Quarrelsome-Humour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$99

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.1%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-07 08:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% -$2

Crypto

45% 89% -$96

Politics

7% 0% $0

Sports

2% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	4	$399	200	200	+0	No	$0	01-21 10:40
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$398	200	200	+0	No	$0	01-14 11:15
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-02 12:51
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-07 09:34
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 260 279	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-18 09:31
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 140 159	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-29 15:00
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 620 639	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-27 06:40
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-22 09:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$177	88	88	+0	No	$0	07-07 08:45
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$177	88	88	+0	No	$0	04-29 07:59
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	$0	03-27 13:16
Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	$0	07-02 05:03
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 480 499	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	$0	03-23 14:48
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	$0	06-03 13:35
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	$0	03-16 06:04
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	$0	05-21 07:47
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 280 299	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	$0	03-21 13:43
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	$0	05-28 05:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	$0	04-17 05:25
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 100 119	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	$0	03-17 16:21
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	$0	06-23 09:27
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	$0	04-24 05:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	$0	03-26 08:52
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$175	88	88	+0	open	—	05-14 07:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$175	88	88	+0	No	$0	03-30 09:42
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 140 159	2	$175	87	87	+0	No	$0	03-13 12:52
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 200 219	2	$174	87	87	+0	No	$0	03-07 14:12
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 260 279	2	$174	87	87	+0	No	$0	03-11 05:21
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$174	87	87	+0	No	$0	03-04 09:52
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 80 99	2	$174	87	87	+0	No	$0	02-09 12:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 08:46:01	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x6c0786…
07-07 08:45:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x78dbea…
07-07 08:45:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa8e328…
07-02 05:04:31	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x06d471…
07-02 05:03:28	Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xd49fa6…
07-02 05:03:11	Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x4a91a2…
06-23 09:29:11	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xc84ed9…
06-23 09:27:29	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xaed599…
06-23 09:27:11	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x706922…
06-03 13:35:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa4358a…
06-03 13:35:20	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x8c4714…
06-03 13:35:13	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xee9287…
05-28 05:09:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa37f4d…
05-28 05:04:32	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x0d049b…
05-28 05:04:25	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x76a079…
05-21 07:49:52	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x1bfde8…
05-21 07:47:27	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x1c71a8…
05-21 07:47:16	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xb8d236…
05-14 07:53:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x840f97…
05-14 07:52:12	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	88	99¢	$88	0x509635…
05-14 07:52:03	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	88	99¢	$88	0xcb3954…
04-29 08:00:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x2f262e…
04-29 07:59:44	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x5162f4…
04-29 07:59:38	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x835fa2…
04-27 04:18:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x17e280…
04-24 05:22:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on april 24	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x1dba78…
04-24 05:21:46	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xc0e349…
04-24 05:21:38	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x8b9708…
04-21 06:27:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xc4151b…
04-17 05:25:34	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xf1f727…
04-17 05:25:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xe3afad…
04-17 05:24:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x9a3524…
04-07 11:31:27	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x80531c…
04-02 09:48:27	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x2e8e36…
03-30 09:42:48	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa0fa5e…
03-30 09:42:28	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x39d44f…
03-30 09:41:04	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0xb44ac1…
03-27 13:16:51	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xf93265…
03-27 13:16:17	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x27b17b…
03-27 13:16:05	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xc6eff9…
03-26 08:52:49	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 26	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xeae733…
03-26 08:52:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x96071c…
03-26 08:51:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x76de82…
03-23 15:19:51	bitcoin above 80k on march 24	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x7ec8fb…
03-23 14:48:47	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 480 499	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x63fafc…
03-23 14:48:29	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 480 499	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x14a390…
03-21 13:44:09	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 21	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x5cc646…
03-21 13:43:43	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 280 299	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x3358bf…
03-21 13:43:33	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 280 299	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x41a53c…
03-17 16:22:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 18	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xbb4a54…
03-17 16:21:45	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 100 119	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x757c3c…
03-17 16:21:33	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 100 119	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x885277…
03-16 06:05:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 16	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x434b87…
03-16 06:04:43	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x67ee26…
03-16 06:04:31	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x68fea9…
03-13 12:52:41	bitcoin above 76k on march 13	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0xba9bad…
03-13 12:52:05	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 140 159	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0xac63fa…
03-13 12:51:47	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 140 159	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x1c2191…
03-11 05:25:47	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xb70b7a…
03-11 05:21:43	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 260 279	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0xf5bed8…
03-11 05:20:57	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 260 279	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x3d4d9a…
03-07 14:14:39	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 8	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x6a4105…
03-07 14:12:47	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 200 219	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x452ea2…
03-07 14:12:31	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 200 219	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x33702a…
03-04 09:52:39	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xd4ebbe…
03-04 09:52:13	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x1bcf08…
03-04 09:52:01	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xfe10e0…
03-01 10:42:19	bitcoin above 72k on march 1	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x061071…
03-01 10:41:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	87	99¢	$87	0x89cbc1…
03-01 10:40:59	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x33a337…
02-09 12:24:39	bitcoin above 74k on february 9	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x288bf5…
02-09 12:24:17	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 80 99	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x262241…
02-09 12:24:05	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 80 99	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x2f18ee…
02-04 13:43:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xad3905…
02-04 13:42:26	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x605381…
02-04 13:41:50	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xa0ef6d…
02-02 09:57:56	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x4a10bb…
02-02 09:57:00	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x94ee79…
02-02 09:56:38	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x8836a0…
01-30 06:58:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x962ce0…
01-30 05:14:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x4e43c0…
01-30 04:43:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc8eeef…
01-29 15:29:48	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 29	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x8ebc24…
01-29 15:00:58	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 140 159	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x28dcc2…
01-29 15:00:18	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 140 159	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0138e7…
01-27 06:40:45	bitcoin above 84k on january 27	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x34b990…
01-27 06:40:21	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 620 639	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5d7e14…
01-27 06:39:47	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 620 639	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x40e2df…
01-22 09:33:32	bitcoin above 98k on january 23	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfa952c…
01-22 09:32:32	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x80241a…
01-22 09:32:10	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3df111…
01-21 10:40:44	bitcoin above 94k on january 21	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x285a0c…
01-21 10:40:16	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x6ac664…
01-21 10:40:06	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3da792…
01-18 09:32:34	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 19	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6a37bb…
01-18 09:31:20	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 260 279	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x558509…
01-18 09:30:44	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 260 279	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x26acc4…
01-14 11:16:38	bitcoin above 100k on january 14	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8b4ba2…
01-14 11:15:52	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4effa9…
01-14 11:15:22	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7bc549…