Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$56

1 position

First seen

2026-05-14

last 10-24 07:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$1

Politics

34% 100% +$1

Crypto

10% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No		+58	$57	98¢	$56	$0	10-23 20:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?	2	$132	69	69	+0	open	—	10-24 07:20
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	5	$118	62	62	+0	open	—	09-18 08:18
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$113	59	59	+0	open	—	10-10 14:34
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	10-06 19:43
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$1	07-29 03:08
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	2	$93	49	49	+0	open	—	09-09 16:30
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	2	$80	42	42	+0	No	+$0	07-20 15:00
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	2	$80	42	42	+0	open	—	08-06 21:40
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	4	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	05-25 14:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$79	41	41	+0	No	+$1	06-02 23:57
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	3	$78	41	41	+0	No	+$0	05-14 09:59
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	4	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	08-30 09:52
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	2	$57	58	0	+58	open	—	10-23 20:49
Will the Republican Party win the CA-44 House seat?	2	$48	49	0	+49	open	—	09-25 17:46
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?	2	$41	17	24	-7	No	+$0	06-15 12:40
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	07-23 22:53
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?	1	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	06-20 03:21
will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	06-24 16:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 07:20:57	Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	96¢	$67	0xf28ac5…
10-23 20:49:57	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf68c14…
10-20 08:28:14	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$42	0x28daf8…
10-15 23:57:22	Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	95¢	$66	0x1a60bd…
10-10 14:34:28	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0xbd9d94…
10-06 19:43:48	Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$51	0x2bd1ef…
09-25 17:46:03	Will the Republican Party win the CA-44 House seat?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x7526e7…
09-23 14:54:25	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$56	0x23cda6…
09-18 08:18:03	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$59	0xd8c25b…
09-15 13:58:00	Will the Republican Party win the CA-44 House seat?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x0a99ea…
09-10 17:17:22	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x6a6b30…
09-10 17:17:13	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1aa451…
09-10 17:17:03	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x75cd25…
09-10 17:16:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xea7ca0…
09-09 16:30:18	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	SELL	49	95¢	$47	0xb6c580…
09-03 21:38:03	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0x04811b…
08-30 09:52:30	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5322cc…
08-30 01:48:04	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x461c19…
08-23 03:39:52	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x222498…
08-20 01:45:46	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xbb811c…
08-06 21:40:20	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0xcf07a6…
07-29 03:08:20	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x2c4b3d…
07-23 22:53:57	Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x3673cd…
07-22 05:37:49	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xd33da9…
07-20 15:00:49	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x1d956c…
07-20 07:36:58	Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x7ec60d…
07-14 09:31:59	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xa1c580…
06-24 16:58:25	will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x4502c1…
06-20 03:21:20	Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x257bb4…
06-15 12:40:37	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xf63e84…
06-02 23:57:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x2d93e7…
05-30 05:42:31	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x758b36…
05-27 07:17:17	Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0x19065d…
05-25 14:04:21	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x6b99f3…
05-25 13:00:11	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb307a5…
05-15 09:33:36	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa37936…
05-14 09:59:08	Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x8b304c…
05-14 09:59:08	Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x1761f3…
05-14 09:50:16	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xa68eeb…
05-14 09:35:15	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x4e385c…
05-14 09:14:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x628353…
05-14 08:27:57	Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0x4e7823…