Worse-Carport — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$151

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$2.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$33

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 07-07 10:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 87% $-164

Politics

24% 100% +$13

Other

19% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	+26	$20	86¢	$22	+$2	06-01 21:02
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	+10	$9	92¢	$9	+$1	06-01 20:58
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	No	-2	$-2	77¢	$-2	+$0	06-05 15:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$180	379	0	+379	Down	$-180	05-09 23:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$125	163	0	+163	Up	+$38	05-08 11:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$125	154	0	+154	Down	$-125	05-09 20:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$121	136	0	+136	Down	+$15	05-09 10:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$120	131	0	+131	Down	+$11	05-09 12:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$120	125	0	+125	Down	+$5	05-09 12:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$92	69	69	+0	open	—	05-17 18:31
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	4	$90	170	0	+170	open	—	04-24 16:20
another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	3	$86	57	57	+0	open	—	04-28 21:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$70	60	60	+0	open	—	05-06 09:27
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$67	97	97	+0	open	—	04-27 19:26
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	5	$64	73	73	+0	open	—	04-28 21:40
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	2	$53	45	45	+0	open	—	07-07 10:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$51	37	37	+0	Up	+$11	05-08 14:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$50	57	0	+57	Up	+$7	05-09 20:19
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$48	35	35	+0	open	—	05-17 18:31
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	2	$46	30	30	+0	open	—	05-17 18:32
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	2	$45	32	31	+1	open	—	05-02 13:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$45	56	0	+56	Down	+$11	05-08 09:19
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$40	61	0	+61	open	—	04-29 16:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$40	48	0	+48	Up	+$8	05-08 13:53
ChatGPT Outage by May 1?	5	$34	73	0	+73	open	—	04-29 13:03
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	1	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	04-30 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	04-29 20:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	04-15 05:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	05-03 16:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$20	25	0	+25	Up	+$5	05-08 09:22
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	05-03 07:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$20	29	0	+29	No	+$9	04-27 19:27
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	06-01 21:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 10:24:20	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	45	72¢	$33	0xc3a64d…
06-10 21:17:46	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x948ee2…
06-08 21:16:46	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x095fe0…
06-08 21:15:00	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x60797a…
06-05 15:37:06	Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xac5ffa…
06-04 17:34:27	nba finals any player to record a triple double 20260603040457444	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x459d57…
06-04 17:32:54	will craig federighi say chatgpt during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf67dc0…
06-04 17:31:15	will tim cook say apple pay during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x26b47c…
06-04 17:31:04	will tim cook say apple intelligence 5 times during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x179368…
06-01 21:04:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x11a6bd…
06-01 21:03:20	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x4a50cc…
06-01 21:02:12	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x9d3b8b…
06-01 20:58:02	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xfe5621…
05-28 16:05:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa99ac8…
05-28 16:01:38	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x6f5103…
05-25 18:47:07	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xfd6d60…
05-21 05:43:06	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xdf22e0…
05-17 18:32:13	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0xb8b13e…
05-17 18:31:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x07cb0d…
05-17 18:31:44	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	35	81¢	$28	0xa6a780…
05-09 23:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x430f49…
05-09 23:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x592d64…
05-09 23:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x1d0eb9…
05-09 23:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	226	44¢	$100	0xfa7995…
05-09 23:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x3ba0e1…
05-09 23:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0e0c86…
05-09 20:23:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x728221…
05-09 20:21:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xf3d070…
05-09 20:19:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x454d21…
05-09 20:17:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xb7c734…
05-09 12:32:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x7aa82d…
05-09 12:31:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x800a56…
05-09 12:29:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xdb7235…
05-09 12:28:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x80dce9…
05-09 10:51:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x7a0517…
05-09 10:44:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	121	92¢	$111	0xd0d2fe…
05-09 10:42:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xed8d9e…
05-08 14:48:54	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x05eacc…
05-08 14:06:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	37	85¢	$31	0x6e4068…
05-08 14:05:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x0e7083…
05-08 13:53:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x0a1fa2…
05-08 13:53:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb61921…
05-08 13:52:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x3c2145…
05-08 11:58:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0xa92bd5…
05-08 11:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x49cf1f…
05-08 11:52:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x1e5e7a…
05-08 11:52:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xbb0fcc…
05-08 11:52:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xababc5…
05-08 11:52:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x670f5d…
05-08 11:52:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x5c2d99…
05-08 11:52:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x2dab3d…
05-08 11:52:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xadcd44…
05-08 11:52:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	15¢	$1	0x6b5384…
05-08 11:51:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x2a86ba…
05-08 11:23:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbbab02…
05-08 09:22:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xd48a1e…
05-08 09:19:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3d11bb…
05-08 09:19:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x1cd32f…
05-08 09:19:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb1c1af…
05-08 09:18:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xf73290…
05-08 07:13:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x2e707f…
05-08 07:11:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x1bb785…
05-07 17:47:56	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x1bd9f7…
05-07 17:43:15	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0xe21bc1…
05-06 09:27:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	60	66¢	$40	0x58a0e8…
05-05 11:25:50	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xa4969c…
05-05 06:01:40	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x78a5f4…
05-03 20:57:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x63ee2a…
05-03 16:19:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x89c7b8…
05-03 07:33:58	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xb692aa…
05-02 13:04:30	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x38fd56…
05-01 06:03:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	17	85¢	$14	0xf1ef31…
04-30 09:56:48	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x2f66a2…
04-29 20:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0x4a6b4e…
04-29 20:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x0fdfb9…
04-29 16:11:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x12afbe…
04-29 14:02:36	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x980b34…
04-29 14:01:44	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x94700f…
04-29 13:03:40	ChatGPT Outage by May 1?	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x3d6720…
04-28 21:42:56	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x57c044…
04-28 21:40:32	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x9a6cff…
04-28 21:33:26	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	No	SELL	57	80¢	$46	0x70dc10…
04-28 21:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x47775d…
04-28 21:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xdde3ac…
04-28 20:39:46	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x4c74df…
04-28 20:38:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x43bb4b…
04-28 20:16:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x79535a…
04-28 19:51:02	another critical cloudflare incident by may 31 2026	No	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0xa4b969…
04-28 19:49:56	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xb0a525…
04-28 19:49:34	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x52ea85…
04-28 19:47:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xf9eb89…
04-27 21:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe3540b…
04-27 21:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xfb36d3…
04-27 21:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa16f28…
04-27 21:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x1ba077…
04-27 21:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1cb316…
04-27 21:05:56	ChatGPT Outage by May 1?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x5d44f3…
04-27 19:27:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xdc640a…
04-27 19:26:42	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	97	38¢	$37	0x2a8bbd…
04-27 19:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd528fd…