Scholarly-Glue — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

5,967 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.37K

$26.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-06 11:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 164 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% -$310

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 05:45 UTC	42	$408	476	469	+6	Down	-$8	01-26 05:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 4?	2	$405	206	206	+0	No	+$5	11-04 16:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 5?	2	$364	204	204	+0	Yes	-$36	11-05 14:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 09:30 UTC	5	$292	157	156	+1	Down	+$11	01-07 09:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 07:00 UTC	10	$292	195	193	+2	Up	+$4	01-08 07:38
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on November 3?	2	$202	103	103	+0	No	+$2	11-03 21:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 10:00 UTC	7	$182	158	99	+59	Up	-$17	01-07 10:10
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 6?	3	$174	182	0	+182	No	+$8	11-06 11:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 10:30 UTC	5	$173	102	102	+0	Up	+$1	01-07 10:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 09:00 UTC	12	$142	157	59	+98	Down	+$6	01-07 09:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 12:15 UTC	7	$142	125	101	+24	Up	+$4	01-08 12:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 10:15 UTC	3	$140	80	80	+0	Down	-$15	01-07 10:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 18:00 UTC	17	$136	134	132	+2	Up	-$8	01-24 18:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 07:15 UTC	9	$131	115	81	+34	Down	-$27	01-13 07:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 3?	2	$121	61	61	+0	No	+$1	11-03 21:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 19:00 UTC	8	$120	89	88	+1	Down	-$6	01-07 19:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 06:45 UTC	4	$105	47	72	-25	Down	-$2	01-08 06:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 16:15 UTC	3	$103	103	79	+24	Down	+$5	01-07 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 09:15 UTC	36	$102	108	107	+1	Down	-$4	01-26 09:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 19:30 UTC	2	$101	52	52	+0	Up	-$1	01-07 19:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 08:45 UTC	7	$101	68	47	+21	Down	+$1	01-08 08:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 18:30 UTC	7	$98	127	0	+127	Up	-$12	01-09 18:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 07:00 UTC	31	$94	106	101	+6	Up	+$4	01-26 07:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 16:30 UTC	3	$93	24	76	-52	Down	+$0	01-07 16:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 09:15 UTC	5	$92	60	59	+0	Down	-$13	01-20 09:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 10:00 UTC	4	$92	57	46	+11	Down	-$1	01-08 10:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:00 UTC	3	$92	75	22	+53	Down	+$3	01-07 15:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 17:00 UTC	2	$91	52	52	+0	Down	+$12	02-03 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 08:30 UTC	26	$87	72	27	+45	Down	+$1	01-07 08:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 14:45 UTC	4	$84	44	44	+0	Down	+$1	01-20 14:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 11:51:19	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x6c2b9f…
11-06 11:21:49	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xee4700…
11-06 11:11:09	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xe4cf6d…
11-05 14:51:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 5?	No	SELL	204	80¢	$164	0xc999a1…
11-05 07:40:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xe22614…
11-04 16:37:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 4?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$205	0x69a762…
11-04 07:58:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xe049a0…
11-03 21:10:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 3?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xf0b265…
11-03 21:10:00	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on November 3?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x90286b…
11-03 07:58:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xbf3724…
11-03 07:38:25	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x4c22ae…
11-02 08:50:48	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x2a20da…
11-01 09:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	SELL	25	86¢	$21	0xd98802…
11-01 09:58:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0xa9c473…
11-01 09:35:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x0ead37…
11-01 09:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x047347…
10-30 13:17:43	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xd57ca0…
10-30 13:17:24	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xde848d…
07-23 00:21:16	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 22	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x1556b2…
07-23 00:21:12	will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 22	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3cd0c8…
07-22 13:49:58	will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 22	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xba8e23…
07-22 13:49:54	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 22	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xafbb41…
07-11 17:35:47	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 11	No	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0xa55d2c…
07-11 12:01:47	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 11	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x90f293…
07-10 18:49:43	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 10	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x1831bb…
07-10 10:02:16	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 10	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xe41ded…
07-07 22:28:16	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 7	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xd3ae52…
07-07 18:08:37	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 7	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x981149…
07-06 13:22:47	bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3dca96…
07-06 13:01:55	bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3bedc7…
07-06 12:17:04	bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x4f7267…
07-06 06:57:29	bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd3d2e9…
07-03 15:10:02	bitcoin up or down on july 3 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe374ee…
07-03 08:45:02	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x895fbf…
07-03 07:45:02	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa14e0d…
07-03 06:45:02	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x2a486b…
07-03 05:45:02	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0f2123…
07-03 04:45:04	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x4e1652…
07-03 03:46:01	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xa67b99…
07-03 02:45:02	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc1092b…
07-03 01:45:04	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x453467…
07-03 00:45:04	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1a242c…
07-02 23:45:53	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x045923…
07-02 22:45:02	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xaecdc4…
07-02 21:45:02	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x55f202…
07-02 20:45:02	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe70005…
07-02 19:45:02	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8b68aa…
07-02 18:45:04	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe13ac4…
07-02 17:45:02	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x968a59…
07-02 16:45:04	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x91fa94…
07-02 15:49:34	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xed5a9f…
07-02 14:45:04	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x10b306…
07-02 13:45:04	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x15ad02…
07-02 12:49:34	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x965a6d…
07-02 11:59:19	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1ddf9e…
07-02 11:55:22	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8c2a55…
07-01 12:17:49	will bitcoin dip to 56k on july 1	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xcb4a03…
07-01 07:56:55	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	27	55¢	$15	0x58c627…
07-01 07:55:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xd544a3…
07-01 04:55:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xefe152…
07-01 03:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xca37d1…
07-01 01:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x504c23…
07-01 00:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xc77f55…
06-30 23:59:55	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	25	57¢	$14	0xc4e9af…
06-30 23:55:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x4a639c…
06-30 22:57:56	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x136019…
06-30 22:55:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd1566b…
06-30 21:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0568d1…
06-30 20:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x4b16b2…
06-30 19:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x01bac3…
06-30 17:55:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x742f3f…
06-30 16:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x9f7d01…
06-30 15:58:13	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	26	52¢	$14	0xc507bd…
06-30 15:55:31	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x81d0db…
06-30 14:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5b4d0a…
06-30 13:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x69ef12…
06-30 11:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3d8b75…
06-30 10:56:17	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x4bbeee…
06-30 10:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xc1d9f1…
06-30 09:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xacffe5…
06-30 08:55:04	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4da976…
06-30 07:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x79f44b…
06-30 06:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeac6d6…
06-30 05:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7ae82f…
06-30 02:58:46	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x1f72f1…
06-30 02:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8d99cc…
06-30 01:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xf0c6d6…
06-29 22:55:04	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xf275b2…
06-29 20:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbfe154…
06-29 19:55:04	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4406ee…
06-29 18:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x09737c…
06-29 16:55:46	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	26	55¢	$14	0xd50248…
06-29 16:55:10	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x2d16b2…
06-29 14:56:38	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xc5f79f…
06-29 12:59:34	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xe46621…
06-29 10:55:25	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x397a17…
06-29 09:55:04	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9abc50…
06-29 08:55:02	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa1c613…
06-29 07:57:26	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xcbfd64…
06-29 06:58:32	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	27	55¢	$15	0x842208…