Joyous-Surface — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$93

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

2.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

4,036 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$183

$102.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-07 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Other

77% 52% -$1,853

Sports

11% 22% -$105

Politics

9% 15% -$203

Tech

1% 3% -$90

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$243

Crypto

0% 0% -$303

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No		+0	$5	94¢	$0	-$5	08-18 13:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$1.4K	916	916	+0	No	+$0	04-24 21:47
Saint-Malo: Chloe Paquet vs Whitney Osuigwe	10	$1.4K	1,031	1,031	+0	Whitney Osuigwe	-$19	04-28 06:06
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	2	$1.3K	1,031	1,031	+0	Top Esports	+$0	04-24 20:16
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	2	$1.2K	1,031	1,031	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$21	04-26 03:37
sea lec fio 2026 04 20 fio	2	$1.2K	1,042	1,042	+0	No	-$10	04-20 06:35
Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen	2	$1.1K	1,031	1,031	+0	Alex Michelsen	+$0	04-24 03:32
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-01?	2	$1.1K	1,031	1,031	+0	Yes	+$41	05-01 15:33
dota2 sar1 mouz 2026 04 22	7	$1.1K	1,042	1,042	+0	South America Rejects	$0	04-22 00:37
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	2	$1.1K	1,031	1,031	+0	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	-$31	04-25 20:01
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	2	$1.1K	1,010	1,010	+0	Legacy	-$10	05-12 18:20
nba hou lal 2026 04 21 spread away 4pt5	7	$1.0K	1,015	1,015	+0	Lakers	+$10	04-21 05:10
nba por sas 2026 04 21 total 220pt5	2	$1.0K	1,042	1,042	+0	Under	+$0	04-21 16:08
nba orl det 2026 04 19 spread home 8pt5	3	$1.0K	1,031	1,031	+0	Magic	$0	04-19 21:31
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	2	$1.0K	1,031	1,031	+0	Under	-$10	04-25 06:12
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	15	$1.0K	821	821	+0	Yes	-$6	03-30 06:06
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	2	$969	1,031	1,031	+0	Team Falcons	+$0	04-24 22:29
mlb atl wsh 2026 04 23 total 9pt5	2	$959	1,031	1,031	+0	Under	-$10	04-23 15:40
mlb nym chc 2026 04 17 total 10pt5	5	$949	1,020	1,020	+0	Over	-$10	04-17 17:57
Mauthausen: Roman Safiullin vs Titouan Droguet	2	$887	1,031	1,031	+0	Roman Safiullin	-$21	04-30 06:17
arg uni new 2026 04 17 new	2	$876	515	515	+0	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:48
val fs1 var 2026 04 17	5	$854	637	637	+0	FULL SENSE	+$0	04-17 03:59
mlb nym chc 2026 04 17	2	$838	1,010	1,010	+0	Chicago Cubs	-$10	04-17 15:39
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	19	$799	822	822	+0	No	$0	04-24 06:00
Kash Patel out by December 31?	2	$791	510	510	+0	open	—	04-28 17:39
Madrid Open: Panna Udvardy vs Kimberly Birrell	2	$784	1,031	1,031	+0	Panna Udvardy	+$0	04-22 06:33
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Damir Dzumhur	2	$763	1,031	1,031	+0	Tallon Griekspoor	+$0	04-24 04:46
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	5	$663	417	417	+0	open	—	04-28 13:40
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	4	$662	505	505	+0	Yes	-$5	04-28 21:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$660	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-28 12:48
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$629	515	515	+0	Yes	+$0	04-29 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 00:44:43	Will Juwan Johnson finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x73d16b…
10-07 00:40:19	Will Juwan Johnson finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0137ce…
10-07 00:40:14	Will Olivier Giroud retire before 1 July 2027?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x649bca…
10-07 00:01:22	Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x909b2a…
10-06 18:18:21	Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?	Yes	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xf1e957…
10-06 16:45:59	Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x629503…
10-06 16:45:17	Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?	No	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xe5e5dc…
10-06 16:38:23	Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xa05845…
10-06 16:37:29	Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x2bfde5…
10-06 16:37:27	Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x7562b3…
10-06 02:53:16	Will Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xfd9cda…
10-06 02:46:54	Will Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x391af9…
10-06 01:53:10	Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1c867d…
10-06 01:50:43	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0x10e9c2…
10-06 01:28:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xc9d0d8…
10-06 01:28:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x5838c8…
10-05 22:48:08	Will Olivia Rodrigo headline Coachella 2027?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x6c7720…
10-05 22:45:20	Will "Street Fighter" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xe626c3…
10-05 22:41:22	Will "Street Fighter" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x27caf1…
10-05 22:37:23	Will Olivia Rodrigo headline Coachella 2027?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x5b5146…
10-05 22:18:46	Will Notre Dame have an undefeated CFB regular season?	No	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0x83c948…
09-19 09:59:59	Will Genoa qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x2503b3…
09-02 20:04:13	Will Iceman (Drake) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x8970b7…
09-01 20:00:45	Will Drake perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	43	88¢	$38	0x66d75e…
08-29 18:25:48	Will Arthur Jarvis win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	52	14¢	$7	0x6ed3dc…
08-27 17:25:46	Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0x89c3e2…
08-25 14:03:03	Will Otu Bassey Edet win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	52	13¢	$7	0x08eb22…
08-25 13:54:07	Will Arthur Jarvis win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0xb37bce…
08-25 13:54:01	Will Arthur Jarvis win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xfd74a2…
08-25 13:54:00	Will Arthur Jarvis win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xee80df…
08-25 13:53:54	Will Otu Bassey Edet win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	52	15¢	$8	0x181d9e…
08-25 00:39:21	Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0xaf8b59…
08-24 23:48:07	us bank failure by december 31 2026 20260824	No	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0xa72987…
08-24 10:30:43	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	39	33¢	$13	0x08b8b0…
08-23 22:16:43	Will Don't Be Dumb (A$AP Rocky) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	87	10¢	$9	0xf38a6a…
08-22 17:27:13	will hapoel beer sheva qualify for the league phase of the 2026 27 uefa champions league 20260724201627091	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xc0b84f…
08-22 15:15:01	will sabah qualify for the league phase of the 2026 27 uefa champions league 20260724201627076	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xf298df…
08-22 10:41:12	Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x3806e6…
08-22 10:36:16	linera listed on binance within 30 days of tge	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xa428d6…
08-22 08:35:19	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x7ed136…
08-22 07:56:04	linera listed on upbit within 30 days of tge	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xfe1d3a…
08-22 02:36:42	Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xfcfd14…
08-21 23:54:54	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x02adea…
08-21 20:13:03	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x767df7…
08-21 15:34:42	will elon post texas on x this week 20260823	Yes	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x3f300b…
08-21 15:05:04	Will "Tires: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x7dab62…
08-21 14:56:51	next kimi k model released by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x7ecbb3…
08-21 13:42:31	will riga qualify for the league phase of the 2026 27 uefa conference league 20260724204004997	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x46352a…
08-21 13:33:21	Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xd83796…
08-21 13:17:31	Will Uroš Medić fight Joaquin Buckley next?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x50ad8c…
08-21 13:13:06	Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0xce543f…
08-21 13:01:49	flavio bolsonaro participates in debate before first round	No	SELL	13	49¢	$6	0x2d12b8…
08-21 12:25:21	linera listed on bybit within 30 days of tge	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x309f54…
08-21 12:08:49	linera listed on bybit within 30 days of tge	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xb32aba…
08-21 12:01:12	Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x018852…
08-21 12:00:51	Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xa7568a…
08-21 12:00:43	extended listed on upbit within 30 days of tge	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xb8d7d0…
08-21 11:40:21	Will Uroš Medić fight Joaquin Buckley next?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x947c8e…
08-21 11:28:03	Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x763c7e…
08-21 11:22:07	cambria listed on okx within 30 days of tge	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xc9e048…
08-21 11:01:28	cambria listed on okx within 30 days of tge	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xe7899b…
08-21 10:47:09	Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xab3765…
08-21 10:22:16	cambria listed on okx within 30 days of tge	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xbd11e3…
08-21 10:12:34	Will Byrum Brown be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x31511f…
08-21 10:11:37	linera listed on upbit within 30 days of tge	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x4a3608…
08-21 10:03:49	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	Yes	SELL	14	33¢	$4	0xdf2085…
08-21 10:03:19	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	Yes	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0x70b99b…
08-21 10:03:00	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x188afd…
08-21 10:02:58	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xbe5324…
08-21 10:02:58	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb8201e…
08-21 09:38:16	Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xd73aec…
08-21 09:20:07	cambria listed on okx within 30 days of tge	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd1bef5…
08-21 09:18:30	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x528ebe…
08-21 09:18:09	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x993d15…
08-21 08:32:51	cambria listed on bybit within 30 days of tge	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x127967…
08-21 07:33:27	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0xaceada…
08-21 07:33:06	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x2ddc08…
08-21 06:14:48	linera listed on upbit within 30 days of tge	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x54f7db…
08-21 06:13:15	linera listed on binance within 30 days of tge	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xee65e3…
08-21 06:12:30	linera listed on bybit within 30 days of tge	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x8f4c14…
08-21 06:08:09	cambria listed on bybit within 30 days of tge	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xdcdf92…
08-21 06:07:39	Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4dc451…
08-21 06:06:39	github git operations critical incident by october 31 2026	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x886f49…
08-21 06:06:22	extended listed on upbit within 30 days of tge	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x46f9c1…
08-21 06:06:18	github git operations critical incident by october 31 2026	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x8c3985…
08-21 05:51:55	linera listed on bybit within 30 days of tge	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x539ba9…
08-21 04:41:30	rockstar confirms gta vi gameplay leaked	Yes	SELL	17	55¢	$9	0xff8b61…
08-21 04:02:12	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x2e77d5…
08-21 04:01:04	rockstar confirms gta vi gameplay leaked	Yes	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x89f3d3…
08-21 03:48:09	Will "Tires: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xaf52e8…
08-21 03:13:13	will the next claude opus model be released by october 31 2026 20260727142323914	Yes	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0x4bc618…
08-21 03:12:52	will the next claude opus model be released by october 31 2026 20260727142323914	Yes	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x4c5f3b…
08-21 01:55:30	Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 21.5m?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x64cdce…
08-21 01:25:03	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x99d0a1…
08-21 01:24:33	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x98870a…
08-21 01:08:24	Will Dee Valladares come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0xdb90f4…
08-21 01:07:54	Will Dee Valladares come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xbaf933…
08-21 00:31:10	Will Byrum Brown be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x8e91ac…
08-21 00:17:27	Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x76c6bb…
08-20 23:39:06	israel military action against syria by september 15 2026	No	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0xb55e73…