Hefty-Flatboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.9%

Resolved

Trades

2,040

lifetime

Volume

$97.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-10 16:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 43% $-1,115

Politics

15% — —

Other

3% 40% $-67

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	4	$6.1K	7,091	7,091	+0	open	—	01-25 07:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	5	$5.1K	12,271	12,271	+0	open	—	01-14 09:55
btc updown 4h 1769000400	2	$3.2K	4,674	4,674	+0	open	—	01-21 16:41
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 21	2	$2.5K	2,326	2,182	+144	open	—	04-22 04:40
will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	14	$2.0K	3,119	3,118	+1	open	—	08-02 05:08
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	6	$2.0K	7,376	7,376	+0	open	—	04-21 13:01
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?	4	$1.8K	6,089	5,781	+308	open	—	04-26 17:31
will spy dip to 730 by july 27 2026	5	$1.4K	798	798	+0	open	—	07-29 20:06
will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 18	3	$1.4K	1,509	1,418	+91	open	—	04-18 10:54
will bitcoin dip to 77k on april 23	2	$1.4K	1,061	1,025	+35	open	—	04-23 10:56
will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 22	2	$1.0K	619	612	+7	open	—	03-22 21:06
will bitcoin dip to 70k on march 21	2	$981	704	694	+10	open	—	03-22 00:21
will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 22	2	$923	3,658	3,658	+0	open	—	06-22 19:20
will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 21	4	$905	3,394	3,394	+0	open	—	06-22 01:26
will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 21	3	$861	3,060	2,877	+183	open	—	04-21 20:17
will bitcoin reach 64k on june 12	2	$851	455	455	+0	open	—	06-12 15:00
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 2	2	$799	475	466	+9	open	—	04-02 12:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 27?	11	$748	3,085	0	+3,085	open	—	04-27 08:39
will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 20	2	$623	944	944	+0	open	—	06-20 14:47
will ethereum reach 1950 on august 7	3	$610	325	324	+0	open	—	08-07 20:03
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 26?	2	$607	4,543	4,255	+288	open	—	04-26 18:08
will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 2	3	$604	400	400	+0	open	—	08-02 11:59
will bitcoin reach 71k on march 12	5	$604	632	627	+6	open	—	03-13 00:12
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	2	$600	4,209	0	+4,209	open	—	03-13 04:47
will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 23	2	$592	1,264	0	+1,264	open	—	03-23 12:02
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$582	1,021	1,021	+0	open	—	01-10 10:08
will ethereum reach 2300 on april 11	2	$581	517	487	+30	open	—	04-11 19:09
will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 14	2	$563	374	361	+12	open	—	04-14 18:47
will bitcoin dip to 67k on april 1	2	$545	515	483	+32	open	—	04-02 02:16
will bitcoin reach 67k on april 2	1	$535	1,114	0	+1,114	open	—	04-02 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 16:53:10	btc updown 15m 1786380300	Up	BUY	142	18¢	$26	0x7a55bc…
08-10 16:52:46	btc updown 4h 1786377600	Up	SELL	162	18¢	$28	0x946533…
08-10 16:01:00	btc updown 4h 1786377600	Up	BUY	162	52¢	$84	0xb556b9…
08-10 14:27:07	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	87	89¢	$78	0x9b38eb…
08-10 10:03:48	will ethereum dip to 1900 on august 10	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x87e56c…
08-10 10:03:18	will ethereum dip to 1900 on august 10	Yes	BUY	898	53¢	$476	0xff7066…
08-09 18:48:57	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	724	9¢	$65	0xa7e350…
08-09 10:20:52	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x537e1e…
08-08 15:03:49	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,040	27¢	$281	0x9270d9…
08-07 23:12:37	btc updown 4h 1786132800	Down	SELL	62	83¢	$51	0x563dd3…
08-07 23:11:48	btc updown 4h 1786132800	Down	SELL	184	83¢	$153	0x558507…
08-07 23:10:58	btc updown 4h 1786132800	Down	SELL	140	83¢	$116	0xacf9cd…
08-07 20:17:39	btc updown 4h 1786132800	Down	BUY	255	51¢	$130	0x4f5938…
08-07 20:17:18	btc updown 4h 1786132800	Down	BUY	68	48¢	$33	0x8b2363…
08-07 20:17:16	btc updown 4h 1786132800	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x801a3d…
08-07 20:17:16	btc updown 4h 1786132800	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x154e6f…
08-07 20:16:52	btc updown 4h 1786132800	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x1a6a5a…
08-07 20:03:48	will ethereum reach 1950 on august 7	No	SELL	320	93¢	$298	0x6a9cd7…
08-07 20:02:28	will ethereum reach 1950 on august 7	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x96106d…
08-07 19:24:12	btc updown 4h 1786118400	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x9d20c6…
08-07 17:41:28	will ethereum reach 1950 on august 7	No	BUY	325	95¢	$308	0xf0d758…
08-07 17:40:31	btc updown 4h 1786118400	Down	SELL	375	82¢	$308	0x9861a6…
08-07 16:13:25	btc updown 4h 1786118400	Down	BUY	127	42¢	$53	0xcc0bb3…
08-07 16:13:15	btc updown 4h 1786118400	Down	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x027ca4…
08-07 16:13:12	btc updown 4h 1786118400	Down	BUY	34	42¢	$14	0xc31e56…
08-07 16:12:33	btc updown 4h 1786118400	Down	BUY	168	42¢	$70	0x3ea3d5…
08-07 15:21:25	btc updown 4h 1786104000	Down	SELL	226	50¢	$113	0xe333fd…
08-07 15:21:25	btc updown 4h 1786104000	Down	SELL	57	50¢	$29	0xdb3a24…
08-07 15:21:25	btc updown 4h 1786104000	Down	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x55cdd7…
08-07 13:57:01	btc updown 4h 1786104000	Down	BUY	103	49¢	$51	0xa4542c…
08-07 13:56:30	btc updown 4h 1786104000	Down	BUY	230	47¢	$109	0x3603ee…
08-03 13:59:54	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0xbf8d9a…
08-03 13:59:33	btc updown 4h 1785758400	Down	SELL	216	5¢	$11	0x04c4f2…
08-03 12:01:18	btc updown 4h 1785758400	Down	BUY	216	50¢	$108	0xe74ec2…
08-03 11:59:50	ethereum up or down august 3 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x0759b5…
08-03 11:51:23	ethereum up or down august 3 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	113	98¢	$111	0xf21114…
08-03 09:58:09	btc updown 5m 1785751200	Down	BUY	63	39¢	$25	0x361d8d…
08-03 09:56:47	btc updown 5m 1785751200	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x4f87d9…
08-03 09:54:32	btc updown 15m 1785750300	Down	SELL	68	2¢	$1	0x419db5…
08-03 09:54:27	btc updown 5m 1785750600	Down	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0x5c6962…
08-03 09:53:44	btc updown 5m 1785750900	Down	BUY	85	34¢	$29	0xcade5c…
08-03 09:49:05	btc updown 5m 1785750600	Down	BUY	55	34¢	$19	0x197690…
08-03 09:47:21	btc updown 15m 1785750300	Down	BUY	68	41¢	$28	0xe452f0…
08-03 09:28:14	btc updown 5m 1785749100	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xecb449…
08-03 09:28:14	btc updown 5m 1785749100	Up	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x9287d6…
08-03 09:28:14	btc updown 5m 1785749100	Up	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0x820c8c…
08-03 09:28:14	btc updown 5m 1785749100	Up	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x6bc202…
08-03 09:28:14	btc updown 5m 1785749100	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x5b6d11…
08-03 09:26:54	btc updown 5m 1785749400	Down	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x5e6b0d…
08-03 09:26:12	btc updown 5m 1785749100	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xf14354…
08-03 09:23:08	btc updown 5m 1785749400	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe41eec…
08-03 09:16:11	btc updown 5m 1785748500	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x250f37…
08-03 09:02:36	btc updown 5m 1785747600	Down	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x3959b2…
08-03 08:59:02	btc updown 5m 1785747600	Down	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xef4bde…
08-03 08:50:56	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x6e99b9…
08-03 08:41:30	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xddd8a3…
08-02 11:59:29	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 2	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0xe7335e…
08-02 11:55:03	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 2	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x4eb436…
08-02 09:46:32	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 2	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0x40ad9a…
08-02 09:24:12	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 2	Yes	BUY	58	55¢	$32	0x2d1a68…
08-02 08:11:20	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 2	Yes	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x266d2e…
08-02 08:10:33	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 2	Yes	BUY	400	51¢	$204	0xfab74f…
08-02 05:14:36	eth updown 4h 1785643200	Down	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xa08dc5…
08-02 05:08:23	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	SELL	2,145	10¢	$214	0xd2c382…
08-02 04:55:27	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	SELL	49	10¢	$5	0x5b15bd…
08-02 04:45:57	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xcd9045…
08-02 04:38:02	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0xd2f5c0…
08-01 17:48:26	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	551	34¢	$187	0x014dc1…
08-01 17:46:45	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x9abfd9…
08-01 17:45:41	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	700	31¢	$217	0x69370f…
08-01 17:38:02	will solana dip to 70 on august 1	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x8b7d1b…
08-01 17:35:27	eth updown 4h 1785600000	Up	SELL	374	13¢	$49	0xa91074…
08-01 17:35:05	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	961	35¢	$332	0x3d0a0a…
08-01 17:09:21	eth updown 4h 1785600000	Up	BUY	150	54¢	$81	0x8764e8…
08-01 17:05:02	eth updown 4h 1785600000	Up	BUY	32	46¢	$15	0xb73f4a…
08-01 16:54:12	eth updown 4h 1785600000	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xfcf183…
08-01 16:35:45	eth updown 4h 1785600000	Up	BUY	155	57¢	$88	0x0f8149…
08-01 16:30:54	eth updown 4h 1785600000	Up	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xe39be5…
08-01 16:30:20	eth updown 5m 1785601500	Up	SELL	106	100¢	$105	0x912970…
08-01 16:29:15	eth updown 5m 1785601500	Up	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x3ed375…
07-31 16:05:00	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	SELL	761	53¢	$403	0xa511bf…
07-31 15:58:54	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	SELL	139	54¢	$75	0xf8f8b9…
07-31 15:58:48	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 31	Yes	SELL	110	27¢	$30	0x69fe38…
07-31 15:11:35	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 31	Yes	BUY	110	57¢	$63	0x44d63d…
07-31 15:09:56	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x96ab05…
07-31 14:35:02	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	45	58¢	$26	0x33f718…
07-31 14:34:05	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xed51a3…
07-31 14:33:48	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	785	58¢	$455	0x5bf99d…
07-31 14:32:56	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x801aa5…
07-31 14:19:47	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	68	46¢	$31	0xf772d6…
07-31 14:18:39	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 31	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x5d88d9…
07-31 14:09:44	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 31	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x62eba9…
07-31 14:09:24	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 31	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x0cf40e…
07-31 13:53:42	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 31	Yes	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0xa8e8e6…
07-31 13:53:17	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x67d7e2…
07-31 13:32:36	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x0cc863…
07-31 13:32:02	eth updown 15m 1785504600	Down	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0xb05f4c…
07-31 13:24:32	eth updown 15m 1785504600	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x4a3176…
07-30 18:59:38	eth updown 4h 1785427200	Down	SELL	314	66¢	$206	0x964c27…
07-30 17:57:05	eth updown 4h 1785427200	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xace99a…