Tall-Going — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,324

lifetime

Volume

$3.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-01 23:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

43% — —

Other

31% 100% +$4

Crypto

22% 60% +$0

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+19	$10	38¢	$7	$-3	06-01 23:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-29	$-14	16¢	$-5	+$10	05-28 14:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	146	$301	366	355	+11	open	—	05-30 15:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	118	$295	344	318	+26	open	—	05-29 15:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	68	$290	206	206	+0	open	—	05-18 04:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	73	$254	175	180	-5	open	—	05-19 00:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	108	$220	279	274	+5	open	—	05-28 21:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	62	$166	171	182	-11	open	—	05-22 21:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	39	$127	121	121	+0	open	—	05-19 19:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	25	$115	128	128	+0	open	—	04-21 01:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	43	$113	160	150	+10	open	—	05-19 17:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	44	$96	128	110	+18	open	—	05-23 20:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	15	$78	45	45	+0	Yes	+$3	05-11 05:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	28	$75	80	61	+19	open	—	06-01 23:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	17	$68	85	85	+0	open	—	05-08 01:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	14	$56	56	56	+0	open	—	04-30 16:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	14	$55	60	72	-12	open	—	05-07 17:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	8	$52	42	42	+0	open	—	04-21 13:12
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	22	$52	82	82	+0	open	—	05-29 16:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	33	$51	88	92	-4	open	—	05-24 01:27
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	15	$51	39	39	+0	open	—	05-13 01:41
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	15	$49	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 18:54
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	12	$47	60	59	+1	open	—	04-30 19:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	13	$47	55	55	+0	open	—	05-01 16:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	20	$43	51	51	+0	open	—	05-19 23:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	10	$43	35	35	+0	open	—	05-13 13:43
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	15	$41	43	43	+0	open	—	05-15 04:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	12	$39	59	59	+0	open	—	05-07 14:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	11	$32	32	32	+0	Yes	$-1	05-08 00:05
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	6	$30	24	31	-7	open	—	05-07 08:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	9	$30	26	26	+0	No	+$1	05-05 05:24
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	9	$30	24	24	+0	open	—	05-01 05:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 23:42:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xb1ff5b…
06-01 19:59:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe2d47d…
06-01 19:59:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa52069…
06-01 19:59:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xeee0ac…
06-01 19:25:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb0af51…
06-01 19:10:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x967153…
06-01 18:56:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x1e410a…
06-01 18:25:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x82fb65…
06-01 18:15:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$0	0x72ce67…
06-01 18:12:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa529cd…
06-01 18:12:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xdee09b…
06-01 18:12:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6f1798…
06-01 18:10:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x2a1502…
06-01 17:53:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x1cd1da…
06-01 17:48:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xd9035e…
06-01 17:47:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x8c489e…
06-01 12:39:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0x3e6c47…
06-01 08:56:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc3baf2…
06-01 08:46:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbea944…
06-01 08:45:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc5d3f3…
06-01 08:36:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbcb6fc…
06-01 08:12:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4e20c0…
06-01 08:12:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7f5589…
06-01 08:08:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x563b9f…
06-01 08:08:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6c28b1…
06-01 08:06:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xc053bb…
06-01 08:06:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x1fe19c…
06-01 08:06:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x0d2008…
06-01 08:06:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xcd846e…
05-31 15:17:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe67941…
05-31 15:17:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5dec69…
05-31 13:39:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb25d3c…
05-31 13:38:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x234e3b…
05-31 13:37:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc6d364…
05-31 13:37:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x39481d…
05-31 13:35:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x95392e…
05-31 13:31:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb47dae…
05-31 13:24:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb16433…
05-31 11:36:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x80f568…
05-31 08:29:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x543ce3…
05-30 18:54:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0x6d5520…
05-30 17:03:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xeb6bb4…
05-30 15:51:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xee049a…
05-30 15:46:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa14034…
05-30 15:45:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x9ec408…
05-30 15:42:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xfe5ca0…
05-30 15:19:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3512bb…
05-30 15:18:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6cbab8…
05-30 15:17:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0518fc…
05-30 15:17:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xda164a…
05-30 15:17:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xeae1e0…
05-30 15:16:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe8d754…
05-30 15:15:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x218b6b…
05-30 15:13:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xddb11f…
05-30 15:11:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9286a5…
05-30 15:00:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x0d01e0…
05-29 17:06:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x19408b…
05-29 17:06:41	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xcc389f…
05-29 17:06:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7622ee…
05-29 17:05:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0dcc59…
05-29 17:05:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x2bb6bd…
05-29 17:03:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x4e2be7…
05-29 17:02:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x13f44b…
05-29 17:02:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x50039f…
05-29 16:27:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x04ca35…
05-29 16:24:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe28248…
05-29 16:21:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x363248…
05-29 16:19:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1c989e…
05-29 16:18:20	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x363ec4…
05-29 16:17:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe80fe7…
05-29 16:13:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xe96c44…
05-29 16:02:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x41b71d…
05-29 16:00:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xba9490…
05-29 15:59:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa2d434…
05-29 15:59:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf48f2f…
05-29 15:58:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x59c22d…
05-29 15:13:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xd1f84a…
05-29 15:12:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x4a5ac0…
05-29 15:11:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xbcd609…
05-29 15:08:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x67900e…
05-29 15:01:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xe44ea2…
05-29 15:01:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x0d0c9c…
05-29 14:55:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xabcabe…
05-29 14:54:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x3519a3…
05-29 14:54:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x51f1fa…
05-29 14:54:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xfe1e95…
05-29 14:54:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x467412…
05-29 14:54:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa98944…
05-29 14:54:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0xdd575d…
05-29 14:54:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x3fe8f9…
05-29 14:54:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x070aa3…
05-29 14:53:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x1f6b8c…
05-29 14:53:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3dc69c…
05-29 14:53:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x14b7c0…
05-29 14:53:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x371131…
05-29 14:53:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x1ee07f…
05-29 14:53:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0xdb3f8e…
05-29 14:53:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x752168…
05-29 14:53:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x6b93dc…
05-29 14:53:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x3e6f0d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	76	$633.1K	11,538	06-09 22:59
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	61	$179.6K	1,974	06-09 23:31
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	60	$2.79K	1,763	06-08 00:41
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	57	$277.2K	26,696	06-10 03:03
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	57	$19.0K	637	06-07 22:49
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	54	$11.2K	1,671	06-06 21:43
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	52	$17.2M	35,966	06-10 02:52
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	51	$45.7K	4,047	06-07 18:34