Gigantic-Toaster — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

3,008 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$712

$31.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-28 11:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 65% -$134

Other

4% 31% -$41

Sports

0% 25% -$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 1am et	12	$387	272	272	+0	Down	+$5	07-12 05:48
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	2	$350	229	229	+0	Yes	+$30	06-30 18:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 14:30 UTC	8	$311	311	311	+0	Down	+$81	07-10 14:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 18:00 UTC	2	$305	227	227	+0	Down	+$105	07-12 18:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 12:15 UTC	11	$298	186	186	+0	Down	+$16	07-10 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 14:15 UTC	12	$293	238	238	+0	Down	+$23	07-10 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:30 UTC	4	$285	185	185	+0	Down	+$85	07-13 01:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:45 UTC	3	$267	249	216	+33	Down	+$51	07-12 08:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 16:30 UTC	8	$262	197	197	+0	Down	+$42	07-11 16:41
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 3am et	4	$254	341	341	+0	Up	+$42	09-30 07:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 11:30 UTC	12	$249	341	269	+72	Up	+$9	06-27 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 14:25 UTC	7	$239	178	178	+0	Up	+$39	07-11 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	19	$237	533	533	+0	Down	+$3	05-02 16:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:30 UTC	9	$206	195	195	+0	Down	-$126	07-13 13:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 17:15 UTC	9	$202	146	146	+0	Up	+$22	07-11 17:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 08:45 UTC	11	$191	116	116	+0	Down	+$21	07-12 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 16:45 UTC	10	$189	150	150	+0	Up	+$9	07-11 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 00:10 UTC	10	$189	140	140	+0	Down	+$39	07-11 00:14
crint irl7 wst4 2026 07 10	2	$181	213	213	+0	West Indies	-$19	07-10 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 16:15 UTC	9	$174	170	170	+0	Up	-$16	07-12 16:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 03:45 UTC	10	$173	212	212	+0	Down	+$3	08-22 03:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 12:30 UTC	8	$171	128	128	+0	Down	+$11	07-10 12:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 12:00 UTC	6	$166	126	126	+0	Up	+$18	08-22 12:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 10:30 UTC	11	$161	184	184	+0	Up	-$19	08-22 10:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 12:00 UTC	4	$160	211	211	+0	Up	-$120	07-10 12:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 04:00 UTC	11	$159	132	132	+0	Down	+$29	08-22 04:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 10:00 UTC	7	$159	90	90	+0	Down	+$19	07-12 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	6	$157	122	122	+0	Down	+$17	07-10 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:00 UTC	8	$156	217	217	+0	Up	-$30	07-12 00:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 19:00 UTC	4	$154	113	113	+0	Up	+$24	07-13 19:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 11:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x810cbc…
10-28 11:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xc68cf7…
10-28 11:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x2da242…
10-28 10:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0e97db…
10-28 07:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0xc53ed6…
10-28 07:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x4c7200…
10-27 20:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	78	73¢	$57	0x0cbfd6…
10-27 20:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xd668f6…
10-27 20:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xea288f…
10-27 20:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x864f66…
10-27 20:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x124021…
10-27 20:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb13dee…
10-27 20:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	73	61¢	$45	0x584925…
10-27 20:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x5e44be…
10-27 20:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	79¢	$13	0x6a10cd…
10-27 20:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa54437…
10-27 20:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfbb903…
10-27 20:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0x47dd12…
10-27 20:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x7fbbc3…
10-27 19:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb3f791…
10-27 19:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1ba025…
10-27 19:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	49	22¢	$11	0x2ebc3d…
10-27 19:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5d49b0…
10-27 19:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xac5bc2…
10-27 19:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb4aec3…
10-27 19:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x82b660…
10-27 19:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x3e6d1b…
10-27 19:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd547e5…
10-27 19:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	38	53¢	$20	0x9fb05c…
10-27 19:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xaa7a88…
10-27 19:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xcf2244…
10-27 19:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x081f8f…
10-27 19:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	29	84¢	$25	0xd281ed…
10-27 19:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xecf402…
10-27 19:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x01c982…
10-27 19:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5c4006…
10-27 19:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1b8a13…
10-27 19:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x36e476…
10-27 19:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb0f1b0…
10-27 19:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xa26d79…
10-27 19:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb5cfb9…
10-27 19:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbf7411…
10-27 18:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	61	32¢	$20	0x81ddc3…
10-27 18:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0xd0cf87…
10-27 18:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x77b385…
10-27 18:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x5b514a…
10-27 18:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4d15a6…
10-27 18:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0e4c43…
10-27 18:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xd2b585…
10-27 18:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x07b58e…
10-27 16:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	18	68¢	$12	0xf95d53…
10-27 16:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xf2be21…
10-27 16:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0x8bfe3e…
10-27 16:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x796c33…
10-27 15:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	48¢	$11	0xe0ea03…
10-27 15:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8bcb4b…
10-27 15:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x078988…
10-27 15:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0xcc8923…
10-27 15:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x115e77…
10-27 15:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x3d1641…
10-27 15:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x88e90b…
10-27 15:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x45c4b4…
10-27 15:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	63	55¢	$35	0x9dcd90…
10-27 15:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9a7122…
10-27 15:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe37bb1…
10-27 15:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x93ed5e…
10-21 14:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x9854dc…
10-21 14:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xbd82ab…
10-21 14:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x94b5b8…
10-21 14:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	73	10¢	$7	0x678d11…
10-21 14:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	73	60¢	$44	0xc63c08…
10-21 14:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x2dbd5a…
10-21 14:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x9baddf…
10-21 13:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0x2650ed…
10-21 13:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0xf27e4e…
10-21 13:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x506034…
10-21 13:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x3e20a7…
10-21 13:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x9a7d25…
10-21 13:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	34	73¢	$25	0xfc364d…
10-21 13:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x110c2c…
10-21 13:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	72	56¢	$40	0x464cf0…
10-21 13:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0x3ad1b0…
10-21 12:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0xa20435…
10-21 12:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7db2c5…
10-21 12:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xa8f3d0…
10-21 12:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	46	61¢	$28	0x903bdc…
10-21 12:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6d4764…
10-21 12:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x85ffab…
10-21 12:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	31	9¢	$3	0x18eb33…
10-21 12:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd5d51a…
10-21 12:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	23	35¢	$8	0x4dd0de…
10-21 12:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0xc19929…
10-21 12:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xcf994a…
10-21 12:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xcbffa2…
10-21 12:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	34	13¢	$4	0xd59737…
10-21 12:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x23573a…
10-21 12:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd9957f…
10-21 12:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x132742…
10-21 12:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xcb8db9…
10-21 11:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	70	79¢	$56	0x8c3847…