Jittery-Mozzarella — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

21.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,038

lifetime

Volume

$26.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$41

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-19 11:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$0

Politics

32% 33% $-4

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		-50	$-37	82¢	$-41	$-4	06-11 17:30
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes		+0	$0	40¢	$0	$-0	06-01 07:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	6	$674	400	400	+0	open	—	01-03 11:49
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	19	$648	396	316	+80	open	—	02-14 15:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$558	650	250	+400	open	—	01-30 16:48
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	4	$492	300	300	+0	open	—	03-17 15:59
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by march 31	19	$483	250	350	-100	open	—	03-10 10:46
will russia capture lyman by january 31 2026	3	$474	100	400	-300	open	—	01-19 11:34
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	9	$432	300	300	+0	open	—	01-19 11:33
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	12	$395	407	150	+257	open	—	03-03 11:53
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	5	$388	200	300	-100	open	—	05-20 18:42
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$386	200	200	+0	open	—	01-11 13:46
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 560 579	10	$382	300	400	-100	open	—	01-19 11:35
tsla close above 420 on february 19 2026	3	$376	200	200	+0	open	—	02-19 18:01
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	4	$369	200	300	-100	open	—	03-29 15:38
will trump say congress or house in rome ga on february 19 663	4	$364	220	220	+0	open	—	02-19 17:08
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$334	200	300	-100	open	—	03-30 15:40
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	6	$333	200	200	+0	open	—	02-02 12:40
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	12	$330	350	150	+200	open	—	03-25 12:16
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	4	$323	150	200	-50	open	—	03-03 11:53
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	6	$319	250	150	+100	open	—	04-20 07:51
will f1 win best visual effects at the 98th academy awards	2	$305	100	220	-120	open	—	01-23 14:10
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	5	$283	300	100	+199	open	—	02-02 10:02
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	10	$282	237	237	+0	Yes	$-2	04-23 16:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$282	200	300	-100	open	—	04-20 07:55
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	2	$282	200	200	+0	open	—	01-11 13:46
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	4	$277	152	152	+0	open	—	05-28 11:13
will xagusd reach 82 in june 2026	6	$277	150	150	+0	open	—	06-16 16:05
will gas hit high 4pt50 by march 31	13	$276	247	300	-53	open	—	03-10 17:38
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	3	$275	181	181	+0	open	—	02-02 12:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	8	$272	200	200	+0	open	—	05-30 13:10
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	12	$271	140	150	-10	open	—	04-23 17:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 14:17:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	92	57¢	$52	0xd0d2be…
07-03 14:09:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xf856ca…
07-03 14:03:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0xe6c75d…
07-03 13:44:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x98a2d7…
06-19 11:34:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x205a54…
06-19 11:20:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x88e9b5…
06-16 16:05:25	will xagusd reach 82 in june 2026	No	SELL	147	92¢	$135	0xfafa47…
06-16 06:37:45	will xagusd reach 82 in june 2026	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xb44ab5…
06-13 04:34:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	250	13¢	$32	0x10c85e…
06-12 11:13:58	will xagusd reach 82 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xf52e9c…
06-12 10:41:33	will xagusd reach 82 in june 2026	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xbe8255…
06-12 10:39:16	will xagusd reach 82 in june 2026	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x0ce250…
06-12 09:29:36	will xagusd reach 82 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xc533ec…
06-11 17:30:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x99b58e…
06-11 08:32:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	30¢	$45	0x4158ee…
06-11 07:23:25	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xd08271…
06-11 07:22:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xd3dbba…
06-11 07:20:27	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xdcadc4…
06-11 07:06:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x0912de…
06-11 07:06:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xb1a038…
06-11 07:06:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	30¢	$13	0x7e38ad…
06-11 07:06:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0ce239…
06-11 06:32:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x3e7ed2…
06-11 06:30:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x8bbc9a…
06-10 23:50:58	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x238ad4…
06-10 08:04:24	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x176667…
06-10 07:55:33	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x14e59b…
06-10 07:47:34	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x2efe70…
06-10 06:59:12	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	24	81¢	$19	0xf800a1…
06-10 06:54:31	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x609b0b…
06-10 06:43:25	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0x42570f…
06-10 06:42:42	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x9fd05b…
06-10 06:40:28	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	74	17¢	$13	0xe44650…
06-10 06:00:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0xf046f4…
06-10 06:00:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xbb90a8…
06-04 06:10:42	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xc9ecef…
06-01 17:25:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x1c568e…
06-01 08:11:35	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xd2e779…
06-01 08:07:27	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x34877c…
06-01 08:04:26	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x950068…
06-01 08:01:03	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x198768…
06-01 07:43:25	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xfb3bde…
06-01 07:32:30	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x06d06c…
06-01 07:30:29	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x96f358…
06-01 07:00:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xe64f6f…
06-01 06:47:47	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x1758a5…
06-01 06:47:23	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xaacea6…
05-30 21:52:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xbd2ab1…
05-30 20:34:24	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	SELL	220	44¢	$97	0x2a0307…
05-30 13:10:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0x4e4271…
05-30 09:30:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x9fd1e8…
05-30 08:59:21	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa83bf2…
05-30 08:52:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x61f719…
05-30 08:30:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$11	0x36b569…
05-30 08:30:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0x22e085…
05-30 08:30:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x53956c…
05-30 08:30:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	69¢	$27	0x35a351…
05-30 08:30:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd16eb9…
05-30 08:30:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x5745f2…
05-30 08:30:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xd506ba…
05-30 08:27:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x8cc2c6…
05-30 08:27:16	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x6dbee9…
05-30 08:18:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	88¢	$38	0xa3c670…
05-29 14:52:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x67d68c…
05-29 14:24:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	150	96¢	$144	0x47b3c0…
05-29 14:05:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	40¢	$48	0x069428…
05-29 13:35:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x1a84f6…
05-29 11:21:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfb310b…
05-29 11:18:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x2ef3d0…
05-29 11:17:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x1bab7a…
05-28 14:13:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	206	23¢	$47	0x216c89…
05-28 11:13:47	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	152	92¢	$140	0x0c3f2a…
05-28 10:54:48	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x6db540…
05-28 10:54:14	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	42	49¢	$21	0x533def…
05-28 10:25:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xd35b84…
05-28 10:20:03	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x3d5832…
05-28 09:59:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	47	31¢	$15	0x699365…
05-28 09:59:26	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x15df17…
05-28 09:58:21	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x7809ef…
05-28 09:51:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8a68e0…
05-28 09:48:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x6e32b4…
05-28 09:29:18	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xd79a6f…
05-28 09:20:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x2404a7…
05-28 08:05:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0x4a8227…
05-24 03:58:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x5143b3…
05-24 03:58:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x053618…
05-24 03:55:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0x8b366a…
05-24 03:54:38	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x1f3e20…
05-24 03:32:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe8e4bd…
05-23 18:33:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	33	19¢	$6	0x8b3a3a…
05-23 17:56:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0xf0854f…
05-23 08:28:41	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xae6a36…
05-22 13:31:29	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xe9b35b…
05-22 13:00:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0x8685fe…
05-22 12:25:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xffc52c…
05-20 18:42:22	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	250	96¢	$240	0x24b727…
05-20 13:52:20	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x84df68…
05-20 10:37:30	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x99e68d…
05-20 10:36:48	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x34bab8…
05-20 10:36:36	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x46f850…