Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$93

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-07

last 11-02 02:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

80% 53% -$6

Politics

19% 62% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No		+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	10-25 14:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 00:12
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$4	09-15 23:45
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-16 07:49
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-21 22:06
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-24 07:44
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-20 21:58
will ewy reach 192 by september 14 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-13 21:02
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-09 17:03
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 08:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$2	2	+2	Up	-$2	09-18 15:00
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-11 21:09
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-22 23:36
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-20 21:52
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-21 14:03
will nvda reach 224 by september 7 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-11 06:49
Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-09 08:59
spy up or down on september 10 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Down	-$2	09-10 02:54
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $172 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-10 22:37
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 03:59
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	09-14 13:05
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-14 05:04
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-10 10:55
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-17 11:36
will hood reach 112 50 by september 14 2026 from september 16	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-17 19:55
wti up or down on september 23 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$1	09-23 11:43
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-07 14:00
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-21 05:59
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-08 22:29
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-21 09:11
will coin reach 187 50 by october 5 2026 from october 7	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-07 18:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 02:18:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9e2f83…
10-25 14:34:15	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xba7bd9…
10-25 05:57:56	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x17858e…
10-21 09:11:05	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe5e4b8…
10-19 13:09:54	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5e8783…
10-19 05:09:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x244128…
10-18 21:09:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3f5cad…
10-18 11:37:50	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x57f4b9…
10-17 23:56:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb5b617…
10-17 15:53:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x410fdc…
10-17 04:17:18	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0e6afb…
10-16 12:42:51	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7ce3be…
10-16 04:39:28	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9be8ff…
10-15 18:11:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x87d720…
10-15 09:40:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdca6f1…
10-15 00:09:22	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x16869c…
10-14 13:02:20	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb13558…
10-14 04:43:16	spy closes above 775 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4d1adf…
10-13 20:04:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4bb8ea…
10-13 18:50:15	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6a47df…
10-11 22:43:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xbbebb1…
10-11 14:37:16	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf59b7d…
10-11 03:06:38	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6da0b2…
10-10 11:52:18	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7961e3…
10-09 09:32:49	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4e4e64…
10-08 19:17:47	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xec9f87…
10-08 10:43:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x68bdc9…
10-08 02:42:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc2e2fa…
10-07 18:37:39	will coin reach 187 50 by october 5 2026 from october 7	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfc9ba0…
10-07 10:22:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xefedbf…
10-07 02:21:11	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xad91fd…
10-06 18:20:02	will abnb reach 164 by october 5 2026 from october 6	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x212b48…
10-06 09:54:07	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3072db…
10-06 01:49:46	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x393834…
10-05 16:22:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x226ad8…
10-05 00:11:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6a5562…
10-02 15:27:41	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x71a40f…
10-02 15:10:47	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2d74f6…
10-02 06:50:12	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6e63a7…
10-01 15:01:56	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa6e486…
10-01 06:20:47	will spy reach 770 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1fcbfb…
09-30 10:08:06	will spy dip to 755 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd2bfbc…
09-29 08:21:35	will trump say radical left during his remarks at the andrew w mellon auditorium september 29	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x953728…
09-28 22:47:09	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf6c900…
09-27 13:10:39	will pltr dip to 186 in september 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x25ed61…
09-27 02:55:39	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x707683…
09-26 07:08:54	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4647f7…
09-25 21:02:35	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x10a924…
09-25 12:54:18	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf5155b…
09-25 03:33:38	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb909d5…
09-24 15:55:00	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x64a588…
09-24 07:44:36	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x314d92…
09-23 11:43:44	wti up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x64458a…
09-22 23:36:31	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x4d7e89…
09-21 22:06:58	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xd0ae42…
09-21 14:03:27	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0xacef8e…
09-21 05:59:57	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6806ce…
09-20 21:58:56	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x83f6f8…
09-20 21:52:55	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x711231…
09-19 03:59:55	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x30a3be…
09-18 15:00:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x8ea9c4…
09-17 19:55:28	will hood reach 112 50 by september 14 2026 from september 16	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x33bca4…
09-17 11:36:07	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xf734b8…
09-16 07:49:04	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x73a20a…
09-15 23:45:31	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0x8785ef…
09-14 13:05:00	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x83ee97…
09-14 05:04:15	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xbc2e11…
09-13 21:02:39	will ewy reach 192 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x8544c8…
09-11 21:09:43	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x95ac47…
09-11 06:49:15	will nvda reach 224 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x788fe5…
09-10 22:37:28	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $172 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xdeb2d6…
09-10 10:55:22	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x78d3f8…
09-10 02:54:36	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xc0b2f3…
09-09 17:03:18	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd134d4…
09-09 08:59:40	Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x8435a9…
09-08 22:29:13	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xacb4c0…
09-08 08:59:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x4bf88d…
09-08 00:12:45	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x2136b7…
09-07 14:00:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x6e38e6…