Fortunate-Perception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$149

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.1%

Resolved

502

Trades

5,925

lifetime

Volume

$45.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 07-30 06:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 35% $-149

Other

6% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	7	$1.6K	5,860	+5,860	open	—	07-24 09:58
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	6	$797	19,969	+19,969	open	—	07-18 05:29
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	5	$795	6,649	+6,649	open	—	07-17 16:15
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	6	$600	8,173	+8,173	open	—	07-22 11:46
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	5	$396	7,045	+7,045	open	—	07-17 13:08
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	2	$200	1,818	+1,818	open	—	06-22 08:11
eth updown 5m 1773593100	2	$192	400	+400	open	—	03-15 16:46
btc updown 5m 1773919500	5	$180	300	+300	open	—	03-19 11:28
sol updown 5m 1773919200	20	$180	300	+300	open	—	03-19 11:21
sol updown 5m 1773598500	2	$169	400	+400	open	—	03-15 18:16
btc updown 5m 1773898200	2	$120	200	+200	open	—	03-19 05:32
btc updown 5m 1773894900	6	$120	200	+200	open	—	03-19 04:35
xrp updown 5m 1773914400	8	$120	200	+200	open	—	03-19 10:01
sol updown 5m 1773894000	3	$118	200	+200	open	—	03-19 04:22
eth updown 5m 1773900600	1	$118	200	+200	open	—	03-19 06:12
eth updown 5m 1773912600	1	$116	200	+200	open	—	03-19 09:32
sol updown 5m 1773915600	1	$112	200	+200	open	—	03-19 10:22
btc updown 5m 1773420300	3	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-13 16:46
btc updown 5m 1773612900	5	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-15 22:18
xrp updown 5m 1774680600	6	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-28 06:51
eth updown 5m 1774737300	7	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-28 22:38
sol updown 5m 1774700400	10	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-28 12:24
eth updown 5m 1774668300	10	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-28 03:26
xrp updown 5m 1773595800	7	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-15 17:32
xrp updown 5m 1773587100	5	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-15 15:08
btc updown 5m 1773607800	11	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-15 20:53
eth updown 5m 1773407700	12	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-13 13:16
btc updown 5m 1773588900	10	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-15 15:37
xrp updown 5m 1773600600	9	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-15 18:51
eth updown 5m 1774673100	10	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-28 04:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 06:04:24	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	211	9¢	$20	0x4111dd…
07-24 09:58:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	667	30¢	$200	0x55837c…
07-24 09:58:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,667	30¢	$500	0x1b7bf4…
07-24 03:50:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,613	31¢	$500	0xbfd724…
07-22 11:46:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	2,299	9¢	$200	0x4eaea7…
07-18 05:29:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	6,134	5¢	$300	0xbb0de8…
07-18 05:19:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	7,231	4¢	$297	0xbb9dad…
07-18 05:05:27	btc updown 5m 1784351100	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbcbf54…
07-18 04:50:46	eth updown 5m 1784350200	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xffc1f4…
07-18 04:50:36	btc updown 5m 1784350200	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8722a9…
07-18 04:48:22	eth updown 5m 1784349900	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x379e67…
07-17 16:15:58	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	2,701	14¢	$385	0x91a3d1…
07-17 15:10:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	2,633	8¢	$200	0x519169…
07-17 15:10:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	870	23¢	$200	0x443d63…
07-17 13:08:49	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,939	5¢	$96	0xcb7a29…
07-17 13:08:00	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x513ccc…
07-17 12:46:36	bnb updown 5m 1784292300	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd61d1b…
07-17 12:11:22	btc updown 5m 1784290200	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xdbcb11…
07-17 11:15:39	doge updown 5m 1784286900	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x94fc9f…
07-17 11:15:27	btc updown 5m 1784286900	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x4f1ee1…
07-17 11:05:31	btc updown 5m 1784286300	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc04c2e…
07-17 11:05:31	btc updown 5m 1784286300	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x217526…
07-17 10:56:21	btc updown 5m 1784285700	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x8c425e…
07-17 10:50:43	btc updown 5m 1784285400	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xca6fbb…
07-17 10:45:30	btc updown 5m 1784285100	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x2b46d9…
07-17 10:25:36	xrp updown 5m 1784283900	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x36964c…
07-17 09:45:30	btc updown 5m 1784281500	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xba0ae8…
07-17 08:36:27	doge updown 5m 1784277300	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xb2f6fb…
07-17 08:28:28	bnb updown 5m 1784276700	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x6cb395…
07-17 08:25:36	doge updown 5m 1784276700	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3a0c69…
07-17 08:05:30	eth updown 5m 1784275500	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xddebba…
07-17 08:01:04	eth updown 5m 1784275200	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x12b928…
07-17 07:56:33	doge updown 5m 1784274900	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9a830d…
07-17 07:56:21	doge updown 5m 1784274900	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x415eb3…
07-17 07:56:18	doge updown 5m 1784274900	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x97a47d…
07-17 07:37:18	eth updown 5m 1784273700	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xe8ec40…
07-17 06:11:21	btc updown 5m 1784268600	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x01873d…
07-17 04:40:39	doge updown 5m 1784263200	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe55da9…
07-17 04:30:55	hype updown 5m 1784262600	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x5e2b80…
07-17 04:25:51	bnb updown 5m 1784262300	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0xa108f8…
07-17 04:25:48	bnb updown 5m 1784262300	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$2	0x7865d8…
07-17 04:25:45	bnb updown 5m 1784262300	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xfd05d7…
07-17 04:25:45	bnb updown 5m 1784262300	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$2	0xdf3272…
07-17 04:25:45	bnb updown 5m 1784262300	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x19b9a5…
07-17 04:11:33	xrp updown 5m 1784261400	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x3929c7…
07-15 02:46:20	eth updown 5m 1784083500	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x784788…
07-15 01:36:22	sol updown 5m 1784079300	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x62ad0b…
07-14 21:55:40	hype updown 5m 1784066100	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x1b656b…
07-14 21:50:52	hype updown 5m 1784065800	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xe3024c…
07-14 21:47:28	bnb updown 5m 1784065500	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x76a238…
07-14 20:12:22	xrp updown 5m 1784059800	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0b8370…
07-14 19:40:47	bnb updown 5m 1784058000	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0845dd…
07-14 18:21:38	bnb updown 5m 1784053200	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x9c2d83…
07-14 17:21:34	hype updown 5m 1784049600	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x3445dd…
07-14 16:37:28	doge updown 5m 1784046900	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xb28966…
07-14 15:40:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	3,102	3¢	$100	0x0b387b…
07-14 15:40:28	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,559	6¢	$100	0xe24fed…
07-14 15:39:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xde82c7…
07-14 14:26:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	2,013	2¢	$50	0xec312a…
07-14 14:05:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	820	6¢	$50	0x407a8e…
07-14 14:05:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xaa9547…
07-14 12:16:14	hype updown 5m 1784031300	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xf45a5f…
07-14 12:16:14	hype updown 5m 1784031300	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x156dab…
07-14 11:22:26	bnb updown 5m 1784028000	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x6a6d66…
07-14 10:28:26	hype updown 5m 1784024700	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xb11a64…
07-14 09:57:25	hype updown 5m 1784022900	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xf1ee44…
07-14 09:27:29	bnb updown 5m 1784021100	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xe9a0d1…
07-14 09:27:29	bnb updown 5m 1784021100	Up	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xd5aee4…
07-14 09:27:29	bnb updown 5m 1784021100	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x2df8cb…
07-14 07:36:37	hype updown 5m 1784014500	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc4f54c…
07-14 07:31:34	hype updown 5m 1784014200	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x302ca4…
07-14 05:40:59	hype updown 5m 1784007600	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xdc14c0…
07-14 05:20:46	hype updown 5m 1784006400	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x971944…
07-14 05:15:38	sol updown 5m 1784006100	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc22448…
07-14 04:32:29	doge updown 5m 1784003400	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x988faf…
07-14 03:58:25	xrp updown 5m 1784001300	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x00fb9d…
07-14 02:46:32	xrp updown 5m 1783997100	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x18a9c5…
07-14 02:46:32	xrp updown 5m 1783997100	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x01beae…
07-14 01:32:28	doge updown 5m 1783992600	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xb9e7f4…
07-14 01:32:26	doge updown 5m 1783992600	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc3a7f1…
07-14 01:15:40	hype updown 5m 1783991700	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x1c5fa6…
07-14 01:08:29	sol updown 5m 1783991100	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x459080…
07-14 00:18:25	sol updown 5m 1783988100	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x26486b…
07-13 22:35:37	hype updown 5m 1783982100	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x5d7003…
07-13 22:21:32	doge updown 5m 1783981200	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xfa4f81…
07-13 22:11:38	hype updown 5m 1783980600	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xabc224…
07-13 21:46:20	eth updown 5m 1783979100	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x42f750…
07-13 20:03:23	sol updown 5m 1783972800	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xd898e5…
07-13 17:55:35	bnb updown 5m 1783965300	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdd336d…
07-13 17:21:38	bnb updown 5m 1783963200	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xac9bfa…
07-13 13:22:29	eth updown 5m 1783948800	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfe3302…
07-13 13:22:19	btc updown 5m 1783948800	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x6681ee…
07-13 13:15:29	btc updown 5m 1783948500	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xceaf25…
07-13 13:01:10	btc updown 5m 1783947600	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xda0a82…
07-13 12:55:38	eth updown 5m 1783947300	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x4b3b26…
07-13 12:55:22	btc updown 5m 1783947300	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x892ebe…
07-13 12:51:16	btc updown 5m 1783947000	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x2983c8…
07-13 12:50:44	eth updown 5m 1783947000	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xb450b2…
07-13 11:02:25	hype updown 5m 1783940400	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa1d41e…
07-13 10:47:26	bnb updown 5m 1783939500	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4ab051…