Gentle-Crazy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$642

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-10 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

95% 41% -$30

Politics

3% 0% -$16

Crypto

2% 100% +$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	3	$34	24	24	+0	Yes	+$13	06-01 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	5	$27	130	9	+121	No	-$22	06-06 14:08
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	3	$24	29	20	+9	No	+$3	06-02 11:52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	06-05 16:55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$19	14	14	+0	Yes	+$9	05-29 16:09
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	3	$19	63	40	+23	No	-$1	05-23 14:16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$18	32	32	+0	No	-$2	05-18 08:20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$17	50	0	+50	No	-$17	06-09 10:05
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	2	$17	20	20	+0	Yes	+$7	06-02 15:38
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	2	$16	17	17	+0	Yes	+$7	05-15 19:14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	06-08 15:43
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	05-13 16:03
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$16	22	22	+0	No	+$3	05-13 16:02
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	05-15 13:52
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$15	12	12	+0	Yes	+$9	05-12 16:06
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	06-01 06:03
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	05-30 16:25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	3	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	06-08 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	5	$13	25	25	+0	No	+$2	06-01 16:54
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$12	16	16	+0	No	+$2	05-21 13:29
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?	2	$11	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-31 23:00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	05-09 10:00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$11	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-20 20:41
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$10	29	11	+18	No	$0	05-13 22:36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$10	18	18	+0	Yes	$0	05-31 12:51
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$9	15	15	+0	Yes	-$1	05-21 21:14
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$9	15	15	+0	Yes	-$2	06-08 13:46
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	3	$9	15	15	+0	No	+$3	05-11 20:42
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	2	$9	13	13	+0	No	-$1	05-23 19:50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$9	25	25	+0	No	-$1	05-14 21:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 19:17:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x48e726…
06-09 10:05:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xf45ee0…
06-08 15:44:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6ce4b7…
06-08 15:43:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x013a12…
06-08 13:46:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xb23f8a…
06-08 13:46:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0xc02793…
06-07 23:32:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x29f929…
06-07 23:27:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x100d43…
06-06 14:08:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xb82aca…
06-06 14:05:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x8355cb…
06-06 12:16:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0xfab13a…
06-06 10:47:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x6e8487…
06-06 09:58:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x56a0ad…
06-05 18:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0xa9fc47…
06-05 16:55:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x20e6ad…
06-05 13:24:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xb7c301…
06-05 13:22:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x551002…
06-04 07:30:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0x9d2907…
06-04 07:26:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xc1cee1…
06-02 15:38:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xaa33b2…
06-02 11:52:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xdd9506…
06-02 09:05:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf7dfdc…
06-02 09:04:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xd75f87…
06-02 08:18:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x5cc08b…
06-02 08:17:28	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0x8c8a95…
06-01 16:54:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x74db21…
06-01 16:36:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xb3020c…
06-01 16:36:14	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x3f563f…
06-01 16:33:40	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x17a7b6…
06-01 15:59:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x177ccf…
06-01 14:12:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x7d8e1d…
06-01 06:03:03	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd18210…
05-31 23:04:25	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x84eafe…
05-31 23:00:59	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xb1f86f…
05-31 16:28:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xf1efc0…
05-31 16:25:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xccb582…
05-31 16:25:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xa7ce32…
05-31 12:51:38	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0xaef530…
05-31 09:38:31	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xf49d39…
05-30 20:35:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x22189a…
05-30 16:25:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7db4fd…
05-30 10:11:41	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa0f052…
05-29 16:09:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2cd93c…
05-29 11:40:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x9edaf7…
05-29 08:37:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbc5cb6…
05-29 08:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xa7f780…
05-24 08:14:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	9¢	$3	0xfc59e2…
05-23 19:53:17	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x9592cb…
05-23 19:50:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0x40a9a9…
05-23 14:24:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe206b6…
05-23 14:16:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x9404da…
05-23 08:13:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0x4b0b8c…
05-22 15:13:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x44a6f0…
05-21 21:14:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	31¢	$4	0xa55621…
05-21 13:29:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0x65788d…
05-21 12:49:38	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd30f0e…
05-20 20:42:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x50d278…
05-20 20:41:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0xa57a65…
05-20 08:09:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb88deb…
05-18 10:49:06	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xca637e…
05-18 10:41:45	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x2a2ff3…
05-18 10:33:11	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x755d46…
05-18 10:32:39	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1b9ee3…
05-18 08:31:52	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x917050…
05-18 08:29:34	Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x75d719…
05-18 08:20:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0xd8be4c…
05-17 21:53:18	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x0a4005…
05-17 21:50:54	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	3¢	$5	0x808a69…
05-17 04:59:44	Will White House post 200+ posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0xeca3ef…
05-16 22:05:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xee5724…
05-16 22:04:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	33¢	$6	0xb442cc…
05-16 17:35:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x974936…
05-15 21:20:08	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xf2136a…
05-15 19:17:43	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0x1b4696…
05-15 19:14:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	69¢	$11	0x20f94d…
05-15 13:52:50	Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0bfee0…
05-15 04:58:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x69749c…
05-14 21:05:48	Will White House post 200+ posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x33dd49…
05-14 21:04:31	Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xa7ca10…
05-14 21:03:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x2a8017…
05-14 17:20:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7a7b62…
05-13 22:36:26	Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x0b1494…
05-13 20:26:31	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xaab725…
05-13 16:03:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x77a08f…
05-13 16:02:44	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x56205a…
05-13 16:02:04	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0x75a516…
05-12 23:36:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x5d0706…
05-12 16:06:53	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd30730…
05-12 15:36:11	Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xb5e651…
05-12 07:30:28	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x7b774b…
05-11 20:51:39	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xbbc470…
05-11 20:49:49	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0x9c9f13…
05-11 20:42:37	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0xeb4117…
05-11 18:08:42	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xe04189…
05-11 15:56:56	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xcc9f1a…
05-10 12:10:45	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd60996…
05-09 10:17:17	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x5e11a2…
05-09 10:02:14	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0xa42cad…
05-09 10:00:37	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x8ed0a1…
05-08 21:25:04	Will White House post 200+ posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0x02e72f…