Small-Notebook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$84.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$36

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

2,351

Trades

18,514

lifetime

Volume

$464.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$495

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 07:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 269 days

Categories

Other

100% 45% +$84,793

Politics

0% 50% -$72

Sports

0% 57% +$76

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 685 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No		+524	$459	94¢	$495	+$36	10-09 20:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in chicago on march 10 2026 60 61f	21	$15.4K	12,348	9,737	+2,611	Yes	+$47	03-11 02:26
highest temperature in austin on april 4 2026 78 79f	4	$10.8K	10,994	0	+10,994	Yes	+$244	04-04 19:03
highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 46 47f	41	$10.1K	10,537	888	+9,649	No	+$175	03-09 02:21
highest temperature in miami on february 19 2026 82 83f	8	$7.6K	7,709	0	+7,709	No	+$93	02-19 22:44
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 53forbelow	10	$7.6K	9,442	1,986	+7,456	No	+$32	03-22 17:54
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 74 75f	27	$6.3K	6,753	399	+6,354	Yes	+$126	03-27 18:49
highest temperature in miami on february 15 2026 78 79f	12	$6.1K	6,152	416	+5,736	No	-$97	02-15 19:58
Will Hurricane Polo peak at Category 5?	6	$5.0K	5,140	0	+5,140	Yes	+$133	09-22 13:07
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 21?	15	$4.4K	2,283	2,283	+0	Yes	+$160	10-23 04:56
highest temperature in nyc on february 4 2026 32 33f	22	$4.2K	4,484	550	+3,934	Yes	-$149	02-04 21:44
highest temperature in atlanta on february 11 2026 64 65f	27	$3.8K	4,009	0	+4,009	Yes	+$180	02-11 20:02
highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	43	$3.8K	4,709	0	+4,709	No	+$898	04-13 01:58
highest temperature in nyc on january 13 50 51f	4	$3.8K	3,893	102	+3,791	No	+$3	01-13 19:52
highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 48forhigher	36	$3.8K	4,511	742	+3,768	Yes	+$278	03-09 02:17
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	6	$3.7K	3,083	3,083	+0	No	+$2,339	09-02 06:13
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 5°C or below on October 21?	11	$3.5K	1,853	1,853	+0	No	+$179	10-23 04:39
highest temperature in chicago on february 20 2026 44 45f	4	$3.2K	3,269	0	+3,269	Yes	+$35	02-20 16:50
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	18	$3.2K	3,216	2,025	+1,191	No	+$536	10-22 20:26
highest temperature in seattle on march 5 2026 52 53f	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$12	03-06 04:10
highest temperature in chicago on march 10 2026 62 63f	8	$3.0K	9,985	1,483	+8,502	No	+$4	03-11 02:15
highest temperature in dallas on january 12 65forbelow	25	$2.9K	3,321	511	+2,810	Yes	-$92	01-12 23:33
highest temperature in dallas on february 20 2026 70 71f	1	$2.9K	2,937	0	+2,937	No	+$44	02-20 21:00
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 46 47f	18	$2.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$113	03-11 17:21
highest temperature in seattle on january 14 54 55f	4	$2.9K	2,895	0	+2,895	No	+$13	01-15 01:02
highest temperature in atlanta on february 11 2026 66forhigher	12	$2.8K	3,135	0	+3,135	No	+$354	02-11 19:53
highest temperature in nyc on march 12 2026 56 57f	7	$2.6K	2,636	0	+2,636	Yes	+$38	03-12 12:38
highest temperature in miami on march 3 2026 82 83f	2	$2.6K	2,616	0	+2,616	Yes	+$26	03-03 21:20
highest temperature in nyc on february 3 2026 32 33f	2	$2.6K	2,560	0	+2,560	Yes	+$5	02-04 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?	6	$2.5K	3,006	0	+3,006	Yes	+$469	06-03 04:30
highest temperature in atlanta on march 18 2026 56 57f	67	$2.4K	2,554	0	+2,554	Yes	-$190	03-19 01:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x63bdf0…
10-30 09:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x829c5d…
10-30 09:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbeddd4…
10-30 09:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa1d421…
10-30 07:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x45677b…
10-30 07:31:22	Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	84	98¢	$83	0x2fa33b…
10-30 07:30:18	Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	162	99¢	$161	0x9050bd…
10-30 07:21:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4398ab…
10-29 22:56:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xbed7ae…
10-29 22:53:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x36878f…
10-29 22:48:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xa3948e…
10-29 22:35:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x037376…
10-29 22:35:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x031fb4…
10-29 22:34:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0x1b84f4…
10-29 22:33:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x54488d…
10-29 22:04:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	117	3¢	$4	0x12232c…
10-29 21:57:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	292	3¢	$9	0xb4469c…
10-29 19:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x851620…
10-29 19:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	160	9¢	$14	0xc99ef3…
10-29 19:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xeffc1a…
10-29 19:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	68	3¢	$2	0x441720…
10-29 19:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x358d2e…
10-29 17:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0x6f2150…
10-29 17:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x3f5273…
10-29 17:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	87	10¢	$9	0x59b338…
10-29 17:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0x2d8f97…
10-29 17:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x43d9e0…
10-29 17:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	295	9¢	$28	0x651210…
10-29 17:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x619c45…
10-29 17:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x98ae6a…
10-29 17:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0xdb193e…
10-29 17:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	148	1¢	$2	0x0d1ed2…
10-29 17:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x1e6b3e…
10-29 17:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x652849…
10-29 17:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x4681af…
10-29 17:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x33a812…
10-29 17:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x693cfb…
10-29 17:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8658e6…
10-29 17:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x73d9b4…
10-29 17:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb3bb30…
10-29 17:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xedc6ab…
10-29 17:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x091bd1…
10-29 17:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfa5ee6…
10-29 17:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x24b495…
10-29 16:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x867803…
10-29 16:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa0ebb7…
10-29 16:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xedafb7…
10-29 16:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcd2642…
10-29 16:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xac7925…
10-29 16:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xecad48…
10-29 16:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x94c154…
10-29 16:47:17	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc5d3d4…
10-29 16:44:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x4b482b…
10-29 16:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5202e9…
10-29 16:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0x179850…
10-29 16:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0baf26…
10-29 16:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xbe5e0b…
10-29 16:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	205	0¢	$1	0x248c25…
10-29 16:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x79d307…
10-29 16:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	429	0¢	$0	0xad7954…
10-29 16:30:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	691	0¢	$1	0x05e4e5…
10-29 16:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x1d5154…
10-29 16:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xb44a5e…
10-29 15:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x73a1cb…
10-29 15:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x4cd2dc…
10-29 15:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x7dd51b…
10-29 15:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x3fa767…
10-29 15:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xe3740b…
10-29 15:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x503711…
10-29 15:24:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x3e609a…
10-29 15:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xb766d3…
10-29 15:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x2f4b75…
10-29 15:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xea3a99…
10-29 15:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe9f10c…
10-29 15:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x4b680c…
10-29 15:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdd0c66…
10-29 15:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe2b34b…
10-29 15:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xde81ba…
10-29 15:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x3a0b20…
10-29 15:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0xd58834…
10-29 15:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd1b56b…
10-29 15:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	47	12¢	$6	0xa61fb0…
10-29 15:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9fd054…
10-29 15:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x407808…
10-29 15:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x1394ce…
10-29 14:41:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	141	63¢	$89	0xebfe1b…
10-29 14:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xada25c…
10-29 14:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x30f54c…
10-29 14:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x02846d…
10-29 14:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	68	0¢	$0	0x7cb32f…
10-29 14:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x12b502…
10-29 14:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	2,428	0¢	$2	0xdd6b62…
10-29 13:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe7689e…
10-29 13:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4b792a…
10-29 13:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	404	9¢	$36	0xbc9fd5…
10-29 13:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0xb63619…
10-29 13:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x55ea68…
10-29 13:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0x783e78…
10-29 13:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x01d8f5…
10-29 13:15:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	216	1¢	$3	0x7f20fb…