Tinted-Bellows 0x30feed…1774bc Create alert
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$46
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
86.1%
Resolved (7d)
13
Trades (7d)
31
5,758 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$388
$82.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$277
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 11-09 10:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 231 days
Categories
Other
98% 57% +$786
Politics
1% 63% +$169
Crypto
1% 74% -$42
Tech
0% 25% -$35
Sports
0% 50% -$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +50 $38 95¢ $48 +$10 11-06 14:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +60 $42 78¢ $46 +$4 11-09 10:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +70 $50 62¢ $43 -$7 11-08 14:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +50 $34 84¢ $42 +$8 11-07 14:16
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +40 $22 71¢ $28 +$6 11-04 15:23
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $22 12¢ $25 +$3 09-11 11:49
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +60 $21 29¢ $17 -$4 11-02 14:37
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +60 $17 20¢ $12 -$5 11-06 14:51
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31? No +60 $11 20¢ $12 +$1 11-08 14:14
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes +40 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 05-11 11:51
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +40 $11 3¢ $1 -$10 05-26 06:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +60 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 05-11 11:51