Essential-Samurai — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.90K

Unrealized P&L

-$170

Hit rate

29.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,530

lifetime

Volume

$49.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$56

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 08-04 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Politics

78% 23% +$14,332

Sports

13% 0% -$5,485

Other

9% 37% -$913

Crypto

0% 0% -$35

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+3,000	$225	2¢	$56	-$170	05-10 04:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	74	$4.5K	50,500	0	+50,500	No	-$4,530	03-28 23:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	95	$4.2K	39,228	10,000	+29,228	No	-$173	03-14 05:06
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	230	$4.1K	77,777	60,642	+17,135	Yes	-$3,869	07-28 01:09
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	51	$3.3K	201,405	0	+201,405	No	-$3,274	03-06 18:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	8	$3.2K	17,777	4,000	+13,777	Yes	+$12,610	04-07 19:46
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	36	$2.4K	48,888	0	+48,888	No	-$2,433	07-14 20:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	15	$1.9K	18,635	11,000	+7,635	Yes	+$7,935	04-07 19:46
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	7	$1.8K	49,000	0	+49,000	No	-$1,810	02-19 10:43
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	2	$1.7K	11,531	11,531	+0	No	+$149	01-29 16:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	16	$1.5K	13,500	3,500	+10,000	No	+$279	05-27 03:00
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	48	$1.2K	15,554	4,500	+11,054	No	-$663	04-15 04:03
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	5	$1.1K	35,000	17,500	+17,500	No	+$87	02-18 18:30
iran closes its airspace by june 22	6	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$810	06-07 21:38
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$919	6,416	0	+6,416	No	-$919	01-29 17:00
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	12	$889	11,111	0	+11,111	Yes	+$10,222	02-26 14:06
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	61	$838	49,000	49,000	+0	Yes	-$562	08-02 21:38
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	19	$688	8,195	1,376	+6,819	No	-$165	05-29 06:07
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	14	$636	38,000	0	+38,000	No	-$636	07-10 20:49
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$634	85,555	10,001	+75,554	No	-$594	06-25 20:33
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?	9	$609	3,250	1,930	+1,320	No	+$134	07-05 21:53
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	7	$580	5,200	0	+5,200	No	-$580	05-06 20:39
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	27	$545	9,087	4,543	+4,544	No	$0	04-20 06:00
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	7	$530	13,000	0	+13,000	No	-$530	05-16 22:53
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	25	$523	14,000	14,000	+0	Yes	-$467	08-01 11:22
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	9	$484	19,000	9,500	+9,500	No	-$86	02-24 19:53
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	18	$456	3,128	3,000	+128	No	+$24	05-20 18:07
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	8	$450	2,000	500	+1,500	Spain	-$50	07-19 22:00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	23	$425	500	500	+0	Yes	+$175	05-30 17:39
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	32	$380	2,098	1,049	+1,049	No	-$66	07-02 20:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	29	$380	14,000	4,000	+10,000	No	-$100	05-22 01:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 13:12:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	538	0¢	$3	0x6ed594…
08-04 12:38:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	2,985	0¢	$15	0x772afe…
08-04 09:03:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd8d190…
08-04 08:11:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xcb6384…
08-04 08:08:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x222300…
08-04 05:48:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa1fc3d…
08-04 05:38:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4adbe1…
08-03 16:16:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	4,875	0¢	$10	0xed950b…
08-03 15:22:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0xe94b31…
08-03 11:51:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	188	0¢	$0	0x72418d…
08-03 11:28:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xfbcce7…
08-03 11:00:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	885	0¢	$2	0xf2eaf5…
08-03 10:48:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x195d7c…
08-03 10:29:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x08b11a…
08-03 10:22:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x083201…
08-03 10:16:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xa54546…
08-03 10:04:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x6e2312…
08-03 10:02:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xb2aae7…
08-03 09:56:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x13fea5…
08-03 09:50:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x0ff91f…
08-03 09:48:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x70c5cb…
08-03 09:40:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x9542a7…
08-03 09:39:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x889885…
08-03 09:37:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x74bd50…
08-03 09:37:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x4b6086…
08-03 09:33:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x14cf7d…
08-03 09:19:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xcfa187…
08-03 09:19:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc31f59…
08-03 09:19:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x03ec09…
08-03 09:19:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xe81785…
08-03 09:17:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	563	0¢	$1	0x35c314…
08-03 09:13:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xad49ee…
08-03 09:13:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x35178f…
08-03 09:02:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xe4d674…
08-03 08:59:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	414	0¢	$1	0x260997…
08-03 08:42:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x912aa9…
08-03 08:42:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	418	0¢	$1	0x92b211…
08-03 08:37:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	413	0¢	$1	0x428b32…
08-03 08:32:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x1416df…
08-03 08:30:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xcde481…
08-03 08:29:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x6aa91c…
08-03 08:17:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	203	0¢	$0	0xc826a9…
08-03 08:15:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x6a25a2…
08-03 08:10:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x97e536…
08-03 08:07:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	652	0¢	$1	0x445a00…
08-03 08:06:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x36157e…
08-03 07:46:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x0fde46…
08-03 07:32:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x674743…
08-03 07:20:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x680a08…
08-03 07:09:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xfa3126…
08-03 06:20:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x7c9d2d…
08-02 21:38:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	84	0¢	$0	0xad716e…
08-02 19:37:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x5a9e4b…
08-02 18:16:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	5,156	0¢	$10	0x98bdc5…
08-02 17:55:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x96888c…
08-02 16:31:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	683	0¢	$1	0x2c86e6…
08-02 16:24:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	525	0¢	$1	0x651efd…
08-02 16:23:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x4e9524…
08-02 15:44:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x08fb60…
08-02 14:49:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xc4aad8…
08-02 14:35:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf01057…
08-02 13:03:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	178	0¢	$0	0xd3299f…
08-02 13:00:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x184eec…
08-02 12:53:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	450	0¢	$1	0xd81816…
08-02 12:49:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xdd34c9…
08-02 12:49:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	14,078	0¢	$28	0xe7dea2…
08-02 12:36:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x6e2e2a…
08-02 12:36:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	7,487	0¢	$15	0x9a9383…
08-02 07:41:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	2,696	1¢	$32	0x8adf40…
08-02 04:29:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	533	1¢	$6	0x258934…
08-02 04:26:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	909	1¢	$11	0x33a687…
08-02 04:25:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	2,946	1¢	$35	0x05d8ee…
08-02 02:29:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xa8073e…
08-02 02:27:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	416	1¢	$5	0x077759…
08-02 02:19:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xbcd300…
08-02 02:18:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf6173f…
08-02 02:18:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xbef967…
08-02 02:18:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x74c0fa…
08-02 02:18:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x373ebf…
08-02 02:18:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x303235…
08-02 02:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0xe283e0…
08-02 02:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xd50c60…
08-02 02:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xc45b0a…
08-02 02:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xacea8c…
08-02 02:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xaa698a…
08-02 02:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xa9aa6b…
08-02 02:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa97c21…
08-02 02:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x9a4873…
08-02 02:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x811c3e…
08-02 02:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x75fe3b…
08-02 02:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x709c10…
08-02 02:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x3d2003…
08-02 02:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x0d8338…
08-02 02:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x095d74…
08-02 02:18:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	19,512	0¢	$78	0x70e86a…
08-02 01:27:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	2,500	6¢	$150	0xd42bd5…
08-01 20:41:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x68830c…
08-01 20:36:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	1,400	0¢	$6	0x33883d…
08-01 20:36:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x5dfc3c…
08-01 20:36:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	12,000	0¢	$48	0xad3010…