Open-Race — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

Trades

229

lifetime

Volume

$1.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-05

last 06-19 06:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

47% 100% +$17

Crypto

42% 0% $-1

Other

9% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+10	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	06-19 06:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$191	102	102	+0	open	—	04-01 19:41
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$175	320	320	+0	open	—	04-29 07:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$121	117	117	+0	open	—	04-08 03:28
btc updown 5m 1773884400	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	03-19 01:45
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	2	$64	200	200	+0	open	—	04-21 06:39
btc updown 5m 1773882900	2	$54	50	50	+0	open	—	03-19 01:20
btc updown 5m 1773882300	2	$50	44	44	+0	open	—	03-19 01:10
btc updown 5m 1773885000	3	$25	22	15	+7	open	—	03-19 01:56
btc updown 5m 1773883200	2	$22	18	18	+0	open	—	03-19 01:25
btc updown 5m 1773882000	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	03-19 01:05
nba phi sas 2026 04 06	3	$19	42	41	+1	open	—	04-06 15:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$19	18	18	+0	Yes	+$17	05-09 19:07
btc updown 5m 1773885600	10	$17	90	6	+84	open	—	03-19 02:05
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	04-13 02:03
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	2	$16	75	75	+0	open	—	04-02 23:34
btc updown 5m 1773884100	2	$15	11	10	+0	open	—	03-19 01:40
btc updown 5m 1773950400	3	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	03-19 20:05
btc updown 5m 1773886200	3	$13	24	6	+19	open	—	03-19 02:13
btc updown 5m 1773891000	4	$13	115	6	+108	open	—	03-19 03:34
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$13	56	56	+0	open	—	04-13 02:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$11	24	24	+0	open	—	04-13 02:03
btc updown 5m 1773916800	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-19 10:45
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	03-31 09:01
btc updown 5m 1773950100	5	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	03-19 20:00
btc updown 5m 1775960700	5	$10	3	10	-7	open	—	04-12 02:29
btc updown 5m 1773882600	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	03-19 01:10
Will Keir Starmer say "Crisis" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-29 07:16
btc updown 5m 1773883800	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	03-19 01:34
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	04-03 09:24
btc updown 5m 1773883500	3	$9	38	1	+37	open	—	03-19 01:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 06:42:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xced24b…
06-15 21:42:49	btc updown 5m 1781559600	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x79f743…
06-15 21:42:12	btc updown 5m 1781559600	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa3f4df…
05-23 18:36:28	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x62bba5…
05-23 11:39:07	Will Bernie say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Maine?	No	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0xd39cc8…
05-22 20:56:25	Will Bernie say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Maine?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa6ff22…
05-22 20:55:34	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x086521…
05-13 07:34:06	Will Trump say "Friendship" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1ce557…
05-09 19:15:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdb00ef…
05-09 19:11:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfed6c1…
05-09 19:10:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x40ac45…
05-09 19:10:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfe5e06…
05-09 19:07:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x29730a…
05-06 04:44:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x4066da…
05-04 08:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x276fa5…
05-04 08:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8d4958…
05-03 16:47:42	Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa68b12…
05-02 04:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6d5d1d…
05-01 19:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x493793…
05-01 19:30:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x961532…
05-01 05:08:10	Will Trump say "Not an Autopen" or "Not an Auto Pen" in April?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x95a12c…
04-30 19:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x900021…
04-30 19:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x148949…
04-30 19:15:28	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xac562a…
04-30 10:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x99bd2d…
04-29 07:16:22	Will Keir Starmer say "Crisis" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x1998fc…
04-29 07:16:16	Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa4d74d…
04-29 07:11:16	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	320	3¢	$8	0x52d2de…
04-24 14:39:02	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x6991cd…
04-24 14:38:34	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$4	0x0d2e31…
04-24 03:05:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc00370…
04-24 03:04:42	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2712d7…
04-23 20:20:02	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xbc3922…
04-23 18:38:16	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x57631a…
04-23 03:51:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x07e4fb…
04-21 21:54:54	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x091466…
04-21 21:54:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 100 119	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0846ec…
04-21 08:10:04	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xce544c…
04-21 08:09:38	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x7893b8…
04-21 07:28:00	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0c113a…
04-21 07:27:36	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$2	0xeb51ee…
04-21 07:27:04	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1b920e…
04-21 06:41:16	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xd432fe…
04-21 06:39:18	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x344750…
04-17 13:08:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	220	55¢	$121	0x06167a…
04-16 18:23:40	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe18a4a…
04-15 08:35:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x4b9f09…
04-15 08:35:26	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xb783e8…
04-14 09:31:39	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc1daff…
04-14 08:06:01	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x9c579b…
04-14 08:03:33	btc updown 5m 1776153600	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x664b60…
04-13 02:03:49	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xf653a4…
04-13 02:03:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	24	13¢	$3	0xd46da7…
04-13 02:03:37	will 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x111258…
04-13 02:03:29	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xbb0457…
04-13 02:03:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	56	6¢	$3	0x9d1a6e…
04-12 02:38:59	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 160 179	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4b51e5…
04-12 02:37:43	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 140 159	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3e0dbf…
04-12 02:34:05	will 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe7d745…
04-12 02:32:45	btc updown 5m 1775961000	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x30edc0…
04-12 02:29:39	btc updown 5m 1775960700	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xa95175…
04-12 02:28:57	btc updown 5m 1775960700	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x055a64…
04-12 02:28:47	btc updown 5m 1775960700	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x7cda25…
04-12 02:27:57	btc updown 5m 1775960700	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdbcec9…
04-12 02:25:35	btc updown 5m 1775960700	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2ec8d5…
04-12 02:24:53	btc updown 5m 1775960400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeabc2c…
04-11 05:32:39	btc updown 5m 1775885400	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa9b533…
04-11 05:32:27	btc updown 5m 1775885400	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe4ca63…
04-11 05:31:23	btc updown 5m 1775885100	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1c1ee0…
04-11 05:30:59	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x77464b…
04-11 05:28:33	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xfc54b9…
04-11 05:25:25	btc updown 5m 1775885100	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xaf454c…
04-11 05:25:19	btc updown 5m 1775885100	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5b29d5…
04-11 05:21:39	btc updown 5m 1775884800	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3bb432…
04-08 04:09:41	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xacaf7b…
04-08 03:53:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9f974b…
04-08 03:47:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb6f053…
04-08 03:46:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf9a4d6…
04-08 03:28:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	117	100¢	$116	0xb4dbe8…
04-07 14:17:43	btc updown 5m 1775571300	Down	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x3b25a8…
04-07 14:16:29	btc updown 5m 1775571300	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xaa323c…
04-07 14:14:37	btc updown 5m 1775571000	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8e791c…
04-07 14:14:27	btc updown 5m 1775571000	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe37def…
04-07 14:12:55	btc updown 5m 1775571000	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x98b436…
04-07 14:09:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	117	4¢	$5	0x26315c…
04-07 14:07:03	btc updown 5m 1775570700	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x3d8d03…
04-06 15:40:33	nba phi sas 2026 04 06	76ers	SELL	41	23¢	$9	0xa1a8e8…
04-06 11:05:49	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd9626b…
04-06 11:05:45	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x28fa43…
04-06 11:03:57	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6bb31d…
04-06 11:03:17	nba phi sas 2026 04 06	76ers	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4d1bfb…
04-06 11:02:43	nba det orl 2026 04 06 total 226pt5	Under	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x852a6a…
04-06 11:01:47	nba nyk atl 2026 04 06 total 230pt5	Under	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x14c193…
04-06 10:58:19	nba phi sas 2026 04 06	76ers	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x0c32b2…
04-03 20:20:07	btc updown 5m 1775247300	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9a2e95…
04-03 20:19:53	btc updown 5m 1775247300	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x55b3a2…
04-03 20:16:35	btc updown 5m 1775247300	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0533e3…
04-03 20:16:19	btc updown 5m 1775247300	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x34bf5a…
04-03 20:14:35	btc updown 5m 1775247000	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x7e03c6…
04-03 20:14:01	btc updown 5m 1775247000	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3d54d5…