Thorny-Packaging — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

240

lifetime

Volume

$6.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-25 08:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

40% 0% $-0

Other

35% — —

Tech

19% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	6	$979	500	500	+0	open	—	04-15 05:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$785	400	400	+0	open	—	04-15 07:42
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	3	$302	200	200	+0	open	—	04-24 05:05
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	9	$240	194	194	+0	open	—	06-16 10:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$236	200	200	+0	open	—	05-06 16:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	14	$221	1,180	1,180	+0	open	—	05-17 08:18
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	5	$217	210	210	+0	Yes	$-0	04-24 05:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-04 07:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 11:41
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	5	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	05-04 11:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 23:56
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	8	$183	177	177	+0	open	—	04-24 05:25
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	2	$111	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 08:23
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	6	$96	60	60	+0	open	—	07-12 11:50
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	2	$92	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 07:47
will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	5	$80	80	80	+0	open	—	06-04 07:54
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	06-16 11:08
grok 4pt4 released by july 10	4	$77	40	40	+0	open	—	07-08 08:14
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$76	126	126	+0	open	—	05-15 08:38
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$72	0	100	-100	open	—	05-23 06:18
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	4	$72	83	83	+0	open	—	05-28 12:32
will 40 44 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	6	$72	171	200	-29	open	—	03-20 20:59
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	7	$70	95	95	+0	open	—	03-20 21:16
over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	6	$66	55	55	+0	open	—	07-15 06:13
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	3	$65	271	271	+0	open	—	06-16 10:36
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$63	40	40	+0	open	—	06-01 07:17
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	3	$63	100	100	+0	open	—	05-06 15:46
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?	2	$62	40	40	+0	open	—	06-01 07:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	4	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	05-12 09:22
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?	3	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	06-01 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 08:35:21	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	No	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x74abbc…
07-25 07:46:43	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x8fb1b3…
07-25 07:34:36	will trump say china or chinese during michigan remarks 20260724162420365	No	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x2e45d8…
07-25 07:34:21	will trump say china or chinese during michigan remarks 20260724162420365	No	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x8e53a6…
07-25 07:27:01	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xede28f…
07-25 07:23:01	will trump say china or chinese during michigan remarks 20260724162420365	No	SELL	3	19¢	$0	0xb37b52…
07-25 07:21:30	will trump say china or chinese during michigan remarks 20260724162420365	No	BUY	3	19¢	$0	0x615ebd…
07-15 06:24:26	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x573d87…
07-15 06:24:05	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x741c58…
07-15 06:17:38	trump alleges georgia foreign election interference by july 16 20260714172332153	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x75826c…
07-15 06:13:34	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xc0fb29…
07-15 06:13:05	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x6c506b…
07-15 06:12:35	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xab1757…
07-15 06:11:07	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x74391f…
07-15 06:11:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xa558d8…
07-15 06:10:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x46f7e4…
07-15 06:02:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0xe0b77c…
07-15 06:00:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xca8eba…
07-15 05:57:46	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905974	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x0bafcf…
07-15 05:55:46	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905974	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x409fdc…
07-15 05:54:23	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x8c7a20…
07-15 05:52:43	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x2e7b5f…
07-15 05:51:19	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xeec33f…
07-15 05:49:32	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xe3bcad…
07-15 05:49:14	trump alleges georgia foreign election interference by july 16 20260714172332153	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x890a9d…
07-15 05:45:50	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x70cf0f…
07-15 05:45:23	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xfd46e0…
07-14 22:17:59	btc updown 5m 1784067300	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x37a5f4…
07-12 12:04:02	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x0e20ec…
07-12 12:03:19	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xf6d1c5…
07-12 11:50:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x85faa0…
07-12 11:49:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x390f40…
07-12 11:43:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x09417d…
07-12 11:41:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xe28b67…
07-12 09:11:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x6ec5a6…
07-12 09:09:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x24bc9f…
07-08 08:21:08	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xd3ce21…
07-08 08:20:31	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0x73f652…
07-08 08:16:40	spy closes above 750 on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x905341…
07-08 08:16:38	spy closes above 750 on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x34ed44…
07-08 08:14:04	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xfb2421…
07-08 08:13:26	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x8c36b3…
07-08 08:05:11	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x10497f…
07-08 08:03:37	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x1d8ffb…
07-08 08:00:10	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260707223722047	Yes	SELL	16	67¢	$11	0xcf2626…
07-08 07:58:41	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260707223722047	Yes	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x5cd0ce…
07-08 07:53:49	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x909c06…
07-08 07:52:07	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x08f903…
07-08 07:42:01	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x581768…
07-02 06:17:13	will the announcers say tempo during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644156	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x50be90…
07-02 06:04:28	will the announcers say tempo during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644156	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xcbda63…
06-20 22:36:53	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$7	0xd05b54…
06-20 22:36:29	ebola pandemic in 2026	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x5fd4dd…
06-20 22:36:22	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$11	0xcb0c0c…
06-16 11:08:54	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x24f57e…
06-16 11:08:37	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x97c8b6…
06-16 11:08:24	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x3b492c…
06-16 11:07:12	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xb22bf6…
06-16 11:07:09	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa565de…
06-16 10:54:06	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	SELL	44	25¢	$11	0x420851…
06-16 10:53:31	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xa84b1a…
06-16 10:53:27	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x157099…
06-16 10:51:24	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	Yes	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xbf9387…
06-16 10:50:58	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x677158…
06-16 10:48:39	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x0c189d…
06-16 10:48:18	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xd3f2d0…
06-16 10:44:42	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x541201…
06-16 10:44:00	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x8609a8…
06-16 10:36:06	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	171	26¢	$45	0x4cd566…
06-13 14:56:09	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x81e99e…
06-05 16:13:49	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	271	4¢	$10	0x3dc6bc…
06-05 10:54:15	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	7¢	$22	0xc1edc9…
06-05 10:53:42	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	700	2¢	$14	0xf60be9…
06-04 07:54:24	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0xc690e8…
06-01 18:06:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$8	0x812fcf…
06-01 17:10:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5ed714…
06-01 14:12:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0xc69cda…
06-01 14:10:45	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0x8d0ff7…
06-01 14:02:00	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$14	0x13cb1d…
06-01 14:00:25	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$22	0xf2d670…
06-01 13:45:54	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	317	2¢	$5	0x24df66…
06-01 13:36:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	35¢	$28	0x894c91…
06-01 13:13:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	29¢	$23	0x8f8ccd…
06-01 12:06:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?	No	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x41dae8…
06-01 07:33:49	Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x4db659…
06-01 07:32:32	Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0fb1de…
06-01 07:32:30	Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?	No	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0x7e4fcf…
06-01 07:32:09	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x11aae7…
06-01 07:29:54	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x1ee072…
06-01 07:17:38	Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xeaa4a1…
06-01 07:17:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x737b68…
06-01 07:17:06	Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0x557f02…
06-01 07:14:53	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x997615…
06-01 07:04:20	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?	No	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0x2fa570…
06-01 06:55:45	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xb255da…
06-01 06:30:52	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0xfd89dc…
06-01 06:29:13	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xe04285…
06-01 06:28:45	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x95a730…
06-01 06:26:19	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfae04f…
06-01 06:25:37	Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x878405…