Small-Notebook — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$22.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$41

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved (90d)

995

Trades (90d)

9,186

18,204 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$119.0K

$462.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$500

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 14:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 266 days

Categories

Other

100% 45% +$83,310

Politics

0% 50% -$72

Sports

0% 57% +$76

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 685 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No		+524	$459	96¢	$500	+$41	10-09 20:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in chicago on march 10 2026 60 61f	21	$15.4K	12,348	9,737	+2,611	Yes	+$47	03-11 02:26
highest temperature in austin on april 4 2026 78 79f	4	$10.8K	10,994	0	+10,994	Yes	+$244	04-04 19:03
highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 46 47f	41	$10.1K	10,537	888	+9,649	No	+$175	03-09 02:21
highest temperature in miami on february 19 2026 82 83f	8	$7.6K	7,709	0	+7,709	No	+$93	02-19 22:44
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 53forbelow	10	$7.6K	9,442	1,986	+7,456	No	+$32	03-22 17:54
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 74 75f	27	$6.3K	6,753	399	+6,354	Yes	+$126	03-27 18:49
highest temperature in miami on february 15 2026 78 79f	12	$6.1K	6,152	416	+5,736	No	-$97	02-15 19:58
Will Hurricane Polo peak at Category 5?	6	$5.0K	5,140	0	+5,140	Yes	+$133	09-22 13:07
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 21?	15	$4.4K	2,283	2,283	+0	Yes	+$160	10-23 04:56
highest temperature in nyc on february 4 2026 32 33f	22	$4.2K	4,484	550	+3,934	Yes	-$149	02-04 21:44
highest temperature in atlanta on february 11 2026 64 65f	27	$3.8K	4,009	0	+4,009	Yes	+$180	02-11 20:02
highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	43	$3.8K	4,709	0	+4,709	No	+$898	04-13 01:58
highest temperature in nyc on january 13 50 51f	4	$3.8K	3,893	102	+3,791	No	+$3	01-13 19:52
highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 48forhigher	36	$3.8K	4,511	742	+3,768	Yes	+$278	03-09 02:17
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	6	$3.7K	3,083	3,083	+0	No	+$2,339	09-02 06:13
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 5°C or below on October 21?	11	$3.5K	1,853	1,853	+0	No	+$179	10-23 04:39
highest temperature in chicago on february 20 2026 44 45f	4	$3.2K	3,269	0	+3,269	Yes	+$35	02-20 16:50
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	18	$3.2K	3,216	2,025	+1,191	No	+$536	10-22 20:26
highest temperature in seattle on march 5 2026 52 53f	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$12	03-06 04:10
highest temperature in chicago on march 10 2026 62 63f	8	$3.0K	9,985	1,483	+8,502	No	+$4	03-11 02:15
highest temperature in dallas on january 12 65forbelow	25	$2.9K	3,321	511	+2,810	Yes	-$92	01-12 23:33
highest temperature in dallas on february 20 2026 70 71f	1	$2.9K	2,937	0	+2,937	No	+$44	02-20 21:00
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 46 47f	18	$2.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$113	03-11 17:21
highest temperature in seattle on january 14 54 55f	4	$2.9K	2,895	0	+2,895	No	+$13	01-15 01:02
highest temperature in atlanta on february 11 2026 66forhigher	12	$2.8K	3,135	0	+3,135	No	+$354	02-11 19:53
highest temperature in nyc on march 12 2026 56 57f	7	$2.6K	2,636	0	+2,636	Yes	+$38	03-12 12:38
highest temperature in miami on march 3 2026 82 83f	2	$2.6K	2,616	0	+2,616	Yes	+$26	03-03 21:20
highest temperature in nyc on february 3 2026 32 33f	2	$2.6K	2,560	0	+2,560	Yes	+$5	02-04 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?	6	$2.5K	3,006	0	+3,006	Yes	+$469	06-03 04:30
highest temperature in atlanta on march 18 2026 56 57f	67	$2.4K	2,554	0	+2,554	Yes	-$190	03-19 01:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x60581c…
10-27 14:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5d6e89…
10-27 13:58:41	Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	107	96¢	$103	0xbf4ac1…
10-27 13:58:14	Will a hurricane make landfall in Texas by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	278	95¢	$263	0xfb90a1…
10-27 13:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	135	0¢	$1	0x174756…
10-27 04:53:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x944545…
10-27 04:47:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	94	25¢	$24	0x0a5062…
10-27 04:36:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	48	24¢	$12	0xaf8117…
10-27 04:36:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	63	54¢	$34	0x15ca48…
10-27 04:34:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	311	26¢	$82	0x3432c1…
10-27 04:34:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xb0b32e…
10-27 04:34:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	87	28¢	$24	0x8d2e14…
10-27 04:34:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	360	24¢	$87	0x255829…
10-27 04:25:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	115	15¢	$17	0x8554e8…
10-27 04:14:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	130	62¢	$81	0xa591ad…
10-27 04:10:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0xc920ff…
10-27 04:08:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	84	64¢	$54	0x0e51fe…
10-27 04:08:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	276	14¢	$38	0xdc480d…
10-27 04:03:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	349	69¢	$241	0x4c01d1…
10-27 04:02:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x60df94…
10-27 04:02:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x04a41a…
10-27 04:02:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x007b64…
10-27 04:01:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x47b32c…
10-27 04:00:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x04b33c…
10-27 03:59:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xabd088…
10-27 01:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0xacf7e7…
10-27 01:29:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1a94bd…
10-27 01:28:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2d2f05…
10-27 01:28:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x285e24…
10-27 01:06:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	39	53¢	$21	0x6281c8…
10-27 01:06:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x2cf47a…
10-27 01:05:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x8c15c3…
10-27 01:04:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xb320e0…
10-27 00:57:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0x51c455…
10-27 00:50:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	37¢	$374	0xf22780…
10-27 00:50:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0xda27f3…
10-27 00:50:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x921b4d…
10-27 00:50:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x73d9c9…
10-27 00:50:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x95e1cf…
10-27 00:50:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	201	2¢	$4	0x4db3f7…
10-26 22:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xc7e66c…
10-26 22:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0x5ae06b…
10-26 22:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x11f0a1…
10-26 22:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x45591f…
10-26 22:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xaef408…
10-26 22:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x50b286…
10-26 22:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xd788cd…
10-26 22:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	240	60¢	$144	0x033ab6…
10-26 22:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbf07b6…
10-26 22:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xbb52d3…
10-26 22:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x41522f…
10-26 22:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xb1c0a9…
10-26 21:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5c050e…
10-26 21:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xbdac8b…
10-26 21:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb726a7…
10-26 21:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x9d35f9…
10-26 21:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xe97ba8…
10-26 21:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x67480d…
10-26 21:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x5a70fc…
10-26 21:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	187	85¢	$159	0xe7df6b…
10-26 21:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xf60ca3…
10-26 21:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0x427597…
10-26 21:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x17fd53…
10-26 21:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd62a29…
10-26 21:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8c6569…
10-26 21:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x631c23…
10-26 20:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	85	30¢	$25	0xc454ad…
10-26 20:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x238b0e…
10-26 20:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 26?	No	BUY	120	87¢	$105	0x3bdd45…
10-26 19:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$2	0xf95475…
10-26 19:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0xf13bb4…
10-26 19:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfb3868…
10-26 19:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf3af9e…
10-26 19:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x92ee9b…
10-26 19:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	SELL	128	38¢	$49	0x485877…
10-26 19:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x44c2ec…
10-26 19:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1542aa…
10-26 19:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x1419b0…
10-26 19:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x056357…
10-26 18:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xab54cd…
10-26 17:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xf4d4d0…
10-26 17:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0x3fd3ef…
10-26 17:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xbf384c…
10-26 17:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	75	9¢	$7	0xb4b11d…
10-26 17:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x8096d2…
10-26 17:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x3f46a6…
10-26 15:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x65d669…
10-26 15:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x197867…
10-26 14:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x676282…
10-26 13:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x1f7c6d…
10-26 13:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x19c87b…
10-26 13:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xbf2e30…
10-26 11:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	128	75¢	$96	0xb2c5fb…
10-25 21:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C or below on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x0edead…
10-25 19:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x103d46…
10-25 19:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0xbf1570…
10-25 19:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	65	10¢	$6	0x365bde…
10-25 18:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 25?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xbca02f…
10-25 18:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x134d05…
10-25 18:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	Yes	SELL	90	79¢	$71	0xe99826…