Flustered-Affair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$12.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-25 05:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

40% — —

Other

31% 0% $-1

Crypto

16% — —

Politics

10% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$1.3K	648	648	+0	open	—	04-02 12:55
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$830	415	415	+0	open	—	03-17 17:15
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	6	$792	397	397	+0	No	$-0	04-14 18:25
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$520	261	261	+0	open	—	03-16 14:41
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	4	$460	230	230	-0	open	—	03-21 21:48
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$336	169	168	+0	open	—	03-03 03:53
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$330	165	165	+0	open	—	03-02 06:06
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$324	162	162	+0	open	—	02-10 21:43
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$304	152	152	+0	open	—	03-14 16:13
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$284	142	142	+0	open	—	04-18 05:05
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$282	141	141	+0	open	—	03-13 20:43
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$280	140	140	+0	open	—	04-12 07:40
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$272	136	136	+0	open	—	02-25 20:24
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$272	137	137	+0	No	$-0	04-03 01:47
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$270	135	135	+0	open	—	02-14 12:11
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$266	133	133	+0	open	—	04-16 22:48
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$265	133	133	+0	open	—	02-18 00:41
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$264	132	132	+0	open	—	02-12 17:57
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$260	130	130	+0	open	—	03-27 05:21
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$260	130	130	+0	open	—	03-12 16:49
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	2	$256	128	128	+0	open	—	03-28 12:59
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$254	127	127	+0	open	—	04-16 02:40
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$254	127	127	+0	No	$-0	03-26 09:13
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	2	$254	127	127	+0	open	—	04-14 04:58
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$244	122	122	+0	open	—	04-03 09:21
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$244	122	122	+0	open	—	03-14 09:41
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$238	119	119	+0	No	$-0	03-23 07:20
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$230	115	115	+0	No	$-0	04-15 18:30
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$222	111	111	+0	open	—	03-22 04:42
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	04-14 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 05:05:49	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4bd8e…
06-25 05:05:23	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe2e1f9…
06-24 18:33:50	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x374cde…
06-24 18:33:26	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x93935e…
06-24 18:32:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x55a04d…
04-18 05:05:00	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x30021b…
04-18 01:47:34	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xf13c98…
04-16 22:48:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0xeefc41…
04-16 12:26:02	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xb5e26c…
04-16 02:40:24	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0xcaf63e…
04-15 21:27:46	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xefc697…
04-15 18:30:18	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xf2a502…
04-15 15:35:16	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x93f2a7…
04-14 18:25:18	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x9f2f46…
04-14 14:09:35	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xad9f1f…
04-14 14:09:19	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xb92d7c…
04-14 09:08:21	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x7777a1…
04-14 04:58:35	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x69ef9d…
04-14 01:32:35	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x056220…
04-13 03:50:37	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xd03bfa…
04-12 22:27:21	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xcec134…
04-12 07:40:25	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x410dc7…
04-12 01:58:57	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x112149…
04-04 19:01:47	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x0c9698…
04-04 11:59:29	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xdd6bf0…
04-03 09:21:03	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0xac2e0d…
04-03 07:28:07	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x8ad2e9…
04-03 01:47:29	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$136	0x272a7f…
04-02 21:35:37	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0x399cfb…
04-02 12:55:17	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x6cb278…
04-02 08:00:25	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x9697a7…
03-31 12:37:33	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd4f461…
03-31 08:23:45	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7c9b76…
03-28 22:05:36	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x978953…
03-28 12:59:19	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x75db06…
03-28 12:59:03	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x154bb3…
03-28 09:01:31	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xa6115f…
03-27 05:21:43	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xc83f6a…
03-26 22:40:43	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xbc9492…
03-26 22:40:25	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x4cb6e4…
03-26 15:57:49	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x5d8477…
03-26 09:13:31	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x88ccd7…
03-26 02:32:01	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x117790…
03-25 12:56:55	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$147	0x706477…
03-25 09:47:47	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$147	0xa3e6cd…
03-23 07:20:41	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x69773d…
03-23 00:40:37	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xb78bd8…
03-22 11:16:53	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	149	100¢	$149	0x1d0a91…
03-22 04:42:53	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0xddd1da…
03-22 04:42:33	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xe727b1…
03-21 21:48:37	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x73b508…
03-21 21:48:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x12a6c6…
03-21 16:04:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xc76564…
03-21 02:28:05	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x046745…
03-20 19:32:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x7bda4f…
03-18 00:04:57	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0xdf37cd…
03-17 17:15:27	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x26cfcb…
03-17 17:15:03	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x5b8a4d…
03-17 10:34:57	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xb3ebfd…
03-17 10:34:39	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xb481d9…
03-17 03:59:49	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x7f6125…
03-16 14:41:31	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$116	0x1e674c…
03-16 08:01:35	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xa426a4…
03-16 01:20:09	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0x3f946f…
03-15 18:39:15	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x61d971…
03-15 12:03:03	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xb4bc14…
03-15 05:25:13	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xe56fea…
03-14 16:13:51	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0x5e37eb…
03-14 09:42:17	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x82f6aa…
03-14 09:41:59	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x386824…
03-14 03:13:37	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x148323…
03-13 20:43:49	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x7e08da…
03-13 14:01:25	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xa0158d…
03-13 00:18:21	nba bos okc 2026 03 12	Celtics	BUY	46	29¢	$13	0x18e9f6…
03-13 00:17:53	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Nuggets	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x771312…
03-13 00:17:23	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Lakers	BUY	53	83¢	$44	0x28349d…
03-12 16:49:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x1b1a9e…
03-12 09:02:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x207e92…
03-12 09:02:03	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x3afb7d…
03-12 02:31:17	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xe5f425…
03-10 20:18:25	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	46	42¢	$19	0x1f9b91…
03-10 20:17:55	nba ind sac 2026 03 10	Kings	BUY	35	59¢	$21	0x5ab18d…
03-08 20:07:03	nba was nop 2026 03 08	Pelicans	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x7b61b9…
03-08 20:06:29	nba chi sac 2026 03 08	Bulls	BUY	39	54¢	$21	0x04148e…
03-07 15:32:27	nba lac mem 2026 03 07	Grizzlies	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x341efe…
03-07 15:31:57	nba orl min 2026 03 07	Timberwolves	BUY	42	70¢	$29	0xc63199…
03-07 15:31:23	nba uta mil 2026 03 07	Bucks	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0x3b1761…
03-06 10:56:53	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x6f4d7c…
03-06 04:08:51	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x5ac52d…
03-05 20:16:35	nba det sas 2026 03 05	Spurs	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xfc6e36…
03-05 20:16:05	nba dal orl 2026 03 05	Magic	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0x5cce95…
03-05 20:15:33	nba bkn mia 2026 03 05	Nets	BUY	52	14¢	$7	0x8960a1…
03-03 21:52:17	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Raptors	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x9fce2b…
03-03 12:35:41	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Pistons	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0x6881b4…
03-03 12:35:01	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Knicks	BUY	37	59¢	$22	0xf0cae0…
03-03 03:53:51	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0x965bb6…
03-02 21:04:07	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0x909c2a…
03-02 06:06:51	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0xb98a44…
03-01 23:07:31	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x301c29…
03-01 03:45:03	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x8599ce…