Realized P&L
-$1.20K
Unrealized P&L
+$148
Hit rate
55.4%
Resolved
1,370
Trades
3,754
lifetime
Volume
$37.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$469
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 03:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 243 days
Categories
Sports
39% 41% -$416
Other
32% 32% -$245
Crypto
27% 21% -$631
Politics
3% 29% +$72
Pop-Culture
0% 25% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,250 $108 12¢ $144 +$36 09-27 19:54
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +155 $88 66¢ $103 +$15 10-01 16:49
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +129 $51 60¢ $77 +$25 10-19 15:58
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -238 -$105 18¢ $-44 +$61 06-16 17:07
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +54 $30 66¢ $35 +$5 09-18 05:23
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +180 $11 13¢ $24 +$13 09-18 05:21
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +205 $14 8¢ $15 +$1 10-24 18:31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -12 -$6 66¢ $-8 -$2 05-21 02:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +33 $5 18¢ $6 +$1 09-08 13:11
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +132 $5 4¢ $6 +$1 10-24 18:31
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -62 -$3 8¢ $-5 -$2 10-24 18:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +31 $7 4¢ $1 -$6 09-23 15:17
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -43 -$3 1¢ $-0 +$2 05-07 15:37
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -25 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$2 05-07 15:37
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +116 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 09-04 16:44
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -10 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-04 02:11