Fortunate-Perception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$149

Unrealized P&L

-$31

Hit rate

38.1%

Resolved

502

Trades

5,563

lifetime

Volume

$40.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$399

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 06-30 10:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 35% $-149

Other

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 241 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	+3,108	$200	6¢	$197	$-3	06-26 03:24
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	+1,805	$210	10¢	$181	$-29	06-26 03:24
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	Yes	+120	$10	12¢	$14	+$4	06-24 02:08
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?	Yes	+153	$10	5¢	$7	$-3	06-24 02:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	2	$210	1,805	+1,805	open	—	06-26 03:24
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	3	$200	3,108	+3,108	open	—	06-26 03:24
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	2	$200	1,818	+1,818	open	—	06-22 08:11
eth updown 5m 1773593100	2	$192	400	+400	open	—	03-15 16:46
btc updown 5m 1773919500	5	$180	300	+300	open	—	03-19 11:28
sol updown 5m 1773919200	20	$180	300	+300	open	—	03-19 11:21
sol updown 5m 1773598500	2	$169	400	+400	open	—	03-15 18:16
btc updown 5m 1773894900	6	$120	200	+200	open	—	03-19 04:35
btc updown 5m 1773898200	2	$120	200	+200	open	—	03-19 05:32
xrp updown 5m 1773914400	8	$120	200	+200	open	—	03-19 10:01
sol updown 5m 1773894000	3	$118	200	+200	open	—	03-19 04:22
eth updown 5m 1773900600	1	$118	200	+200	open	—	03-19 06:12
eth updown 5m 1773912600	1	$116	200	+200	open	—	03-19 09:32
sol updown 5m 1773915600	1	$112	200	+200	open	—	03-19 10:22
btc updown 5m 1773420300	3	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-13 16:46
btc updown 5m 1773612900	5	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-15 22:18
xrp updown 5m 1774680600	6	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-28 06:51
eth updown 5m 1774737300	7	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-28 22:38
sol updown 5m 1774700400	10	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-28 12:24
eth updown 5m 1774668300	10	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-28 03:26
xrp updown 5m 1773595800	7	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-15 17:32
xrp updown 5m 1773587100	5	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-15 15:08
btc updown 5m 1773607800	11	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-15 20:53
eth updown 5m 1773407700	12	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-13 13:16
btc updown 5m 1773588900	10	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-15 15:37
xrp updown 5m 1773600600	9	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-15 18:51
eth updown 5m 1774673100	10	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-28 04:45
eth updown 5m 1774675800	9	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-28 05:30
sol updown 5m 1774669500	12	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-28 03:46
xrp updown 5m 1773597900	16	$110	200	+200	open	—	03-15 18:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 21:40:25	btc updown 5m 1782855600	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xbd1a20…
06-30 10:10:29	eth updown 5m 1782814200	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xa6be73…
06-30 03:02:32	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	BUY	565	18¢	$100	0x34ab49…
06-30 02:45:41	xrp updown 5m 1782787500	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x24453d…
06-30 01:46:17	btc updown 5m 1782783900	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x4eaf26…
06-29 21:37:19	btc updown 5m 1782768900	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x8a6351…
06-29 17:31:16	btc updown 5m 1782754200	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xb268b1…
06-29 17:26:20	btc updown 5m 1782753900	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xde8946…
06-29 13:31:17	btc updown 5m 1782739800	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x42f77e…
06-29 13:06:14	btc updown 5m 1782738300	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x6cc1b2…
06-29 06:56:16	eth updown 5m 1782716100	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x3127c9…
06-28 21:06:22	eth updown 5m 1782680700	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x0d9346…
06-28 18:26:22	eth updown 5m 1782671100	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xafe967…
06-28 16:58:16	eth updown 5m 1782665700	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xd9d69d…
06-28 11:16:17	eth updown 5m 1782645300	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xe1fc3f…
06-28 11:02:16	eth updown 5m 1782644400	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x9034c6…
06-28 09:51:19	btc updown 5m 1782640200	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xed558b…
06-28 08:33:19	eth updown 5m 1782635400	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xba5ce7…
06-28 07:12:23	eth updown 5m 1782630600	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf6026a…
06-28 06:56:16	btc updown 5m 1782629700	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xc36450…
06-28 06:41:16	eth updown 5m 1782628800	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xff9b5a…
06-28 06:32:17	eth updown 5m 1782628200	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x20e82e…
06-28 05:48:20	eth updown 5m 1782625500	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x2b9b8f…
06-28 04:56:14	btc updown 5m 1782622500	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x8358f3…
06-28 00:17:20	eth updown 5m 1782605700	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xeaac70…
06-27 19:02:23	eth updown 5m 1782586800	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xe25e5f…
06-27 17:50:35	eth updown 5m 1782582600	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xf17924…
06-27 16:26:13	eth updown 5m 1782577500	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x45a709…
06-27 13:21:40	eth updown 5m 1782566400	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xbd3c0f…
06-27 12:36:34	eth updown 5m 1782563700	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xe9c0ae…
06-26 17:30:53	xrp updown 5m 1782495000	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa76313…
06-26 08:55:43	hype updown 5m 1782464100	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xc4ec96…
06-26 07:32:37	btc updown 5m 1782459000	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x5d293f…
06-26 07:01:47	hype updown 5m 1782457200	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x7eff64…
06-26 06:51:34	hype updown 5m 1782456600	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x30fceb…
06-26 06:33:40	btc updown 5m 1782455400	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3faddf…
06-26 06:33:34	doge updown 5m 1782455400	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x59fb06…
06-26 06:31:17	hype updown 5m 1782455400	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xfe9bd4…
06-26 06:01:34	hype updown 5m 1782453600	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xee5cf8…
06-26 04:33:40	hype updown 5m 1782448200	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xcf5bfd…
06-26 03:24:49	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	1,719	12¢	$200	0x6306cd…
06-26 03:24:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	746	7¢	$50	0x9633f3…
06-26 03:20:46	hype updown 5m 1782444000	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xc13de3…
06-26 02:22:26	btc updown 5m 1782440400	Up	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x194719…
06-26 02:16:20	doge updown 5m 1782440100	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x990370…
06-26 02:11:17	hype updown 5m 1782439800	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x35ec76…
06-26 01:32:52	btc updown 5m 1782437400	Up	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x04a211…
06-26 01:07:23	btc updown 5m 1782435900	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x2e3640…
06-26 00:58:28	btc updown 5m 1782435300	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x8576b4…
06-26 00:41:10	bnb updown 5m 1782434400	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x14f331…
06-26 00:37:47	btc updown 5m 1782434100	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x060929…
06-26 00:17:56	btc updown 5m 1782432900	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc480bb…
06-25 23:06:19	btc updown 5m 1782428700	Up	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x7e687c…
06-25 23:05:53	hype updown 5m 1782428700	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x33ee21…
06-25 18:37:44	xrp updown 5m 1782412500	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xf9d411…
06-25 18:11:25	btc updown 5m 1782411000	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x73bf7d…
06-25 16:52:59	btc updown 5m 1782406200	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa39049…
06-25 15:36:52	bnb updown 5m 1782401700	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x433173…
06-25 15:28:01	btc updown 5m 1782401100	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xc861e4…
06-25 11:51:20	btc updown 5m 1782388200	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x6b7d67…
06-25 11:31:11	eth updown 5m 1782387000	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x87c68c…
06-25 11:11:32	hype updown 5m 1782385800	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xed5e4d…
06-25 10:52:32	eth updown 5m 1782384600	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xb9480d…
06-25 10:42:16	btc updown 5m 1782384000	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xf0bfa2…
06-25 10:08:04	eth updown 5m 1782381900	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x10ee03…
06-25 09:57:31	btc updown 5m 1782381300	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x9a4ca5…
06-25 08:52:55	xrp updown 5m 1782377400	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x5d1ae3…
06-25 07:46:40	eth updown 5m 1782373500	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbbe776…
06-25 07:46:31	doge updown 5m 1782373500	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xd61404…
06-25 07:46:19	xrp updown 5m 1782373500	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x5e7de4…
06-25 07:45:59	eth updown 5m 1782373500	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcd52a2…
06-25 07:45:59	eth updown 5m 1782373500	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x9a4878…
06-25 07:22:23	eth updown 5m 1782372000	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x9573fb…
06-25 06:32:38	btc updown 5m 1782369000	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x3a9c9c…
06-25 06:22:34	btc updown 5m 1782368400	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xe3c62e…
06-25 06:07:40	btc updown 5m 1782367500	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xf5afad…
06-25 05:43:40	hype updown 5m 1782366000	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x1e76e0…
06-25 04:37:47	doge updown 5m 1782362100	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xfef830…
06-25 03:31:11	xrp updown 5m 1782358200	Down	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x15ed1d…
06-25 01:27:23	xrp updown 5m 1782350700	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x672e55…
06-25 01:22:02	hype updown 5m 1782350400	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc75f99…
06-25 00:47:28	btc updown 5m 1782348300	Up	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xc66961…
06-25 00:45:43	xrp updown 5m 1782348300	Down	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x767801…
06-25 00:28:08	bnb updown 5m 1782347100	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x6b0314…
06-25 00:10:37	hype updown 5m 1782346200	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xb1e2bf…
06-24 23:57:49	btc updown 5m 1782345300	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xce0252…
06-24 23:12:01	btc updown 5m 1782342600	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x9304d9…
06-24 22:42:58	btc updown 5m 1782340800	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xa62aa2…
06-24 22:37:16	eth updown 5m 1782340500	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x8020cb…
06-24 21:56:22	btc updown 5m 1782338100	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x3642b2…
06-24 21:46:38	bnb updown 5m 1782337500	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x8180a5…
06-24 21:22:34	eth updown 5m 1782336000	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x2a727a…
06-24 19:46:32	btc updown 5m 1782330300	Down	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x0daf46…
06-24 19:40:49	eth updown 5m 1782330000	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x860d8f…
06-24 18:01:08	bnb updown 5m 1782324000	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xeae570…
06-24 17:26:55	eth updown 5m 1782321900	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xfd1da0…
06-24 15:21:20	eth updown 5m 1782314400	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x70db5d…
06-24 14:41:43	xrp updown 5m 1782312000	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x704ae5…
06-24 14:41:35	btc updown 5m 1782312000	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc8c33f…
06-24 14:31:49	btc updown 5m 1782311400	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x9cbf98…