Jittery-Mozzarella — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$579

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

43.5%

Resolved

291

Trades

1,317

lifetime

Volume

$32.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-25 01:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

61% 43% -$505

Politics

34% 44% -$54

Sports

3% 29% -$25

Crypto

2% 71% +$25

Tech

1% 50% -$19

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-25).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No		-1	-$1	90¢	$-1	$0	07-25 01:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes		+0	$0	8¢	$0	$0	06-01 07:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	6	$674	400	400	+0	Yes	-$18	01-03 11:49
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	19	$648	396	316	+80	No	+$0	02-14 15:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$558	650	250	+400	Yes	+$15	01-30 16:48
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	4	$492	300	300	+0	No	-$6	03-17 15:59
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by march 31	19	$483	250	350	-100	No	-$32	03-10 10:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	13	$482	550	550	+0	Yes	+$16	06-11 08:32
will russia capture lyman by january 31 2026	3	$474	100	400	-300	No	-$19	01-19 11:34
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	16	$455	300	300	+0	Yes	+$7	05-30 13:25
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	9	$432	300	300	+0	Yes	+$0	01-19 11:33
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	9	$428	350	350	+0	No	-$10	07-04 19:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$406	298	298	-0	No	$0	05-24 05:29
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	12	$395	407	150	+257	No	+$10	03-03 11:53
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	5	$388	200	300	-100	No	-$4	05-20 18:42
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$386	200	200	+0	No	$0	01-11 13:46
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 560 579	10	$382	300	400	-100	No	+$17	01-19 11:35
tsla close above 420 on february 19 2026	3	$376	200	200	+0	No	+$8	02-19 18:01
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	4	$369	200	300	-100	No	-$29	03-29 15:38
will trump say congress or house in rome ga on february 19 663	4	$364	220	220	+0	Yes	-$8	02-19 17:08
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$334	200	300	-100	Yes	-$38	03-30 15:40
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	6	$333	200	200	+0	No	-$1	02-02 12:40
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	12	$330	350	150	+200	No	+$1	03-25 12:16
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	4	$323	150	200	-50	No	-$13	03-03 11:53
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	6	$319	250	150	+100	Yes	-$2	04-20 07:51
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	6	$317	206	206	+0	Yes	-$22	05-26 07:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	6	$306	300	350	-50	No	+$10	05-29 14:52
will f1 win best visual effects at the 98th academy awards	2	$305	100	220	-120	No	-$7	01-23 14:10
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	15	$294	265	265	+0	Yes	-$3	05-26 09:14
will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	13	$293	200	200	+0	Yes	-$9	07-11 17:56
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	18	$292	425	425	+0	No	+$9	05-22 20:08
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	5	$283	300	100	+199	No	+$1	02-02 10:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 01:46:37	Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xc79c1c…
07-11 17:56:44	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	SELL	34	71¢	$24	0x7faf54…
07-11 17:19:38	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xa94dbd…
07-11 16:49:50	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xe7efc1…
07-11 14:29:53	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	SELL	22	71¢	$16	0x387098…
07-11 01:39:02	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	SELL	24	71¢	$17	0x3e311a…
07-10 22:41:37	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x34856e…
07-10 21:19:05	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x42d97e…
07-10 19:04:19	will the announcers say ronaldo during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901515	Yes	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x6d4fb9…
07-10 13:00:44	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x684e9a…
07-10 12:18:07	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	SELL	21	71¢	$15	0xf5efb1…
07-10 08:55:49	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	SELL	80	71¢	$57	0xd56a52…
07-10 05:17:41	will the announcers say ronaldo during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901515	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x67c809…
07-10 04:56:46	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	BUY	45	75¢	$33	0x8baac4…
07-10 04:55:53	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	BUY	55	75¢	$42	0xed79e8…
07-10 04:55:52	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x333573…
07-08 03:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 8?	No	SELL	29	57¢	$17	0x8bfea8…
07-08 03:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 8?	No	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x8dbd34…
07-07 22:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 8?	No	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0xafb519…
07-07 22:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 8?	No	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x771f5b…
07-07 18:45:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 8?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xad577b…
07-07 17:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 8?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x51426b…
07-07 16:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 8?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x471238…
07-07 11:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 8?	No	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x9ae041…
07-07 10:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x4e01d0…
07-07 09:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 8?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7efe94…
07-07 08:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 8?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x38f260…
07-07 08:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 8?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3adc7a…
07-07 07:43:14	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 8?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xe82078…
07-07 07:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 8?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xcebe94…
07-07 07:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 8?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x033897…
07-07 06:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 8?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x344c6b…
07-07 05:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xdeb016…
07-05 00:12:29	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	60	26¢	$16	0x259abe…
07-04 19:25:35	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	300	64¢	$192	0xde4286…
07-04 16:18:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$8	0x88576d…
07-04 13:25:43	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x77f804…
07-04 13:05:56	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	60	75¢	$45	0x4327e1…
07-04 12:44:46	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x3058d3…
07-04 10:20:37	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xa6b842…
07-04 10:03:55	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	95	68¢	$65	0xd0021f…
07-04 10:03:49	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb8f964…
07-04 08:32:50	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x98fb1e…
07-04 08:31:31	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x249a02…
07-04 07:44:20	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xe78c6a…
07-04 07:05:32	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x13f55e…
07-04 05:58:32	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	49	29¢	$14	0x08e4e5…
07-04 05:55:40	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xb77bd0…
07-04 05:53:43	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x75d8b8…
07-04 05:13:19	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	16	22¢	$3	0xd622a2…
07-04 05:00:43	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x53a733…
07-04 04:17:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x31f7f9…
07-04 03:19:49	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xb144c9…
07-04 02:38:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd8c0b7…
07-04 02:23:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x03789f…
07-04 02:20:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x0e91f4…
07-03 18:47:53	Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0xf04b95…
07-03 16:56:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0x5ac5a4…
07-03 16:13:07	Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x2576f0…
07-03 14:17:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	92	57¢	$52	0xd0d2be…
07-03 14:09:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xf856ca…
07-03 14:03:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0xe6c75d…
07-03 14:02:58	Will EDward Gaming be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xb0f042…
07-03 13:44:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x98a2d7…
07-03 13:32:22	Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xb51a57…
07-03 13:32:20	Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x54a847…
06-21 22:46:04	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0xbf78a3…
06-21 17:28:44	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xb36c10…
06-21 13:00:22	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x65876c…
06-21 12:42:50	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xe582da…
06-19 11:55:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0x1022bc…
06-19 11:55:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	63	36¢	$23	0xffd3bc…
06-19 11:55:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	81	36¢	$29	0x9e7a01…
06-19 11:53:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	84	36¢	$30	0x32228c…
06-19 11:34:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x205a54…
06-19 11:20:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x88e9b5…
06-19 09:32:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xfa01fb…
06-19 09:25:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xcd1058…
06-18 17:43:16	Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xb00c29…
06-18 02:47:46	Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x7dd462…
06-16 16:05:25	will xagusd reach 82 in june 2026	No	SELL	147	92¢	$135	0xfafa47…
06-16 06:37:45	will xagusd reach 82 in june 2026	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xb44ab5…
06-15 13:51:13	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	SELL	60	14¢	$9	0xa60b7f…
06-15 13:49:51	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xb23385…
06-15 13:49:46	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0xf7e913…
06-13 12:18:55	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x84d160…
06-13 11:31:51	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	47	61¢	$29	0xbe4bf0…
06-13 10:13:33	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x1a2dd4…
06-13 09:34:30	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$7	0x787c56…
06-13 09:34:30	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x4eb1a3…
06-13 07:57:00	Will Moisés Caicedo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x28f017…
06-13 04:34:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	250	13¢	$32	0x10c85e…
06-12 18:33:46	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x7bd708…
06-12 11:15:46	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8331cb…
06-12 11:13:58	will xagusd reach 82 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xf52e9c…
06-12 10:41:33	will xagusd reach 82 in june 2026	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xbe8255…
06-12 10:39:16	will xagusd reach 82 in june 2026	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x0ce250…
06-12 10:27:09	Will Scotland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xdf56a8…
06-12 10:09:25	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0e8239…
06-12 10:06:37	Will Scotland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x347607…