Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$735

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

2,773

Trades

7,883

lifetime

Volume

$25.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$38

6 positions

First seen

2026-08-14

last 10-26 01:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

48% 33% -$504

Crypto

45% 54% -$191

Politics

5% 38% +$9

Tech

2% 20% -$19

Sports

1% 0% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 971 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	+13	$5	89¢	$11	+$6	09-29 05:33
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	+20	$7	55¢	$11	+$4	10-02 09:41
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	+20	$7	45¢	$9	+$2	10-03 16:34
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	+5	$4	98¢	$5	+$1	09-30 00:23
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+13	$4	11¢	$1	-$3	09-28 22:09
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	+2	$0	2¢	$0	$0	09-28 11:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	3	$196	110	110	+0	open	—	10-14 13:29
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	2	$178	200	200	+0	open	—	10-14 01:11
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	4	$158	553	0	+553	No	-$158	10-21 19:38
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	4	$151	100	100	+0	No	+$3	10-14 14:36
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 6%-9%?	2	$136	89	89	+0	open	—	10-12 04:35
Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?	7	$107	97	97	+0	Yes	-$31	10-13 02:32
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-02 House election by 45%-50%?	2	$101	64	64	+0	open	—	10-10 22:12
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 3%-6%?	2	$99	63	63	+0	open	—	10-11 13:05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 45%-50%?	2	$98	63	63	+0	open	—	10-14 13:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:20 UTC	15	$95	93	47	+47	Down	-$1	09-16 16:23
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.75 inches of precipitation in October?	3	$95	55	55	+0	open	—	10-13 14:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	2	$91	85	85	+0	open	—	10-10 20:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:25 UTC	13	$89	96	24	+72	Down	+$7	09-16 16:28
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	2	$88	100	100	+0	open	—	10-11 19:07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?	3	$86	59	59	+0	open	—	10-11 03:36
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	2	$76	50	50	+0	No	+$2	10-13 18:39
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$74	79	0	+79	Up	+$5	09-15 13:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 20:45 UTC	20	$74	60	35	+25	Up	$0	08-30 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 13:30 UTC	7	$73	84	0	+84	Down	+$11	09-16 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:50 UTC	5	$73	80	0	+80	Up	+$7	09-16 16:54
Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$72	75	30	+45	Down	-$3	09-15 13:48
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?	2	$68	93	92	+0	open	—	10-12 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 30?	14	$66	68	49	+20	Yes	+$3	08-30 13:15
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	2	$65	140	0	+140	open	—	10-09 14:25
Solana Up or Down - September 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	10	$64	57	25	+32	Up	-$6	09-15 17:53
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:15 UTC	12	$63	64	34	+30	Up	-$44	09-16 16:18
wwcquefa kos aus 2026 10 09 btts	2	$61	140	0	+140	Yes	+$9	10-04 19:55
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 35%-40%?	5	$61	123	0	+123	open	—	10-10 20:26
XRP Up or Down - September 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$60	67	0	+67	Down	+$7	09-15 19:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:55 UTC	6	$60	60	40	+20	Down	+$2	09-16 16:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 01:19:05	Will the season series between the Bills and Patriots end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	61	46¢	$28	0x6013ff…
10-23 07:15:45	West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xa5a86f…
10-21 19:38:26	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x14d527…
10-21 19:21:56	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xb0bc12…
10-21 19:20:33	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xf2efce…
10-21 19:20:17	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	67	29¢	$19	0x54c4fd…
10-21 03:06:14	Will San Diego State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x34648a…
10-21 02:53:23	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x2dfe53…
10-20 23:34:24	Will Ben Johns win zero Triple Crowns in the 2026-27 PPA Tour season?	No	SELL	13	50¢	$7	0xd4f7e8…
10-20 22:47:56	Will Tre Tucker have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x1f258c…
10-20 12:10:36	Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-39 House election?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x9ce7fb…
10-19 21:48:52	Will Ethiopia have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x4cb211…
10-19 11:29:56	Will J.K. Dobbins have 674.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xbdb88a…
10-19 11:29:56	Will J.K. Dobbins have 674.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x1b6767…
10-19 10:56:54	California Recall Election Reform Proposition	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x63937c…
10-19 09:26:51	Will Ja'Marr Chase have 1,124.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x695158…
10-19 08:53:11	Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election by 0%-15%?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x8aba26…
10-19 07:37:15	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.425T by October 31?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x335563…
10-18 16:58:24	Will BNB reach $1,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x293007…
10-18 16:48:15	Will Zach Hyman record 100+ points?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xfaf6f3…
10-18 04:54:33	Will Jakobi Meyers have 499.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0xc1114b…
10-17 10:51:02	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$5	0x58e917…
10-17 10:49:56	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 8?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x7c0e40…
10-17 06:23:44	Will Slovenia be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0xecbb5f…
10-16 11:26:52	Will Kyren Williams have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x020971…
10-16 04:47:28	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x99367c…
10-15 23:46:15	Will Parker Washington have 949.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x93f30d…
10-15 00:33:23	Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	18	71¢	$12	0xafc260…
10-14 22:43:12	Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x6bc64c…
10-14 20:52:16	will texas instruments txn q3 analog revenue be above 20261008120026000 4pt25b	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xbc19e6…
10-14 20:43:28	will wildwood be nominated for best animated feature film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x110ae6…
10-14 20:41:22	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	40¢	$17	0x6c54b5…
10-14 20:05:49	will katie zacharia give another press briefing as press secretary 20261013155748738	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x1fb1a0…
10-14 19:48:16	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xdd5358…
10-14 19:41:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xebf0a3…
10-14 19:15:37	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 22	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xd03d98…
10-14 18:59:15	will altria mo q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume sticks in billions be above 20261008120107000 16b	No	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0xdb5bbf…
10-14 18:59:15	will altria mo q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume sticks in billions be above 20261008120107000 16b	No	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x45dc5a…
10-14 18:43:09	Will Liverpool reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x6b8dae…
10-14 17:54:45	will netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by march 31 2027	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xb84217…
10-14 17:27:31	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 65%-70%?	Yes	SELL	57	20¢	$11	0x5ea2b9…
10-14 16:28:37	Will Kyren Williams have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xf43960…
10-14 16:05:12	will ap call us house control by november 5	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x89c7e7…
10-14 15:08:10	will texas instruments txn q3 analog revenue be above 20261008120026000 4pt25b	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xae1126…
10-14 14:46:10	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x3ad830…
10-14 14:41:42	will wildwood be nominated for best animated feature film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x1e302a…
10-14 14:40:39	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xfd8452…
10-14 14:36:22	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	46	75¢	$34	0x5bd00f…
10-14 14:33:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0ad947…
10-14 14:13:59	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 22	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x5168d4…
10-14 13:55:29	will altria mo q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume sticks in billions be above 20261008120107000 16b	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x85429f…
10-14 13:44:42	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x56e8cf…
10-14 13:44:36	will katie zacharia give another press briefing as press secretary 20261013155748738	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x330dd4…
10-14 13:29:57	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	58	87¢	$51	0xa4e1e2…
10-14 13:23:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xfd9814…
10-14 13:23:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	45	79¢	$36	0x61590c…
10-14 13:18:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 45%-50%?	No	SELL	63	76¢	$48	0xb543cc…
10-14 12:11:32	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by october 310728191327780	No	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x52d3b0…
10-14 12:03:50	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	51	88¢	$45	0x76ac47…
10-14 11:58:59	kimberly guilfoyle federally charged by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x33e3c3…
10-14 11:40:44	Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x542b39…
10-14 10:48:19	will ap call us house control by november 5	No	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0x334143…
10-14 10:43:11	will honeywell technologies hon q3 building automation sales be above 20261008120028000 2pt1b	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x8005c1…
10-14 10:15:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by October 31?	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xfd1fd2…
10-14 10:14:28	will google googl q3 capital expenditures be above 20261008120048000 57b	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xec77a3…
10-14 09:45:02	Will Mitchell Marner record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xfa4080…
10-14 09:08:34	will microsoft msft q1 total capital expenditures be above 20261008120059000 44b	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xb8c0d0…
10-14 08:44:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x76c77a…
10-14 08:37:20	will the openai spy be accused of working for north korea by december 31 20261014120000004	Yes	SELL	109	1¢	$1	0x7608fd…
10-14 07:56:43	Will Kyren Williams have 999.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xfbe3ea…
10-14 07:22:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x316474…
10-14 06:29:05	Will Kyren Williams have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x423e20…
10-14 06:18:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x6d36cc…
10-14 06:13:38	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0xec7245…
10-14 06:13:28	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	81	12¢	$10	0x87db96…
10-14 06:00:26	Will December be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x6b7e7c…
10-14 05:57:35	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xba4ff6…
10-14 05:03:47	will google googl q3 capital expenditures be above 20261008120048000 57b	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x01a1bb…
10-14 03:45:47	will sp global spgi q3 rating revenues be above 1pt4b	No	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0x699c75…
10-14 03:45:46	will sp global spgi q3 rating revenues be above 1pt4b	No	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0xa8c1e4…
10-14 03:32:02	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xb9481f…
10-14 03:14:31	will the openai spy be accused of working for north korea by december 31 20261014120000004	Yes	BUY	109	6¢	$7	0x19024d…
10-14 03:01:58	Will "God's Plan" by Drake be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x0f67db…
10-14 02:30:07	Will Abyss be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x52ad8e…
10-14 02:23:14	Will CeeDee Lamb have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	6	27¢	$1	0x2811fc…
10-14 02:01:31	will honeywell technologies hon q3 building automation sales be above 20261008120028000 2pt1b	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xd82c9f…
10-14 01:15:58	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Yes	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x3e2805…
10-14 01:11:54	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0x8b5474…
10-14 01:06:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-01 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	57	23¢	$13	0xb9d86e…
10-14 00:49:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x4fdf5e…
10-14 00:21:58	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x2d4213…
10-13 23:52:57	Will George Pickens have 999.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x4e1987…
10-13 23:44:28	Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x40b000…
10-13 23:00:00	will netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by march 31 2027	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x25a29d…
10-13 22:27:39	Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	42	50¢	$21	0xeb8b01…
10-13 22:19:24	Will OB be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	Yes	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0x5625fd…
10-13 21:52:42	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	54¢	$23	0xd23b1e…
10-13 21:23:27	will microsoft msft q1 total capital expenditures be above 20261008120059000 44b	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x67a1b2…
10-13 21:12:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-01 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x02cd81…
10-13 20:37:10	Will DeVonta Smith have 1,049.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x93434f…