Gigantic-Toaster — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$94

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

200

3,087 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.25K

$33.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 11-06 01:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 65% -$198

Other

3% 31% -$41

Sports

0% 25% -$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 1am et	12	$387	272	272	+0	Down	+$5	07-12 05:48
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	2	$350	229	229	+0	Yes	+$30	06-30 18:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 14:30 UTC	8	$311	311	311	+0	Down	+$81	07-10 14:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 18:00 UTC	2	$305	227	227	+0	Down	+$105	07-12 18:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 12:15 UTC	11	$298	186	186	+0	Down	+$16	07-10 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 14:15 UTC	12	$293	238	238	+0	Down	+$23	07-10 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:30 UTC	4	$285	185	185	+0	Down	+$85	07-13 01:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:45 UTC	3	$267	249	216	+33	Down	+$51	07-12 08:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 16:30 UTC	8	$262	197	197	+0	Down	+$42	07-11 16:41
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 3am et	4	$254	341	341	+0	Up	+$42	09-30 07:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 11:30 UTC	12	$249	341	269	+72	Up	+$9	06-27 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 14:25 UTC	7	$239	178	178	+0	Up	+$39	07-11 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	19	$237	533	533	+0	Down	+$3	05-02 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	7	$229	317	317	+0	Up	-$78	11-05 23:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:30 UTC	9	$206	195	195	+0	Down	-$126	07-13 13:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 17:15 UTC	9	$202	146	146	+0	Up	+$22	07-11 17:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 08:45 UTC	11	$191	116	116	+0	Down	+$21	07-12 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 16:45 UTC	10	$189	150	150	+0	Up	+$9	07-11 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 00:10 UTC	10	$189	140	140	+0	Down	+$39	07-11 00:14
crint irl7 wst4 2026 07 10	2	$181	213	213	+0	West Indies	-$19	07-10 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 16:15 UTC	9	$174	170	170	+0	Up	-$16	07-12 16:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 03:45 UTC	10	$173	212	212	+0	Down	+$3	08-22 03:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 12:30 UTC	8	$171	128	128	+0	Down	+$11	07-10 12:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 12:00 UTC	6	$166	126	126	+0	Up	+$18	08-22 12:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 10:30 UTC	11	$161	184	184	+0	Up	-$19	08-22 10:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 12:00 UTC	4	$160	211	211	+0	Up	-$120	07-10 12:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 04:00 UTC	11	$159	132	132	+0	Down	+$29	08-22 04:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 10:00 UTC	7	$159	90	90	+0	Down	+$19	07-12 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:40 UTC	6	$157	122	122	+0	Down	+$17	07-10 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:00 UTC	8	$156	217	217	+0	Up	-$30	07-12 00:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 01:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x520493…
11-06 01:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	41	10¢	$4	0x1ca065…
11-06 01:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	66	11¢	$7	0x0629cd…
11-06 01:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	108	44¢	$47	0xe72f3b…
11-06 00:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	145	35¢	$51	0x6e7b71…
11-06 00:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xd21c44…
11-06 00:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	64	46¢	$30	0x63a765…
11-06 00:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x2ba09d…
11-06 00:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x568114…
11-06 00:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x5d429e…
11-06 00:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	67	56¢	$37	0x52693f…
11-06 00:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	67	54¢	$36	0x7c470e…
11-06 00:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	232	17¢	$39	0x9ad7e8…
11-06 00:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	232	38¢	$88	0xcd95db…
11-06 00:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xd59332…
11-06 00:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	103	18¢	$19	0x8922ae…
11-06 00:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xe392d0…
11-06 00:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0xba65e2…
11-06 00:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xccbf50…
11-06 00:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x144a73…
11-06 00:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf2ccbb…
11-05 23:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x90535b…
11-05 23:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0x9c3cad…
11-05 23:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x820a48…
11-05 23:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	32	20¢	$6	0x2a522b…
11-05 23:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x277dee…
11-05 23:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	26	89¢	$23	0xd4de52…
11-05 23:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x56405e…
11-05 23:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0x6c41a5…
11-05 23:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x00e7e9…
11-05 23:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xad2543…
11-05 23:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x648e1d…
11-05 23:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	109	8¢	$9	0x068803…
11-05 23:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x123b35…
11-05 23:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x456f1a…
11-05 23:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	208	32¢	$66	0x85dcfe…
11-05 23:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	36¢	$14	0x746fa3…
11-05 23:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x17c437…
11-05 23:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x5124dd…
11-05 23:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	103	94¢	$98	0x23a65c…
11-05 23:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	42¢	$22	0x4b227d…
11-05 23:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x56d435…
11-05 22:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x43ac3c…
11-05 22:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	69	69¢	$48	0xf9b4b2…
11-05 22:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x75c6a3…
11-05 22:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	85	52¢	$44	0x743632…
11-05 22:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0xe6c8cd…
11-05 22:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	51	14¢	$7	0x8fb5f2…
11-05 22:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	51	28¢	$14	0x883a5d…
11-05 22:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xfe4d93…
11-05 22:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x95e72f…
11-05 22:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	114	12¢	$14	0x21af5a…
11-05 22:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x5ecebd…
11-05 22:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	45	8¢	$4	0x6e106a…
11-05 22:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xc0c6de…
11-05 22:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xf8b6b5…
11-05 22:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	70	60¢	$42	0x53b884…
11-05 22:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x7bf848…
11-05 22:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xc3bbeb…
11-05 19:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0x93db8a…
11-05 18:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	22¢	$3	0x289335…
11-05 18:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x2e23c1…
11-05 18:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	35	31¢	$11	0x212f90…
11-05 18:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9c90e7…
11-05 18:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xf973ad…
11-05 17:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xff8dff…
11-05 17:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x0c1b51…
11-05 17:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x5292dd…
11-05 17:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x77b537…
11-05 17:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xaab6cc…
11-05 17:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x133dcd…
11-05 17:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	71	59¢	$42	0x6ae0cc…
11-05 17:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xe02fd0…
11-05 17:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x8a9558…
11-05 17:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x406f37…
11-05 17:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	34	90¢	$30	0xd88c54…
11-05 17:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x68a39a…
11-05 16:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	72	35¢	$25	0x9a967c…
11-05 16:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0xbf4925…
10-28 11:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x810cbc…
10-28 11:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xc68cf7…
10-28 11:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x2da242…
10-28 10:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0e97db…
10-28 07:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0xc53ed6…
10-28 07:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x4c7200…
10-27 20:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	78	73¢	$57	0x0cbfd6…
10-27 20:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xd668f6…
10-27 20:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xea288f…
10-27 20:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x864f66…
10-27 20:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x124021…
10-27 20:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb13dee…
10-27 20:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	73	61¢	$45	0x584925…
10-27 20:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x5e44be…
10-27 20:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	79¢	$13	0x6a10cd…
10-27 20:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa54437…
10-27 20:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfbb903…
10-27 20:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0x47dd12…
10-27 20:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x7fbbc3…
10-27 19:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb3f791…
10-27 19:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1ba025…