Realized P&L
-$319
Unrealized P&L
+$201
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved
59
Trades
283
lifetime
Volume
$82.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$292
Open exposure
$512
2 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 07-06 02:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Politics
81%
44%
+$7,021
Sports
8%
55%
+$163
Other
8%
12%
-$5,485
Crypto
2%
0%
-$2,017
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | -3,600 | -$396 | 10¢ | $-342 | +$54 | 07-06 02:37 | |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | -11,000 | -$318 | 2¢ | $-170 | +$147 | 07-06 02:37 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 20 | $50.6K | 30,607 | 30,607 | +0 | Yes | +$10,455 | 04-05 07:19 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 14 | $6.5K | 37,937 | 0 | +37,937 | No | -$6,474 | 03-29 20:31 |
| trump announces hormuz deadline extension today | 2 | $5.6K | 4,000 | 4,000 | +0 | Yes | +$2,240 | 04-08 00:14 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 26 | $3.8K | 90,000 | 0 | +90,000 | No | -$3,782 | 03-15 17:01 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | 4 | $2.8K | 2,200 | 2,200 | +0 | Yes | +$1,188 | 02-28 06:38 |
| will company b be accused of insider trading | 9 | $1.1K | 6,000 | 0 | +6,000 | No | -$1,100 | 02-26 13:41 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | 8 | $1.0K | 3,500 | 0 | +3,500 | Yes | -$1,015 | 04-10 14:12 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | 15 | $1.0K | 8,350 | 0 | +8,350 | No | -$1,002 | 04-10 15:22 |
| nba por uta 2026 02 12 spread away 7pt5 | 8 | $844 | 800 | 500 | +300 | Trail Blazers | +$406 | 02-13 04:26 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-05? | 1 | $699 | 1,294 | 0 | +1,294 | Yes | +$595 | 07-06 02:38 |
| nba gsw min 2026 01 24 spread home 5pt5 | 11 | $536 | 400 | 400 | +0 | Warriors | +$152 | 01-26 00:06 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294 | 6 | $535 | 1,631 | 0 | +1,631 | No | -$535 | 03-14 15:54 |
| nba bos dal 2026 02 03 total 223pt5 | 2 | $441 | 300 | 300 | +0 | Under | +$141 | 02-04 02:59 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 3 | $416 | 1,600 | 1,600 | +0 | Yes | +$32 | 02-27 18:16 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 1 | $396 | 0 | 3,600 | -3,600 | open | — | 07-06 02:37 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | 1 | $318 | 0 | 11,000 | -11,000 | open | — | 07-06 02:37 |
| will axiom be accused of insider trading | 2 | $297 | 500 | 0 | +500 | Yes | -$297 | 02-26 11:09 |
| nba lac den 2026 01 30 spread away 5pt5 | 10 | $290 | 200 | 200 | +0 | Nuggets | +$106 | 01-31 04:12 |
| nba mia bos 2026 02 06 spread home 7pt5 | 1 | $285 | 500 | 0 | +500 | Heat | +$215 | 02-06 16:39 |
| nba nop cha 2026 02 02 spread home 6pt5 | 20 | $245 | 500 | 0 | +500 | Hornets | +$255 | 02-02 20:01 |
| nba dal bkn 2026 02 24 total 225pt5 | 1 | $240 | 500 | 0 | +500 | Over | -$240 | 02-24 21:56 |
| nba ind bkn 2026 02 11 total 214pt5 | 13 | $230 | 500 | 0 | +500 | Over | -$230 | 02-11 17:47 |
| nba dal phx 2026 02 10 spread home 7pt5 | 16 | $230 | 500 | 0 | +500 | Suns | -$230 | 02-10 19:34 |
| nba den det 2026 02 03 total 225pt5 | 3 | $215 | 500 | 0 | +500 | Over | -$215 | 02-03 18:27 |
| nba bos chi 2026 01 24 total 230pt5 | 3 | $200 | 400 | 0 | +400 | Under | -$200 | 01-24 14:16 |
| nba bkn uta 2026 01 30 total 228pt5 | 1 | $192 | 400 | 0 | +400 | Under | -$192 | 01-30 17:15 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 4 | $190 | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | No | -$190 | 04-08 06:30 |
| nba dal hou 2026 01 31 total 221pt5 | 1 | $165 | 300 | 0 | +300 | Under | -$165 | 01-31 17:07 |
| nba chi mia 2026 01 31 spread home 5pt5 | 1 | $159 | 300 | 0 | +300 | Bulls | +$141 | 01-31 16:15 |
| nba hou ind 2026 02 02 total 219pt5 | 1 | $156 | 300 | 0 | +300 | Over | -$156 | 02-02 22:58 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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