500	500	+0	open	—	04-15 05:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$785	400	400	+0	open	—	04-15 07:42
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	3	$302	200	200	+0	open	—	04-24 05:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$236	200	200	+0	open	—	05-06 16:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	14	$221	1,180	1,180	+0	open	—	05-17 08:18
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	5	$217	210	210	+0	Yes	$-0	04-24 05:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-04 07:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 11:41
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	5	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	05-04 11:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 23:56
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	8	$183	177	177	+0	open	—	04-24 05:25
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	2	$111	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 08:23
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	2	$92	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 07:47
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?	5	$80	80	80	+0	open	—	06-04 07:54
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$76	126	126	+0	open	—	05-15 08:38
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$72	0	100	-100	open	—	05-23 06:18
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	4	$72	83	83	+0	open	—	05-28 12:32
will 40 44 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	6	$72	171	200	-29	open	—	03-20 20:59
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	7	$70	95	95	+0	open	—	03-20 21:16
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$63	40	40	+0	open	—	06-01 07:17
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	3	$63	100	100	+0	open	—	05-06 15:46
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?	2	$62	40	40	+0	open	—	06-01 07:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	4	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	05-12 09:22
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?	3	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	06-01 07:33
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	3	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 07:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	05-12 16:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$59	59	59	+0	open	—	05-06 16:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	05-12 09:07
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	5	$57	100	100	+0	open	—	05-28 10:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	05-12 13:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 14:56:09	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x81e99e…
06-05 16:13:49	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	271	4¢	$10	0x3dc6bc…
06-05 10:54:15	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	7¢	$22	0xc1edc9…
06-05 10:53:42	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	700	2¢	$14	0xf60be9…
06-04 07:54:24	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0xc690e8…
06-01 18:06:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$8	0x812fcf…
06-01 17:10:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5ed714…
06-01 14:12:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0xc69cda…
06-01 14:10:45	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0x8d0ff7…
06-01 14:02:00	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$14	0x13cb1d…
06-01 14:00:25	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$22	0xf2d670…
06-01 13:45:54	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	317	2¢	$5	0x24df66…
06-01 13:36:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	35¢	$28	0x894c91…
06-01 13:13:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	29¢	$23	0x8f8ccd…
06-01 12:06:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?	No	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x41dae8…
06-01 07:33:49	Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x4db659…
06-01 07:32:32	Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0fb1de…
06-01 07:32:30	Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?	No	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0x7e4fcf…
06-01 07:32:09	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x11aae7…
06-01 07:29:54	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x1ee072…
06-01 07:17:38	Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xeaa4a1…
06-01 07:17:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x737b68…
06-01 07:17:06	Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0x557f02…
06-01 07:14:53	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x997615…
06-01 07:04:20	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?	No	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0x2fa570…
06-01 06:55:45	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xb255da…
06-01 06:30:52	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0xfd89dc…
06-01 06:29:13	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xe04285…
06-01 06:28:45	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x95a730…
06-01 06:26:19	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfae04f…
06-01 06:25:37	Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x878405…
06-01 06:19:23	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?	No	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x07d74b…
05-28 12:32:20	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x065bec…
05-28 10:59:52	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	No	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0xa28ccf…
05-28 09:15:01	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	No	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0x26b92f…
05-28 08:15:31	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0xac7e34…
05-28 08:14:52	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x73de58…
05-28 08:12:03	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x3dfc81…
05-28 08:11:19	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xf65316…
05-28 08:02:23	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	SELL	48	21¢	$10	0xc87232…
05-28 08:00:24	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x390792…
05-28 08:00:03	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x6a52a6…
05-28 08:00:03	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x005592…
05-28 07:34:53	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	SELL	33	64¢	$21	0xcdf0cb…
05-28 07:34:13	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0xe028ab…
05-28 07:24:06	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	No	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xfba708…
05-28 07:20:48	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x281508…
05-28 07:19:01	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	Yes	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0x6e9f0a…
05-28 07:18:40	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x856c24…
05-28 07:18:37	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0xe67d48…
05-28 07:17:21	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xc35dea…
05-28 07:17:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x62e186…
05-23 06:41:35	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	74¢	$18	0xa64794…
05-23 06:25:42	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xe6f51f…
05-23 06:18:47	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x9710c6…
05-23 06:18:31	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x3b2a18…
05-22 13:22:58	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x518c14…
05-22 13:22:09	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3429dd…
05-18 15:15:10	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf2329f…
05-18 00:20:41	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3baece…
05-17 08:18:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x451764…
05-17 07:53:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x68806b…
05-17 06:06:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x19f907…
05-17 06:04:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x330d20…
05-15 08:38:00	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Nigma Galaxy	SELL	126	30¢	$38	0x1acc02…
05-15 08:35:56	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	126	30¢	$38	0x66a2cd…
05-15 08:23:25	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x2b45b5…
05-15 08:21:49	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xb5073b…
05-15 07:47:57	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	No	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0xafce2f…
05-15 07:47:22	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xd2417d…
05-15 07:41:34	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb9590c…
05-12 19:16:44	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x354e17…
05-12 16:20:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc90fa1…
05-12 15:51:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb05613…
05-12 15:07:27	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xef9a29…
05-12 14:22:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x7bf5dd…
05-12 14:20:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0xbe6177…
05-12 14:08:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0xed0b36…
05-12 14:07:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x93d5e8…
05-12 13:56:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x060213…
05-12 13:42:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x4e3bd4…
05-12 13:42:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x19daf3…
05-12 13:42:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x117fe2…
05-12 09:22:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x88eaf0…
05-12 09:19:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8fe263…
05-12 09:18:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x47ea7c…
05-12 09:18:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x32a7bc…
05-12 09:07:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x0d3ed6…
05-12 08:46:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x4718b2…
05-07 01:50:27	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0xc64c74…
05-06 18:04:24	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x110a25…
05-06 16:57:31	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x5bbf2e…
05-06 16:39:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x786e1c…
05-06 16:38:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0xb23ad0…
05-06 16:38:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x16703d…
05-06 16:31:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	50¢	$30	0x8c4cd7…
05-06 16:30:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xa820eb…
05-06 16:30:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	50¢	$19	0x55e275…
05-06 16:08:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0x452b9c…
05-06 16:07:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x17cf93…