Unimportant-Cathedral — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$267

Unrealized P&L

-$102

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$5.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 09-10 13:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 69% +$505

Other

22% 0% -$238

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+172	$50	3¢	$5	-$45	08-27 15:55
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+299	$60	1¢	$4	-$57	05-24 14:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	4	$1.2K	1,012	1,012	+0	Yes	-$238	09-10 13:22
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$447	341	341	+0	No	+$167	05-22 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$202	105	105	+0	Down	+$2	05-25 08:12
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$123	508	209	+299	open	—	05-24 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$122	100	100	+0	Down	+$42	05-24 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$110	283	0	+283	Down	+$173	05-24 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$110	220	0	+220	Up	+$110	05-24 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$110	149	0	+149	Down	+$39	05-24 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	05-25 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$100	255	0	+255	Up	+$155	05-24 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$100	109	0	+109	Up	+$9	05-25 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$100	146	0	+146	Down	+$46	05-23 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$100	115	0	+115	Up	+$15	05-24 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$94	70	70	+0	Up	+$44	05-26 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$91	52	52	+0	Up	+$11	05-25 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$90	58	58	+0	Up	+$10	05-25 07:24
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	3	$85	200	0	+200	No	-$85	02-05 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$85	65	65	+0	Up	+$45	05-22 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$81	42	42	+0	Up	+$1	05-25 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$81	42	42	+0	Down	+$1	05-25 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$80	4,080	0	+4,080	Down	-$80	05-23 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$80	85	0	+85	Up	+$5	05-25 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$56	35	35	+0	Up	+$6	05-25 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$50	219	0	+219	Up	-$50	05-23 19:44
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	172	0	+172	open	—	08-27 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$50	57	0	+57	Down	+$7	05-25 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$50	60	0	+60	Up	-$50	05-24 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$50	57	0	+57	Up	+$7	05-26 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$50	54	0	+54	Down	+$4	05-25 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$40	363	0	+363	Down	-$40	05-23 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 13:22:06	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	598	37¢	$221	0x1968e2…
09-03 14:30:22	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x65d5c7…
08-28 14:21:30	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	414	58¢	$241	0xbe5717…
08-27 15:55:39	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x3aa014…
08-27 15:55:00	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	845	71¢	$600	0x63f3e4…
05-26 05:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x038712…
05-26 05:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0x562fe1…
05-26 04:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x91c7cb…
05-26 03:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x051993…
05-26 03:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x8a8251…
05-26 03:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xed9b04…
05-26 02:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x84539e…
05-26 02:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7f4fcc…
05-26 02:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x6e8b8d…
05-26 02:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x198941…
05-26 00:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xd53fc2…
05-25 17:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	127	32¢	$40	0x9347f4…
05-25 17:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xb5d6dc…
05-25 17:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x613122…
05-25 17:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	76¢	$40	0xc3c5de…
05-25 17:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x9ffa3e…
05-25 17:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x9832d9…
05-25 15:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x789961…
05-25 15:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x1ab8ec…
05-25 15:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x9ec3de…
05-25 15:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x474a79…
05-25 14:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xe6d1cf…
05-25 14:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x2c8e40…
05-25 14:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x5af9ae…
05-25 14:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe0736c…
05-25 09:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xc79852…
05-25 09:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x07bb09…
05-25 08:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x6cb45f…
05-25 08:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x772f04…
05-25 08:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x4473e0…
05-25 08:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x8415d2…
05-25 08:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	105	97¢	$102	0xe85874…
05-25 08:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x32ac02…
05-25 08:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	225	4¢	$10	0x6f20b2…
05-25 08:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x4c7a71…
05-25 08:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x4f1edd…
05-25 07:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x2514b5…
05-25 07:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x0d16be…
05-25 07:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd9e641…
05-25 07:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x31e5c0…
05-25 07:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	58	86¢	$50	0x187b8f…
05-25 07:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x34e50d…
05-25 07:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe7a1b3…
05-25 07:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x0faa07…
05-25 07:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xfd5363…
05-25 06:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0xc0431b…
05-25 06:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd6f78c…
05-25 06:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0xa47b92…
05-25 06:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xc219d4…
05-25 05:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0x69e079…
05-25 05:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x7f686e…
05-24 19:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0xe667c2…
05-24 19:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x9aafdc…
05-24 16:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf65244…
05-24 16:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xbb29de…
05-24 15:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0f8791…
05-24 15:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x10f514…
05-24 15:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x3fdcbc…
05-24 15:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xb843f3…
05-24 14:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x8af106…
05-24 14:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x026880…
05-24 14:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0x7e2fbd…
05-24 14:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xbb619e…
05-24 14:05:07	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	299	17¢	$50	0xbb243b…
05-24 14:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x968f5b…
05-24 14:00:51	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	209	15¢	$31	0x88e637…
05-24 13:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x64180d…
05-24 13:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x8d451f…
05-24 13:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xb3035c…
05-24 13:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xecf0b7…
05-24 13:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf0e952…
05-24 13:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xe03ce7…
05-24 13:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x2b915b…
05-24 09:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	265	38¢	$100	0xe12f4e…
05-24 09:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x374511…
05-24 09:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xd84a28…
05-24 07:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	201	5¢	$10	0x520901…
05-24 07:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6fd175…
05-24 07:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xb3dfd3…
05-24 07:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x859a04…
05-24 07:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$6	0x07f573…
05-24 06:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0xd9c2da…
05-24 06:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xe7689b…
05-24 06:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	194	51¢	$100	0xa65fd9…
05-24 06:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x11aaa8…
05-24 06:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	255	39¢	$100	0xe8301c…
05-24 04:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x7e92c6…
05-23 19:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	219	23¢	$50	0x6e767d…
05-23 19:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x42e4fd…
05-23 19:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x055d88…
05-23 19:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4,000	1¢	$40	0xb2e59a…
05-23 19:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x523ad0…
05-23 19:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	363	11¢	$40	0x89083e…
05-23 18:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x6b1625…
05-23 18:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xafffda…