Awful-Shallot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

Trades

15,928

lifetime

Volume

$418.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 05-31 21:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

57% 29% $-5

Politics

37% 25% $-0

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

2% 33% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	444	$49.5K	26,719	26,220	+498	open	—	01-22 12:43
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	212	$32.3K	18,000	18,597	-597	open	—	01-22 12:53
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	84	$13.8K	7,236	7,236	+0	open	—	01-24 00:06
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	59	$8.9K	4,699	4,698	+1	open	—	01-26 01:23
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	97	$8.9K	4,849	4,643	+206	open	—	01-30 07:18
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	70	$7.5K	4,043	3,905	+138	open	—	01-16 10:49
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	102	$7.1K	3,734	3,714	+20	open	—	02-03 10:27
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	72	$6.4K	3,477	3,319	+158	open	—	01-26 16:36
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	50	$5.8K	3,380	3,179	+201	open	—	02-01 04:15
will there be 10 12 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	48	$5.5K	2,862	2,861	+1	open	—	01-27 00:33
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	134	$5.5K	2,843	2,842	+1	open	—	01-28 12:09
internet access restored in iran by friday 972	53	$4.9K	2,841	2,840	+2	open	—	01-22 00:56
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	54	$4.9K	2,549	2,549	+0	open	—	01-31 22:44
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes 638 582	86	$4.8K	2,758	2,657	+101	open	—	01-25 02:41
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes 266 694	106	$4.7K	2,645	2,495	+150	open	—	01-25 02:39
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes 238 682	97	$4.4K	2,401	2,398	+3	open	—	01-25 01:53
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	57	$4.3K	2,382	2,281	+101	open	—	01-25 23:00
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	33	$4.1K	2,349	2,349	+0	open	—	02-03 18:09
will alex honnold not complete a free solo of taipei 101 by january 31	58	$3.5K	1,830	1,829	+1	open	—	01-25 02:02
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours 578 355	56	$3.5K	1,916	1,916	+0	open	—	01-25 02:35
Will the US strike Iran next?	38	$3.3K	2,211	2,211	+0	open	—	01-15 22:11
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	41	$3.2K	1,662	1,662	+0	open	—	01-19 08:05
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	21	$3.2K	1,675	1,674	+1	open	—	01-31 18:03
will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	25	$3.0K	1,564	1,564	+0	open	—	01-25 07:46
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	23	$2.9K	1,839	1,839	+0	open	—	01-26 02:51
will there be 8 10 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	24	$2.8K	1,437	1,436	+1	open	—	01-26 01:43
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes 281	71	$2.7K	1,700	1,599	+101	open	—	01-25 01:55
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	132	$2.5K	1,305	1,323	-18	open	—	02-12 07:30
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	111	$2.5K	1,311	1,291	+20	open	—	01-24 09:47
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	35	$2.3K	1,417	1,417	+0	open	—	01-18 20:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 21:12:20	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x7785e7…
05-12 18:11:50	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x097caf…
05-12 07:20:40	Will Joel Harris win Tie Down Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$2	0x136389…
05-12 02:35:14	Will Trump say "401(k)" or "Dow" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xfba9ca…
05-12 02:29:40	Will Trump say "401(k)" or "Dow" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7936fe…
05-12 00:40:28	Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5c1865…
05-11 22:11:40	Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x7b1581…
05-11 21:04:43	Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x4c8614…
05-11 20:58:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 11?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x49df59…
05-11 20:58:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 11?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x9bbe30…
05-11 20:55:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb97405…
05-11 20:51:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 11?	No	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x0bce49…
05-11 20:51:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x3e719f…
05-11 20:24:41	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa447c7…
05-11 20:24:34	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x181597…
05-11 20:19:29	Will Joel Harris win Tie Down Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x8f4c97…
05-11 20:16:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x981cdd…
05-11 20:15:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2eff2e…
05-11 20:15:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5bd9ab…
05-11 20:15:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x6b6f75…
05-11 19:45:51	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x7b5bbe…
05-11 19:45:43	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xdeca67…
05-11 19:45:43	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x534176…
05-11 19:35:53	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x6f5f6c…
05-11 19:32:07	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4c5b4e…
05-11 19:02:40	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xdc258e…
05-11 18:00:08	Will Joel Harris win Tie Down Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcaf16f…
05-11 17:45:57	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x89686a…
05-11 17:42:20	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $76 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe71ded…
05-11 16:29:34	Will Joel Harris win Tie Down Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xecc1e7…
05-11 12:05:35	Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2ba405…
05-11 02:00:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x0c88e3…
05-11 01:53:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe4bf91…
05-11 01:53:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x08aef2…
05-11 01:49:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xcb40dc…
05-11 01:48:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xad2f39…
05-11 01:32:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xdddd5c…
05-11 01:12:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xe0e5fc…
05-11 01:10:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	91¢	$14	0xf6a3e9…
05-11 01:01:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x4fcc06…
05-11 01:00:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x6ebd42…
05-11 00:56:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x96644e…
05-11 00:55:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf3bc70…
05-11 00:49:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xc67d94…
05-11 00:49:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x8a64bc…
05-11 00:48:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x91e108…
05-11 00:31:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0x2ebf90…
05-11 00:17:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x5bbe08…
05-10 22:04:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x27093c…
05-10 19:24:14	Will 0 contenders win the jackpot at The American Rodeo Championship Weekend 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xfb630c…
05-05 02:00:50	Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x6c00f8…
05-05 02:00:48	Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xa35989…
05-05 02:00:48	Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x8dfad9…
05-05 02:00:46	Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x03bf13…
05-05 02:00:44	Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x8b3b2f…
05-05 01:58:50	Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x642cc1…
05-05 01:20:52	Will Ice Spice attend the Met Gala?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd9a5ec…
05-05 01:20:16	Will Billie Eilish attend the Met Gala?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xab3302…
05-05 01:20:06	Will Billie Eilish attend the Met Gala?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x808ad3…
05-04 20:59:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4a8d93…
05-04 20:59:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x959c71…
05-04 20:59:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa3327e…
05-04 20:59:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x77bddc…
05-04 20:59:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1eb35a…
05-04 20:57:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x435c48…
05-04 20:57:18	Will Rihanna attend the Met Gala?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x8f150e…
05-04 20:35:32	Will Rihanna attend the Met Gala?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x273e14…
05-04 19:52:42	Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Small Business Summit?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x0db6d2…
05-04 19:37:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 4?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9a3519…
05-04 16:11:00	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 4?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x162e8d…
05-04 13:10:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 4, 2026?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x05d2ad…
05-04 00:54:56	Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x50472d…
05-04 00:17:10	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 4?	No	BUY	86	2¢	$2	0x29c928…
05-01 10:00:32	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xd409d4…
05-01 10:00:28	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x68b73a…
05-01 10:00:18	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x54dc50…
05-01 09:58:58	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$0	0x8da256…
05-01 09:56:06	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x01ced8…
05-01 09:53:06	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x8d327a…
05-01 04:17:32	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x64613c…
05-01 02:10:04	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xb8ca26…
05-01 01:22:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7c6ad2…
05-01 01:21:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1b1612…
05-01 01:20:46	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xd03099…
05-01 01:20:04	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xef9663…
05-01 00:40:28	Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x549280…
05-01 00:21:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x8f0e39…
05-01 00:21:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x561685…
04-30 21:00:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on April 30?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x860c23…
04-30 21:00:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on April 30?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc64170…
04-30 21:00:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on April 30?	No	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x7a8a9f…
04-30 20:59:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on April 30?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x148e34…
04-30 20:59:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on April 30?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xe649b5…
04-30 20:59:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on April 30?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x46431f…
04-30 20:50:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on April 30?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe9c455…
04-30 20:49:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on April 30?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xeed64c…
04-30 20:49:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on April 30?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xcfb9ea…
04-30 20:42:06	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xf5f979…
04-30 20:40:36	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xa53eb5…
04-30 20:40:18	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x72113f…