Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

451

Trades

763

lifetime

Volume

$6.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-10

last 10-27 11:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

86% 41% +$15

Crypto

8% 35% +$23

Sports

4% 39% -$94

Politics

2% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	+19	$7	32¢	$6	-$1	10-27 12:01
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+172	$2	1¢	$2	$0	10-27 05:45
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+221	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-27 05:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	6	$126	125	125	+0	Nikoloz Basilashvili	+$29	10-24 12:26
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	3	$119	113	63	+50	Dplus KIA	+$6	10-25 00:03
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	4	$113	93	68	+25	Over	+$23	10-20 21:00
Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	4	$109	80	80	+0	LEGION	+$50	10-24 21:02
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	2	$105	77	77	+0	Como 1907	+$48	10-21 18:42
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	2	$100	74	74	+0	Nemiga	+$49	10-24 16:08
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	2	$93	99	99	+0	BetBoom Team	+$58	10-24 13:39
Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz	4	$93	187	187	+0	Taylor Fritz	+$45	10-22 16:15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	2	$88	45	45	+0	No	+$2	10-18 17:11
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Yihan Qu vs Teodora Kostovic	2	$85	98	98	+0	Teodora Kostovic	+$34	10-24 14:27
European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor	4	$83	67	67	+0	Tallon Griekspoor	+$10	10-25 18:06
European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	3	$82	141	140	+1	David Goffin	+$36	10-21 18:01
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	4	$81	62	62	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$13	10-25 17:46
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	4	$77	127	127	+0	open	—	10-25 03:24
LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	4	$76	84	38	+46	LYON	+$31	10-24 20:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 20?	2	$74	64	64	+0	No	+$46	10-20 14:47
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	3	$71	39	38	+0	No	+$2	10-18 17:11
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	6	$70	78	35	+43	Karmine Corp	-$12	10-23 21:03
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	2	$64	56	56	+0	Liquid	+$48	10-24 12:34
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	2	$56	102	102	+0	FUT Esports	-$1	10-25 03:24
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	4	$53	54	36	+18	Dplus KIA	+$14	10-25 20:59
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	2	$51	35	35	+0	Yes	+$16	10-25 15:33
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 19?	3	$51	59	59	+0	No	+$37	10-19 15:56
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	4	$50	42	42	+0	Yes	+$21	10-20 20:50
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	2	$50	38	38	+0	TheMongolz	+$27	10-24 10:41
LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	3	$49	62	19	+44	Top Esports	+$32	10-25 19:32
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-25?	2	$48	32	32	+0	Yes	+$16	10-25 18:06
Will MOUZ Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	5	$48	180	180	+0	open	—	10-26 14:36
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	3	$47	161	80	+80	Vitality	-$17	10-25 09:41
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz	3	$47	96	24	+73	Lorenzo Musetti	+$1	10-25 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:24:51	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 27?	No	BUY	61	20¢	$12	0x58ff94…
10-27 12:11:05	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xd13746…
10-27 12:01:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xda5a31…
10-27 11:47:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x804ffd…
10-27 11:14:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xfc8da5…
10-27 11:05:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x55897b…
10-27 11:00:45	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xeb1ddb…
10-27 11:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x544bf6…
10-27 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x165e5e…
10-27 10:46:45	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3f847b…
10-27 10:40:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x8bb1e9…
10-27 08:03:17	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x16408e…
10-27 08:00:48	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x71e3c3…
10-27 08:00:38	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xaa97b8…
10-27 08:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xee3795…
10-27 08:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xaee328…
10-27 07:47:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x00d07e…
10-27 06:43:39	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x19e407…
10-27 06:42:12	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xb7184a…
10-27 06:38:30	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x8cd217…
10-27 06:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xe85cc0…
10-27 06:05:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xc5eac9…
10-27 05:45:54	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xf8e653…
10-27 05:29:50	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	0¢	$1	0xe73aa7…
10-27 05:15:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$2	0xaef508…
10-27 04:59:54	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0xe8499c…
10-27 04:59:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0xef3420…
10-27 04:32:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x337832…
10-27 04:29:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x95d218…
10-27 04:17:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x20912c…
10-27 04:16:20	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x1bcf0a…
10-27 04:16:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xcca0b9…
10-27 04:15:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xcfc20e…
10-27 04:15:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x9ec044…
10-27 04:14:24	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x180322…
10-27 04:13:20	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xcde962…
10-27 04:11:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x02e447…
10-27 04:07:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0x519dbf…
10-27 04:07:08	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xa716e8…
10-27 04:04:17	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x07d391…
10-27 04:04:14	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0x398fce…
10-27 04:04:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xe560d9…
10-27 04:04:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x6b0ab9…
10-27 04:04:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xb9a9c0…
10-27 04:04:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0x3b78d1…
10-27 03:59:48	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x79896e…
10-27 03:58:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0xbb6658…
10-27 03:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x3e45be…
10-27 03:32:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x13be1c…
10-27 03:28:15	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0x9a33ef…
10-27 03:19:17	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x65e43b…
10-27 03:16:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xa7c290…
10-26 14:41:23	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x392139…
10-26 14:41:20	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 26?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x105230…
10-26 14:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 26?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa213b5…
10-26 14:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 26?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa80963…
10-26 14:41:15	Will Madura United win on 2026-10-26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa11b5d…
10-26 14:41:12	Navbahor leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x020f28…
10-26 14:41:09	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	SELL	15	95¢	$15	0x0b4fca…
10-26 14:41:06	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0xa44434…
10-26 14:41:03	Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-10-26?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x92cd54…
10-26 14:41:02	Will Al Gharafa SC win on 2026-10-26?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x25aeba…
10-26 14:40:59	Will Tractor Tabriz win on 2026-10-26?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x8f7b5a…
10-26 14:40:56	Will FK Grobina win on 2026-10-26?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xe565a6…
10-26 14:40:56	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0xba4a3f…
10-26 14:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x90cb75…
10-26 14:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0x2d50c8…
10-26 14:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xb6ee50…
10-26 14:36:18	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xdbde57…
10-26 14:36:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0xa4e7b6…
10-26 14:36:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	19	17¢	$3	0x3557c9…
10-26 14:36:17	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be 3,050,000 or more?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xc5e918…
10-26 14:36:17	Will MOUZ Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	11¢	$20	0x5dd4e8…
10-26 14:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x3d97b0…
10-26 14:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	60¢	$9	0x643ac1…
10-26 14:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0xe99e4b…
10-26 14:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xfe3c59…
10-26 14:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x353f38…
10-26 14:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x463eb1…
10-26 14:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xee9d1c…
10-26 13:49:05	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x57a5bc…
10-26 13:38:21	Navbahor leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0xdaf0b1…
10-26 13:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x536075…
10-26 13:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3c2a2d…
10-26 13:15:23	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0x4af2fe…
10-26 13:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x4c3e62…
10-26 12:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0x7a6ac4…
10-26 12:51:35	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0xb2c83b…
10-26 12:50:17	Will FK Grobina win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc40557…
10-26 12:50:09	Will Tractor Tabriz win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x901644…
10-26 12:50:00	Will Al Gharafa SC win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd3970b…
10-26 12:49:54	Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xe5192b…
10-26 12:49:39	Will Madura United win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x16c814…
10-26 12:28:35	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x23ebd2…
10-26 12:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xb64b43…
10-26 12:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 26?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x2d9e15…
10-26 11:51:02	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0xdc1770…
10-26 11:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbc268c…
10-26 11:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xfc6fec…
10-26 11:40:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x2ac028…