Which-Lining — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$112

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

254

Trades

1,226

lifetime

Volume

$4.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 08-27 16:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

78% 48% -$143

Politics

21% 45% +$31

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 33% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+5	$3	66¢	$3	+$0	07-07 12:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+10	$4	12¢	$1	-$2	08-25 17:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	25	$245	204	204	+0	Yes	+$38	07-18 15:06
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	25	$119	258	258	+0	Yes	+$5	07-10 23:51
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	30	$115	102	101	+1	No	+$7	08-10 06:03
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	23	$109	321	75	+246	No	-$51	07-26 01:02
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	19	$101	120	100	+20	No	+$6	07-25 16:40
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	15	$96	150	150	+0	Yes	+$0	07-11 18:51
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?	7	$89	60	60	+0	Yes	+$30	07-06 12:01
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?	12	$85	90	90	+0	Yes	+$41	08-03 15:18
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?	41	$78	503	503	+0	No	-$75	07-27 03:00
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?	15	$75	729	729	+0	No	-$70	06-22 19:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	15	$72	95	95	+0	open	—	08-02 17:36
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	2	$67	60	60	+0	Yes	+$19	08-01 15:35
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?	13	$58	499	499	+0	Yes	-$53	06-22 19:11
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?	16	$52	71	71	+0	No	-$3	07-17 10:39
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	10	$51	40	40	+0	No	-$1	08-15 21:39
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?	15	$51	88	88	+0	No	+$5	07-19 17:56
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	6	$49	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-24 02:36
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?	15	$48	110	110	+0	No	+$4	08-03 13:36
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	7	$48	70	70	+0	No	+$4	07-14 20:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	10	$45	115	45	+70	No	+$2	08-25 16:13
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	5	$44	25	25	+0	Yes	+$5	07-31 05:15
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	6	$44	30	30	+0	Yes	+$14	07-24 14:13
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m?	5	$39	25	25	+0	Yes	+$11	08-09 17:55
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	10	$37	45	45	+0	No	-$9	07-13 13:10
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	8	$37	45	45	+0	Yes	+$7	07-06 03:10
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 77m?	5	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$3	06-27 20:14
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be at least 48m?	3	$35	30	30	+0	Yes	+$2	07-17 10:04
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	7	$35	46	46	+0	Yes	+$5	07-14 05:56
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?	2	$35	30	30	+0	Yes	+$25	07-12 16:13
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?	6	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$2	07-24 03:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 16:18:33	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xde2c6f…
08-25 23:12:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x547cba…
08-25 17:41:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xdd7370…
08-25 17:41:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xdd7370…
08-25 16:41:18	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3796c0…
08-25 16:13:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x5e2b01…
08-25 15:59:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x2e5908…
08-25 12:29:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x490ad8…
08-24 08:04:37	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x62ad48…
08-24 07:50:06	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xadd729…
08-24 07:33:00	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x5c79cd…
08-24 06:57:49	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x5d1bc0…
08-24 06:40:09	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x01196d…
08-24 06:28:24	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x47e7c2…
08-24 04:20:49	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x24ee40…
08-24 04:02:00	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x9b4409…
08-24 03:51:12	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xa6a576…
08-24 02:16:37	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x67ea16…
08-23 17:37:30	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x8e8d9d…
08-23 16:50:48	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xd35b22…
08-23 16:30:25	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x5d9fce…
08-23 16:30:25	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x32838c…
08-23 15:20:12	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0x52d95c…
08-23 14:44:15	Will "The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x9be1f4…
08-23 14:43:52	Will "The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?	No	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0xdb1b03…
08-23 14:28:16	Will "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x489b63…
08-23 13:16:22	Will "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x341a1b…
08-23 08:18:01	Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 20m?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x5232ba…
08-23 07:14:04	Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18.5m?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x48f4b0…
08-23 06:12:00	Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 20m?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xfd9db9…
08-23 06:01:42	Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 21.5m?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xc9cf89…
08-23 03:39:30	Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x937218…
08-22 22:48:33	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xabe3a2…
08-22 22:47:57	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x87f921…
08-22 22:47:28	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa644e9…
08-22 22:47:28	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	Yes	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x626fb0…
08-22 20:40:57	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x45e469…
08-22 20:37:01	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xd3695b…
08-22 16:52:36	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xe663b2…
08-22 16:52:36	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x98f48f…
08-22 05:46:42	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xc05f01…
08-21 17:31:57	Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18.5m?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc5788f…
08-21 08:48:45	Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 20m?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xccda34…
08-21 05:58:25	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x864447…
08-21 04:46:30	Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 21.5m?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x6b610f…
08-21 01:57:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x8f7c5e…
08-21 01:50:36	Will "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb97ff7…
08-20 23:04:01	Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x86b93a…
08-20 22:17:36	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4ba62a…
08-20 22:15:22	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x22c271…
08-20 18:57:48	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8fb726…
08-20 16:36:03	Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x969b28…
08-20 15:58:15	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xf58f1a…
08-20 15:53:09	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6a2baa…
08-20 15:52:46	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x2f83a8…
08-20 06:36:19	Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x419ff9…
08-19 16:15:36	Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xf498f9…
08-19 01:15:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x27c50c…
08-19 00:02:45	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1ebc06…
08-18 23:28:48	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x786d20…
08-18 22:23:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xc4ea0f…
08-18 21:20:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x70e786…
08-18 21:15:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0xb603cf…
08-18 21:13:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x612b48…
08-18 21:09:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x76003d…
08-18 21:06:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x04690c…
08-18 20:59:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xebe112…
08-18 20:52:30	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc47d26…
08-18 20:49:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3f5fc6…
08-18 20:21:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x22e0dd…
08-18 20:06:06	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x966622…
08-18 20:04:34	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3b5000…
08-18 18:57:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf77d68…
08-18 18:56:34	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xa92f1f…
08-18 18:28:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xba888b…
08-18 15:01:27	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xbe940f…
08-18 10:35:01	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xd9e19c…
08-18 09:59:33	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x86e2df…
08-18 05:42:37	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	25	57¢	$14	0x9719bb…
08-18 02:30:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xf9fca6…
08-17 19:19:15	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x42b69a…
08-17 18:51:33	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x66907c…
08-17 09:40:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x545b10…
08-17 09:27:40	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0xbcc9e5…
08-17 09:24:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	25	86¢	$22	0x90e20a…
08-17 09:22:30	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?	No	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xbbe0ee…
08-17 08:10:07	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?	No	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0xccce4f…
08-17 08:10:07	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?	No	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x3669e9…
08-17 07:34:46	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xb9da67…
08-17 04:51:34	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xa38d20…
08-17 04:41:01	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 72m?	Yes	SELL	70	20¢	$14	0x357dea…
08-17 03:49:18	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 70m?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0x2b7200…
08-17 03:27:10	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 70m?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x952c9a…
08-17 00:36:04	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?	No	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x02d1bc…
08-17 00:32:48	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?	No	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x87bfc0…
08-17 00:31:52	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x07d276…
08-17 00:31:34	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x936ce7…
08-16 22:29:15	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 72m?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x123274…
08-16 21:22:37	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x376dec…
08-16 21:22:36	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 72m?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xed5910…