Dear-Hypothesis 0x32d162…f2b949
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$484
Unrealized P&L
-$52
Hit rate
11.3%
Resolved (30d)
9
Trades (30d)
5
1,403 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.47K
$75.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$1.27K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-14 23:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Politics
63% 27% -$799
Other
23% 14% -$2,024
Sports
13% 38% +$125
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,900 $722 32¢ $598 -$123 10-14 23:15
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -23,648 -$328 2¢ $-390 -$63 09-17 02:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +4,587 $248 3¢ $147 -$101 09-16 03:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -510 -$238 13¢ $-64 +$174 08-01 14:32
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -400 -$76 8¢ $-30 +$46 06-06 17:05
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +307 $36 4¢ $14 -$22 09-20 12:25
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,800 -$27 0¢ $-10 +$17 06-06 01:58
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +167 $16 4¢ $7 -$9 09-20 06:36
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,922 -$39 0¢ $-6 +$33 05-23 20:19
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -127 -$1 4¢ $-5 -$4 08-08 16:53