Impure-Breakdown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$1.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-09 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Crypto

25% — —

Politics

19% 0% $-3

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	5	$260	154	154	+0	open	—	03-20 10:32
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	10	$178	247	247	+0	open	—	04-07 22:38
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	2	$71	51	51	+0	open	—	03-17 00:09
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$67	62	37	+26	open	—	03-08 11:35
bitcoin above 68k on march 9	2	$35	26	26	+0	open	—	03-09 15:33
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	3	$34	50	50	+0	open	—	03-24 20:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$33	37	37	+0	open	—	04-07 22:15
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	2	$32	61	61	+0	open	—	03-08 22:12
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in April 2026?	2	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	03-30 12:09
bitcoin above 68k on march 10	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	03-10 14:55
will bitcoin reach 74k on march 13	5	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	03-13 14:42
will bitcoin reach 72k on march 10	6	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	03-10 17:12
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-13 11:12
will bitcoin reach 71k on march 12	3	$20	18	17	+0	open	—	03-12 16:41
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	2	$18	16	16	+0	open	—	03-24 20:39
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$18	35	35	+0	open	—	03-09 21:00
nothing ever happens microstrategy	3	$17	42	22	+20	open	—	03-10 13:14
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$15	4,167	0	+4,167	open	—	03-09 07:46
ethereum above 2000 on march 10	4	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	03-10 14:58
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$14	18	18	+0	open	—	03-09 21:00
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$14	22	22	+0	open	—	03-09 21:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	04-17 20:56
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	2	$13	17	17	+0	open	—	03-10 13:21
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-05 18:14
will bitcoin reach 69k on march 9	2	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	03-09 13:33
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	2	$12	59	59	+0	open	—	03-09 12:16
will bitcoin reach 73k on march 13	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-13 13:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$11	174	174	+0	open	—	03-24 20:36
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	03-12 19:06
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-02 00:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 08:24:06	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x575f01…
06-09 08:19:09	spacex ipo officially added to sp 500 in 2026 20260608202834697	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc53b0e…
05-09 22:52:56	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Roman Kopylov	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x71f3b6…
05-09 20:23:36	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2dc115…
04-28 13:23:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x8e9fcf…
04-27 11:57:12	Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc75005…
04-23 22:03:56	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x589c3a…
04-23 22:03:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0x0159fe…
04-19 20:06:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0x08e13d…
04-17 20:56:28	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x56ad47…
04-17 14:43:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xc73e0c…
04-17 14:39:52	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 17	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x248afa…
04-17 14:37:44	bitcoin above 78k on april 17	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x5110d2…
04-17 14:28:02	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 17	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc47b4a…
04-17 14:26:00	bitcoin above 78k on april 17	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x0abfc6…
04-15 22:24:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf02ff3…
04-15 14:31:36	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1471ba…
04-12 22:33:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xde3490…
04-12 15:55:27	trump approval up or down this week 715	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8bcedd…
04-08 00:15:05	will bitcoin reach 73k on april 7	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xac46f6…
04-07 22:40:41	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x73271f…
04-07 22:40:33	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x3da873…
04-07 22:38:21	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x2ef844…
04-07 22:37:45	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xa529e9…
04-07 22:36:51	will bitcoin reach 73k on april 7	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0b5d78…
04-07 22:36:27	will bitcoin reach 72k on april 7	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x441f09…
04-07 22:33:13	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x86d127…
04-07 22:32:07	wti up or down on april 8 2026	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x13f753…
04-07 22:30:11	will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xbe54c3…
04-07 22:20:29	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x68536d…
04-07 22:15:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	37	62¢	$23	0xec3bd3…
04-07 22:11:05	will bitcoin reach 72k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5e680c…
04-07 22:10:43	will bitcoin reach 71k on april 7	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8db1bc…
04-07 22:10:13	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xac3b55…
04-07 20:55:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x766115…
04-07 20:17:05	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xbabba2…
04-07 20:02:39	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xb62194…
04-07 20:01:27	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x109d40…
04-07 19:59:57	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x761943…
04-07 19:54:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0x1a994d…
04-07 15:08:03	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x902bc5…
04-06 00:11:57	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x2ef616…
04-06 00:09:29	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe57daa…
04-05 18:14:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa151f1…
04-02 22:21:27	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x43197d…
04-02 22:19:55	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfa4874…
04-02 00:24:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xe13a97…
04-02 00:23:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x60dd74…
04-02 00:11:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x121b9b…
04-02 00:09:37	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf20d17…
04-01 13:17:59	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6ea50a…
03-31 23:20:57	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xe1fd07…
03-31 18:00:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x0ab646…
03-30 22:10:15	will project hail mary be the highest grossing movie of this weekend	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe6646e…
03-30 22:09:41	will project hail mary be the highest grossing movie of this weekend	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0xa7bf47…
03-30 22:09:09	will project hail mary be the highest grossing movie of this weekend	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb905e9…
03-30 15:40:19	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xb39844…
03-30 12:20:16	will gas hit high 4pt00 by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3cd101…
03-30 12:18:06	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x89bb04…
03-30 12:09:54	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in April 2026?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x50b6f4…
03-30 00:15:28	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x76448a…
03-30 00:08:14	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x007f46…
03-30 00:03:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc7ee40…
03-29 18:48:12	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	6	56¢	$4	0x9dfd13…
03-29 18:47:44	will spacex file for an ipo by april 3 2026	Yes	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xba9cf6…
03-29 18:42:16	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4bd1da…
03-26 23:44:25	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x74b3b9…
03-26 23:38:11	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x725681…
03-25 23:17:03	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2b0a5e…
03-25 23:15:39	will spacex file for an ipo by april 3 2026	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa4743e…
03-25 23:10:01	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x723806…
03-25 18:02:53	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xcd2cc5…
03-25 09:31:39	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x25100c…
03-25 02:34:25	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April 2026?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf452e7…
03-25 02:26:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xce289d…
03-25 02:17:47	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in April 2026?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xdd4228…
03-25 02:06:35	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9e583a…
03-24 20:39:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xe17d3a…
03-24 20:39:23	Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0xcc7dd5…
03-24 20:36:49	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	24	57¢	$14	0x3723ee…
03-24 20:36:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	174	4¢	$6	0xe66b78…
03-23 21:48:11	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	42	31¢	$13	0x05e6dc…
03-23 12:50:11	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	42	67¢	$28	0x633982…
03-23 09:10:05	Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5a99c2…
03-22 15:21:53	will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x0595b6…
03-22 15:21:25	will aryna sabalenka win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5dd766…
03-22 14:27:07	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbce6bd…
03-20 10:44:15	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	62	50¢	$31	0x673461…
03-20 10:39:37	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x42cf46…
03-20 10:32:51	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x1148e7…
03-20 10:21:53	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	No	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x9c41a6…
03-20 10:19:49	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	114	94¢	$107	0x7389a3…
03-20 10:17:03	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x7ed61b…
03-20 10:17:01	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	83	57¢	$48	0x51b8c6…
03-19 13:08:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	174	3¢	$5	0x77bf6d…
03-17 07:51:39	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x17f225…
03-17 00:09:07	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x0bd9da…
03-14 13:33:41	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x3c5237…
03-13 14:42:25	will bitcoin reach 74k on march 13	Yes	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x262ec5…
03-13 14:24:07	will bitcoin reach 74k on march 13	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x644743…