Actual-Insert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.27K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

10,473

Trades

24,732

lifetime

Volume

$33.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-26 23:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 149 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 31% -$2,012

Other

11% 42% -$260

Sports

0% 33% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 694 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	6	$213	176	176	+0	Yes	+$123	07-15 20:59
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	3	$85	67	67	+0	Yes	+$45	07-14 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$70	111	111	+0	Down	+$68	05-11 13:42
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	2	$59	71	71	+0	No	-$1	07-16 14:08
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	2	$59	94	94	+0	Yes	-$1	07-16 14:08
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	2	$59	111	111	+0	No	-$1	07-16 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 16:20 UTC	7	$41	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	06-23 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$40	100	100	+0	Down	+$36	05-11 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	5	$36	29	29	+0	Up	+$12	05-20 11:20
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 11:05 UTC	11	$35	20	20	+0	Up	$0	07-19 11:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:00 UTC	26	$34	60	60	+0	Up	-$2	07-27 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 18:05 UTC	6	$32	118	18	+100	Down	$0	06-23 18:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:35 UTC	5	$31	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	06-26 17:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 17:55 UTC	5	$30	19	19	+0	Down	+$0	06-23 17:58
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	3	$30	73	0	+73	No	-$30	07-13 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:05 UTC	6	$30	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	08-25 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:00 UTC	27	$29	121	99	+22	Up	-$2	07-27 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:15 UTC	6	$29	23	23	+0	Down	-$1	06-09 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	9	$29	21	21	+0	Up	+$3	05-30 20:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 12:55 UTC	8	$28	17	17	+0	Up	$0	06-21 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 14:20 UTC	27	$28	121	113	+8	Up	-$4	07-28 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$28	33	33	+0	Up	+$16	05-20 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:45 UTC	5	$27	22	22	+0	Down	-$3	06-09 14:49
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	5	$27	235	0	+235	No	-$27	07-07 17:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 14:50 UTC	17	$27	80	70	+11	Down	$0	07-28 14:54
Solana Up or Down - September 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	11	$26	25	25	+0	Up	-$4	09-03 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:30 UTC	12	$26	30	30	+0	Down	-$1	08-03 14:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 15:15 UTC	12	$26	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	07-25 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	8	$26	17	17	+0	Down	-$2	06-03 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$25	21	21	+0	Up	+$13	05-11 17:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:47:57	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x984da9…
10-26 23:47:00	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x64a57c…
10-26 23:33:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xb513ad…
10-26 23:33:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8e9ab8…
10-26 23:07:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x1f06c7…
10-26 23:06:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x70acdf…
10-26 22:11:44	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x1929ef…
10-26 22:10:45	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x526525…
10-26 21:58:09	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x6f5446…
10-26 21:56:12	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x8665cb…
10-26 20:42:41	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xea1b28…
10-26 20:40:47	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1e9a17…
10-26 16:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x2111a1…
10-26 16:38:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3435ec…
10-26 16:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x978703…
10-26 16:35:36	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x401383…
10-26 16:35:27	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3a099e…
10-26 16:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x320125…
10-26 16:33:57	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xa5ca36…
10-26 16:33:45	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xec4b06…
10-26 16:33:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x736f6c…
10-26 16:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xd34f93…
10-26 16:26:51	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xcd090a…
10-26 16:26:50	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x19f526…
10-26 16:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xefe0a9…
10-26 16:25:39	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1ab114…
10-26 16:25:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xbe6d00…
10-26 16:25:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xed0141…
10-26 16:25:20	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7c37c0…
10-26 16:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xfa7df3…
10-26 16:13:14	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xdf0e3f…
10-26 16:12:51	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xaa3daa…
10-26 16:12:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x96df53…
10-26 16:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xa5827c…
10-26 16:11:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6a1d53…
10-26 16:11:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x209c40…
10-26 16:10:59	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd79fac…
10-26 16:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa42ca0…
10-26 16:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x26e1dc…
10-26 16:07:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xa6b208…
10-26 16:07:18	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xe45275…
10-26 16:07:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe6c7ea…
10-26 16:06:48	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd30200…
10-26 16:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xce848d…
10-26 16:02:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3dbf3f…
10-26 16:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5a7dff…
10-26 15:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe21eeb…
10-26 15:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9a05af…
10-26 15:48:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x6e0433…
10-26 15:46:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x089030…
10-26 15:44:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x372429…
10-26 15:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xe4b40a…
10-26 15:42:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xb712ec…
10-26 15:40:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x52be07…
10-26 15:40:21	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x281606…
10-26 15:40:20	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2a7613…
10-26 15:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xd0a6ac…
10-26 15:27:32	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x0ff0bf…
10-26 15:26:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x864573…
10-26 15:25:11	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0b1930…
10-26 15:13:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x1ced91…
10-26 15:12:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x936a4e…
10-26 15:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x952a8e…
10-26 15:12:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xf1f57a…
10-26 15:12:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1e4a53…
10-26 15:11:53	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x2ad34f…
10-26 15:10:20	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xd33a28…
10-26 15:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbdbc26…
10-26 15:08:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x24b9c0…
10-26 15:07:05	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x48361a…
10-26 15:06:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x96b6ea…
10-26 15:06:47	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0xdb0131…
10-26 15:06:47	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x717fcb…
10-26 15:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbbd279…
10-26 15:02:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xa02db4…
10-26 15:01:41	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xa7e45a…
10-26 15:01:03	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xba6ab7…
10-26 15:00:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0dd123…
10-26 14:57:14	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x19a050…
10-26 14:57:02	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x958de8…
10-26 14:56:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x41773e…
10-26 14:55:12	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd4192a…
10-26 14:55:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x1e8d0c…
10-26 14:53:42	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x365d78…
10-26 14:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x0eb20d…
10-26 14:53:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x0f0170…
10-26 14:53:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x8c4f30…
10-26 14:53:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2a2ee3…
10-26 14:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x385e8a…
10-26 14:50:59	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd8e7e7…
10-26 14:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x426de1…
10-26 14:47:59	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x114c82…
10-26 14:28:50	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd65250…
10-26 14:26:57	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x2c27fe…
10-26 14:26:47	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9a99f4…
10-26 14:26:45	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6ef17b…
10-26 13:12:53	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xff506f…
10-26 13:12:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x1a8871…
10-26 13:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x545df2…
10-26 13:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x406352…