Somber-Anarchy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$162

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.6%

Resolved

395

Trades

5,176

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 05-25 17:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 19% $-162

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 253 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772911500	7	$97	165	150	+15	open	—	03-07 19:27
bitcoin above 68k on february 22	2	$91	61	61	+0	open	—	02-22 19:09
btc updown 5m 1772664600	5	$82	75	74	+1	open	—	03-04 22:53
btc updown 5m 1772744700	9	$81	55	55	+1	open	—	03-05 21:09
btc updown 5m 1772830200	9	$79	76	75	+1	open	—	03-06 20:54
btc updown 5m 1772831100	12	$64	72	71	+1	open	—	03-06 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	10	$61	59	59	+0	open	—	05-24 20:00
btc updown 5m 1776478800	6	$60	50	50	+0	open	—	04-18 02:26
btc updown 5m 1772819100	8	$58	66	65	+1	open	—	03-06 17:47
btc updown 5m 1775611200	5	$57	51	48	+3	open	—	04-08 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$51	38	38	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 20:40
btc updown 5m 1772990400	7	$49	59	58	+1	open	—	03-08 17:25
btc updown 5m 1772905800	10	$49	61	60	+1	open	—	03-07 17:54
btc updown 5m 1772907300	4	$48	51	51	+1	open	—	03-07 18:19
btc updown 5m 1773796500	9	$48	53	51	+2	open	—	03-18 01:18
btc updown 15m 1772569800	24	$48	66	65	+1	open	—	03-03 20:44
bitcoin up or down march 4 10am et	5	$47	64	64	+0	open	—	03-04 15:02
btc updown 4h 1772557200	13	$46	86	86	+0	open	—	03-03 20:26
btc updown 5m 1775858700	6	$46	61	59	+2	open	—	04-10 22:08
btc updown 5m 1772830800	11	$46	47	47	+1	open	—	03-06 21:04
bitcoin up or down february 27 10am et	11	$46	70	70	+0	open	—	02-27 15:29
btc updown 5m 1772908800	5	$45	73	51	+22	open	—	03-07 18:43
btc updown 5m 1772908500	7	$45	65	56	+9	open	—	03-07 18:39
btc updown 5m 1775576100	3	$45	37	35	+2	open	—	04-07 15:40
btc updown 5m 1772840700	10	$45	46	45	+1	open	—	03-06 23:49
btc updown 5m 1772844900	9	$42	51	51	+1	open	—	03-07 00:58
btc updown 5m 1775838000	3	$41	40	38	+3	open	—	04-10 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	5	$40	27	23	+4	Up	+$2	05-13 20:59
btc updown 5m 1776099900	3	$40	36	34	+2	open	—	04-13 17:10
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$39	24	24	+0	open	—	02-23 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 17:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0x65ee58…
05-25 17:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xbb3bda…
05-25 17:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xf7d11e…
05-25 17:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xee0e5f…
05-25 02:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xda0afd…
05-25 02:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xc561bc…
05-25 02:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0xbd4ea8…
05-25 02:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x1f9156…
05-25 02:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x0db7bf…
05-25 02:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x9a4c57…
05-25 01:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x053826…
05-25 01:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x13cce2…
05-25 01:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x150e10…
05-25 01:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4bb0f4…
05-25 01:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x97d9eb…
05-25 01:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8d8a68…
05-25 01:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0xcc6538…
05-25 01:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf825e7…
05-25 01:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x0d62c6…
05-25 01:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	25	21¢	$5	0x7d6a2e…
05-25 01:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x64cca6…
05-25 01:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xc95dc3…
05-25 01:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xbe776e…
05-25 01:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa9cd9d…
05-25 01:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x7457a2…
05-25 01:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x28ee1a…
05-25 01:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6c1460…
05-25 01:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x4222ae…
05-25 01:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x11e90e…
05-25 01:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x04caa3…
05-25 01:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x59fa26…
05-25 01:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0xfcc39e…
05-25 01:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xfa2e3a…
05-25 01:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x30b59b…
05-25 01:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x2637d6…
05-25 00:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x789637…
05-25 00:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	10¢	$3	0x440643…
05-25 00:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x8685ff…
05-24 23:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xfc7bc6…
05-24 23:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9d8356…
05-24 23:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4eb9e7…
05-24 23:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	22	24¢	$5	0xf05098…
05-24 23:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x0db258…
05-24 23:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x5c173a…
05-24 23:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x9f5b3a…
05-24 23:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xe987d6…
05-24 23:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x6512e2…
05-24 23:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xe05e9a…
05-24 23:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x58e279…
05-24 23:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe2df06…
05-24 23:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xaab3e1…
05-24 23:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x81d094…
05-24 23:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5308bf…
05-24 23:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x934a40…
05-24 23:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xa68370…
05-24 22:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x33eb76…
05-24 22:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xfe20cb…
05-24 20:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xf24ab5…
05-24 20:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x8ca8ee…
05-24 20:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xbb5371…
05-24 20:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x47dafc…
05-24 20:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x682f41…
05-24 20:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x99eab3…
05-24 20:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb7e1c8…
05-24 20:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x59f67d…
05-24 20:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xae5e6a…
05-24 20:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x3c8081…
05-24 20:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x39ceb3…
05-24 20:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xfa52df…
05-24 20:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xf366ac…
05-24 20:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x36c4e4…
05-24 20:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x550fba…
05-24 20:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	51¢	$5	0xd7779b…
05-24 20:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x786354…
05-24 20:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x029ee9…
05-24 19:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x90d582…
05-24 19:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x218ab2…
05-24 19:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x4850c2…
05-24 19:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xc2d9f3…
05-24 19:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfcdf74…
05-24 19:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x8d8150…
05-24 19:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfbf1a4…
05-24 19:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0x1c860f…
05-24 19:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xde03ee…
05-24 19:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xf21864…
05-24 19:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x9beac9…
05-24 19:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x2fffe7…
05-24 19:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	21	26¢	$6	0xdacd18…
05-24 19:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x4ae957…
05-24 19:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0xd4db78…
05-24 19:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x0f3023…
05-24 18:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0xc5b470…
05-24 18:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x67c505…
05-24 18:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x592b5b…
05-24 18:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x73dfde…
05-24 18:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x442305…
05-24 18:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x91c2a0…
05-24 18:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3c0368…
05-24 18:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xdbbfa4…
05-24 17:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x6639d4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	808	$1.86K	4,001	05-25 17:29
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	778	$54.7K	9,868	05-14 16:04
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	765	$29.5K	6,013	05-25 02:02
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	728	$99.8K	16,354	05-25 17:29
(anonymous) 0xd216…eead	702	$2.13K	3,182	05-25 17:29
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	698	$6.65K	7,811	05-10 17:59
Cavernous-Emanate 0x0cf7…f03a	689	$228.2K	43,147	05-11 21:14
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	676	$22.6K	2,099	04-24 23:18