Worried-Casino — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$84

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

866

Trades

2,404

lifetime

Volume

$38.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-22 12:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 73% -$126

Other

7% 30% +$231

Politics

0% 6% $0

Tech

0% 0% -$17

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No		+10	$6	5¢	$0	-$6	05-08 08:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	6	$2.8K	1,614	1,589	+25	Up	+$322	04-26 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$1.3K	1,579	0	+1,579	Up	+$257	04-26 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 03:45 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,125	0	+1,125	Up	+$11	04-20 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	73	$1.1K	1,760	0	+1,760	Up	-$1,091	04-26 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 03:35 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,117	0	+1,117	Up	+$49	04-20 03:39
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals	12	$824	600	600	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$56	04-22 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 04:50 UTC	2	$755	780	0	+780	Up	+$25	04-19 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 04:45 UTC	3	$746	827	0	+827	Down	+$79	04-17 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 14:35 UTC	5	$668	722	36	+686	Up	+$22	04-18 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 12:05 UTC	2	$607	617	0	+617	Down	+$10	04-18 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:35 UTC	7	$554	581	100	+481	Down	+$25	04-18 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC	1	$531	549	0	+549	Down	+$18	04-18 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 04:35 UTC	2	$501	510	0	+510	Down	+$9	04-17 04:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 11:00 UTC	1	$469	475	0	+475	Up	+$6	04-18 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	21	$466	277	271	+6	Up	+$72	04-26 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 04:20 UTC	3	$465	616	0	+616	Down	+$151	04-17 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 10:40 UTC	2	$439	472	0	+472	Down	+$33	04-18 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 05:10 UTC	92	$414	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$686	04-20 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 04:30 UTC	2	$400	497	0	+497	Up	-$400	04-20 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$400	672	0	+672	Down	-$400	04-26 12:06
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings	7	$312	300	300	+0	Punjab Kings	+$36	04-25 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 14:15 UTC	3	$300	462	0	+462	Down	+$162	04-18 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 06:00 UTC	2	$300	356	0	+356	Down	+$56	04-21 06:04
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	3	$296	400	400	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$80	04-25 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$281	191	184	+6	Down	+$85	04-26 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$277	318	216	+103	Up	+$1	04-26 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	27	$234	302	302	+0	Up	+$17	04-26 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$224	128	127	+1	Up	+$0	04-26 16:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 05:05 UTC	8	$223	160	156	+4	Up	+$25	04-21 05:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 18:30 UTC	4	$223	138	113	+26	Down	+$2	04-19 18:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 12:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x13d92a…
10-03 10:26:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3f6db2…
09-24 09:06:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x58203a…
09-24 08:57:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x73ed05…
09-24 08:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x7f2b8f…
09-24 08:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe28701…
09-24 08:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xe6e98a…
09-24 08:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2307c6…
09-19 10:05:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa82038…
09-19 10:04:17	Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xa8c678…
09-14 04:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0b8560…
09-14 04:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0807cf…
09-06 18:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x86f07b…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xf4aa1a…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xe5c47b…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xe1ccfc…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xdcb40b…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xd7dbd9…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xd3ebd8…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xaed788…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xa85137…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa56706…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x99a3e1…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x8eb6e0…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x89149c…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x7eb112…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x63f112…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x535720…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x2cce01…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	173	16¢	$28	0x1dd23d…
09-06 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x05e2e7…
09-06 11:13:43	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Bathinda Royals	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x225648…
09-06 10:15:18	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Bathinda Royals	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xa33446…
09-06 10:15:15	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Bathinda Royals	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0xd99e4a…
09-06 10:14:28	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Bathinda Royals	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0x1eea00…
09-06 10:14:27	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Bathinda Royals	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0xaad08b…
09-06 10:14:27	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Bathinda Royals	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0x2f1471…
09-06 09:11:15	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Bathinda Royals	BUY	80	53¢	$42	0x287401…
09-06 08:28:28	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Bathinda Royals	SELL	57	44¢	$25	0x55de12…
09-06 08:28:21	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Bathinda Royals	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xbae784…
09-06 08:28:21	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Bathinda Royals	SELL	38	44¢	$17	0x70c073…
09-06 07:38:45	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Bathinda Royals	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x08bca9…
09-06 07:29:48	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Bathinda Royals	BUY	49	39¢	$19	0xfbece2…
09-06 03:31:58	Caribbean Premier League: Barbados Tridents vs Trinbago Knight Riders	Barbados Tridents	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xd1875f…
09-06 03:31:51	Caribbean Premier League: Barbados Tridents vs Trinbago Knight Riders	Barbados Tridents	SELL	79	21¢	$17	0xa741e0…
09-06 02:19:52	Caribbean Premier League: Barbados Tridents vs Trinbago Knight Riders	Barbados Tridents	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x12d684…
09-06 02:19:51	Caribbean Premier League: Barbados Tridents vs Trinbago Knight Riders	Barbados Tridents	BUY	40	56¢	$23	0xd92036…
09-06 02:19:49	Caribbean Premier League: Barbados Tridents vs Trinbago Knight Riders	Barbados Tridents	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x680b9e…
09-05 00:59:40	Caribbean Premier League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Jamaica Kingsmen	Guyana Amazon Warriors	BUY	60	71¢	$43	0xe5d8c4…
09-05 00:37:03	Caribbean Premier League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Jamaica Kingsmen	Jamaica Kingsmen	SELL	83	24¢	$20	0x031629…
09-05 00:36:45	Caribbean Premier League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Jamaica Kingsmen	Jamaica Kingsmen	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x2e5fbe…
09-05 00:36:18	Caribbean Premier League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Jamaica Kingsmen	Jamaica Kingsmen	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xe58c28…
09-05 00:07:07	Caribbean Premier League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Jamaica Kingsmen	Jamaica Kingsmen	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0xe78827…
09-05 00:07:07	Caribbean Premier League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Jamaica Kingsmen	Jamaica Kingsmen	BUY	123	24¢	$30	0xa5cc1a…
09-05 00:07:06	Caribbean Premier League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Jamaica Kingsmen	Jamaica Kingsmen	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x8c1e37…
09-05 00:05:45	Caribbean Premier League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Jamaica Kingsmen	Jamaica Kingsmen	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x39dd40…
09-05 00:05:34	Caribbean Premier League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Jamaica Kingsmen	Jamaica Kingsmen	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf8261d…
09-05 00:05:31	Caribbean Premier League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Jamaica Kingsmen	Jamaica Kingsmen	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xfd67ed…
09-04 15:53:04	Kerala Cricket League T20: Alleppey Ripples vs Calicut Globstars	Alleppey Ripples	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0xc2a4a1…
09-04 15:53:01	Kerala Cricket League T20: Alleppey Ripples vs Calicut Globstars	Alleppey Ripples	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0xe44e80…
09-04 15:25:22	Kerala Cricket League T20: Alleppey Ripples vs Calicut Globstars	Alleppey Ripples	BUY	90	23¢	$21	0x7f7303…
09-04 14:01:09	crickcl ada thr 2026 09 04	Thrissur Titans	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x47e2c2…
09-04 11:35:34	crickcl ada thr 2026 09 04	Thrissur Titans	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x084d69…
09-04 11:05:55	crickcl ada thr 2026 09 04	Adani Trivandrum Royals	SELL	62	37¢	$23	0x802a3d…
09-04 10:35:57	crickcl ada thr 2026 09 04	Adani Trivandrum Royals	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x8130fc…
09-04 09:55:57	crickcl ada thr 2026 09 04	Adani Trivandrum Royals	BUY	54	36¢	$20	0xd6f5eb…
09-04 09:43:00	Kerala Cricket League T20: Adani Trivandrum Royals vs Thrissur Titans	Adani Trivandrum Royals	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x22c7a8…
09-04 07:45:24	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Amritsar Soormas	Amritsar Soormas	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x7b333a…
09-04 07:22:39	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Amritsar Soormas	Amritsar Soormas	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5101c6…
09-02 10:23:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-02 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x65c36e…
09-02 10:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc9ae8d…
08-30 19:00:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5ec4c2…
08-30 18:58:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x54b781…
08-30 16:06:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0xb8d8c8…
08-30 16:05:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcdc063…
08-30 15:47:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xba77af…
08-26 17:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xf5a8c0…
08-26 17:20:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xde178f…
08-26 17:20:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb01085…
08-26 17:20:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0x7a70ec…
08-26 17:20:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x00579a…
08-26 17:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x13d063…
08-26 12:49:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x49d12f…
08-26 12:33:03	crickcl thr ari 2026 08 26	Aries Kollam Sailors	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x62b8c8…
08-26 12:32:40	crickcl thr ari 2026 08 26	Aries Kollam Sailors	SELL	38	50¢	$19	0x5f1f3c…
08-26 12:12:22	crickcl thr ari 2026 08 26	Aries Kollam Sailors	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x9cb1ee…
08-26 11:55:58	cricdpl cen sou 2026 08 26	South Delhi Superstarz	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9c2dda…
08-26 11:55:58	cricdpl cen sou 2026 08 26	South Delhi Superstarz	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x0d49d8…
08-26 00:39:57	criccpl ant bar 2026 08 25	Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0xcf891b…
08-26 00:22:52	criccpl ant bar 2026 08 25	Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xab0fa4…
08-26 00:22:51	criccpl ant bar 2026 08 25	Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	BUY	37	21¢	$8	0xd425ba…
08-26 00:20:06	criccpl ant bar 2026 08 25	Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x90003c…
08-26 00:18:39	criccpl ant bar 2026 08 25	Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	BUY	28	21¢	$6	0xfc1940…
08-25 23:57:31	criccpl ant bar 2026 08 25	Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0x07aa2b…
08-25 23:56:46	criccpl ant bar 2026 08 25	Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	BUY	24	32¢	$8	0x704e94…
08-25 23:55:07	criccpl ant bar 2026 08 25	Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb6f982…
08-25 23:54:42	criccpl ant bar 2026 08 25	Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x5a901b…
08-25 23:54:31	criccpl ant bar 2026 08 25	Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xfc8b8d…
08-25 23:53:24	criccpl ant bar 2026 08 25	Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	BUY	44	32¢	$14	0xd06132…
08-25 04:57:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf8a200…