Candid-Vista — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$83

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 10-22 08:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 92% +$15

Other

23% 92% -$14

Politics

19% 78% -$84

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$272	136	136	+0	No	$0	03-21 13:42
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$191	184	184	+0	No	-$69	05-14 14:17
will ethereum dip to 1500 march 23 29	1	$159	159	0	+159	No	+$0	03-29 07:21
will solana dip to 60 on april 2	1	$149	149	0	+149	No	+$0	04-02 15:41
highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 31corhigher	1	$143	143	0	+143	No	+$0	04-07 05:14
will solana reach 95 on april 4	1	$143	143	0	+143	No	+$0	04-04 14:55
solana above 30 on april 16	1	$130	130	0	+130	Yes	+$0	04-14 15:16
will the price of solana be between 40 50 on april 21	1	$129	129	0	+129	No	+$0	04-19 15:26
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	1	$127	139	0	+139	Yes	+$12	03-22 06:46
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 21 2026 151	1	$116	127	0	+127	Yes	+$11	03-21 13:44
ethereum above 2600 on april 12	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	04-11 05:47
will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	1	$103	103	0	+103	No	+$0	06-27 15:27
will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	07-18 04:53
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 8?	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	08-05 05:48
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on April 25?	1	$101	101	0	+101	Yes	+$0	04-23 15:26
solana above 120 on july 7 2026	1	$99	99	0	+99	No	+$0	07-03 13:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$96	96	0	+96	No	+$0	04-22 14:00
will bitcoin reach 78k june 1 7 2026	1	$94	94	0	+94	No	+$0	06-04 15:21
Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on May 27?	1	$92	92	0	+92	No	+$0	05-23 11:41
Will the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 18?	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$0	06-15 09:33
will bnb reach 800 in february	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$0	02-25 05:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$78	78	0	+78	No	+$0	05-28 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 00:45 UTC	1	$72	73	0	+73	Up	+$1	03-16 00:49
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	1	$72	72	0	+72	No	+$0	04-26 03:37
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 9?	1	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	05-08 08:46
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$60	61	0	+61	Yes	+$1	05-11 04:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 7?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	05-03 16:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-03 16:20
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$40	190	0	+190	No	-$40	05-14 14:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	04-27 16:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 08:01:45	Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x63eabf…
08-05 05:48:59	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 8?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xc27c4e…
07-18 04:54:36	Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xce9446…
07-18 04:53:37	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xca17cb…
07-03 13:44:17	solana above 120 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x5b1461…
07-03 13:41:55	Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5d8be0…
06-27 15:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 63°F or below on June 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9fae34…
06-27 15:27:16	will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xc651a9…
06-15 09:33:57	Will the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 18?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x485fd5…
06-15 09:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on June 16?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1f4b17…
06-04 15:22:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x0dc2fd…
06-04 15:21:33	will bitcoin reach 78k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x4f29a9…
05-28 15:24:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5b0054…
05-28 15:23:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xb0ded7…
05-23 11:44:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on May 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x03871f…
05-23 11:41:34	Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on May 27?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x34f1a1…
05-14 14:46:06	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0x1e3e94…
05-14 14:17:24	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	106	33¢	$35	0x57e162…
05-14 14:15:36	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0xc6cdbf…
05-14 14:14:48	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x754696…
05-14 14:14:45	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	29	34¢	$10	0x720e7d…
05-14 00:24:35	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	184	71¢	$130	0x6fee8a…
05-11 04:58:45	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x07c0dc…
05-11 04:58:17	Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8ffa04…
05-08 08:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 9?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x2e864d…
05-06 05:12:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2664c7…
05-03 16:22:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 7?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xc43620…
05-03 16:20:40	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x281f75…
05-03 16:20:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x400b3a…
05-03 16:19:26	Will muse-spark have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xdfb612…
05-02 08:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C or below on May 3?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x37da95…
04-27 16:11:58	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc18382…
04-27 16:10:48	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0f0cd1…
04-27 16:09:16	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x259351…
04-27 16:08:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x0c6a60…
04-26 03:37:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x9ee5e7…
04-26 03:37:00	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4bd539…
04-24 16:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 25?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xeeaa86…
04-23 15:26:56	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xa60c58…
04-22 14:00:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x11e839…
04-22 13:57:00	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4b5b81…
04-19 15:26:02	will the price of solana be between 40 50 on april 21	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x92e0c6…
04-18 14:37:28	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf50846…
04-15 15:44:20	highest temperature in tokyo on april 16 2026 17c	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x99b8c3…
04-14 15:16:17	solana above 30 on april 16	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x35e923…
04-12 08:57:07	highest temperature in nyc on april 12 2026 66forhigher	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc8d575…
04-12 08:52:37	highest temperature in austin on april 13 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc3056f…
04-11 05:47:13	ethereum above 2600 on april 12	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x798e84…
04-07 05:14:23	highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 31corhigher	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x5f4695…
04-04 14:55:31	will solana reach 95 on april 4	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xc91584…
04-04 14:53:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x45408d…
04-04 14:53:11	highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3133f7…
04-02 15:41:55	will solana dip to 60 on april 2	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x95a8d6…
04-01 09:37:33	highest temperature in nyc on april 1 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xade110…
03-29 07:21:24	will ethereum dip to 1500 march 23 29	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x4e5b1f…
03-22 06:46:51	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	Yes	BUY	139	92¢	$127	0x37a747…
03-21 13:44:11	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 21 2026 151	Yes	BUY	127	91¢	$116	0xbb4da7…
03-21 13:43:17	highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 6corbelow	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x95e6ce…
03-21 13:42:17	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xb75a38…
03-16 00:53:31	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x36d351…
03-16 00:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xfecf1c…
03-16 00:44:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x8f3ee8…
03-16 00:36:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x49955e…
03-16 00:34:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xfa3a66…
03-16 00:28:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x8ea53a…
02-25 05:13:16	will bnb reach 800 in february	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x2bb468…
02-25 05:12:46	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in february 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x727afd…