Hefty-Flatboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

1,582

Trades

3,165

lifetime

Volume

$161.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-27 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 193 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 46% -$9,190

Politics

9% 20% -$1,138

Other

3% 32% -$730

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	4	$6.1K	7,091	7,091	+0	No	+$14	01-25 07:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	5	$5.1K	12,271	12,271	+0	No	-$153	01-14 09:55
will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	3	$4.0K	2,522	2,522	+0	Yes	+$1,032	08-19 20:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	3	$3.8K	1,985	1,985	+0	Yes	+$112	10-24 14:28
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-21 13:00 UTC	2	$3.2K	4,674	4,674	+0	Down	+$2,606	01-21 16:41
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 21	2	$2.5K	2,326	2,182	+144	Yes	+$2,001	04-22 04:40
will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 13	4	$2.3K	1,403	1,403	+0	Yes	+$524	08-13 16:46
Will Solana dip to $100 October 19-25?	4	$2.3K	1,968	1,968	+0	Yes	+$1,638	10-24 14:18
will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	14	$2.0K	3,119	3,118	+1	No	-$558	08-02 05:08
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	6	$2.0K	7,376	7,376	+0	No	-$883	04-21 13:01
will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 14	4	$1.9K	2,410	2,410	+0	No	-$241	08-14 14:35
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	4	$1.8K	2,312	2,312	+0	No	-$635	10-26 16:28
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?	4	$1.8K	6,089	5,781	+308	No	-$1,799	04-26 17:31
will spy dip to 730 by july 27 2026	5	$1.4K	798	798	+0	Yes	+$185	07-29 20:06
will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 18	3	$1.4K	1,509	1,418	+91	Yes	+$998	04-18 10:54
will bitcoin dip to 77k on april 23	2	$1.4K	1,061	1,025	+35	Yes	+$246	04-23 10:56
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 15?	3	$1.3K	1,207	1,207	+0	Yes	+$908	06-15 13:16
will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 22	2	$1.0K	619	612	+7	Yes	+$193	03-22 21:06
will bitcoin dip to 70k on march 21	2	$981	704	694	+10	Yes	+$415	03-22 00:21
will ethereum dip to 2200 on august 20 2026	3	$928	1,600	1,600	+0	No	-$672	08-20 15:16
will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 22	2	$923	3,658	3,658	+0	No	-$540	06-22 19:20
will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 21	4	$905	3,394	3,394	+0	No	-$799	06-22 01:26
will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 21	3	$861	3,060	2,877	+183	No	-$170	04-21 20:17
will bitcoin reach 64k on june 12	2	$851	455	455	+0	Yes	+$51	06-12 15:00
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 2	2	$799	475	466	+9	Yes	+$105	04-02 12:20
will ethereum reach 1900 on august 16	17	$766	1,552	1,552	+0	Yes	-$421	08-17 03:01
will ethereum reach 2600 august 24 30 2026	7	$761	2,002	2,002	+0	No	-$755	08-30 13:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 12?	3	$753	700	700	+0	Yes	+$81	10-12 09:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 27?	11	$748	3,085	0	+3,085	No	-$748	04-27 08:39
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 18?	14	$748	667	667	+0	Yes	+$94	08-18 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:02:06	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	39	75¢	$29	0x651c82…
10-27 08:19:48	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	65	44¢	$29	0xecbcee…
10-27 08:19:15	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	47	87¢	$41	0x16ceb5…
10-27 08:15:56	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x7cc2d5…
10-27 08:15:24	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x30d3a7…
10-27 08:12:15	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	87	31¢	$27	0xa866df…
10-27 08:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	126	98¢	$123	0x3d41b8…
10-27 08:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	124	94¢	$117	0x212c2b…
10-27 07:50:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xb6e0de…
10-27 07:48:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	116	97¢	$113	0xf50eb3…
10-27 07:38:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	140	83¢	$116	0x1e238a…
10-27 07:16:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	140	39¢	$54	0x6729ea…
10-26 16:28:54	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	2,312	26¢	$603	0xe887d7…
10-26 08:18:42	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0x60e2ed…
10-26 08:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	181	28¢	$50	0x737e70…
10-26 06:22:56	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2,130	54¢	$1,150	0xa9256c…
10-26 06:22:03	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	70	54¢	$38	0x3b93c8…
10-25 14:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x1fd5c5…
10-25 14:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x78d9ff…
10-25 14:45:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	405	15¢	$61	0xebe49d…
10-25 14:45:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	64	15¢	$10	0x5f2673…
10-25 14:45:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0xf77f2d…
10-25 14:45:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x703d7f…
10-25 14:45:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x6836a8…
10-25 14:45:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x634738…
10-25 14:45:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x0b4e59…
10-25 12:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x59ab65…
10-24 15:27:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 24?	Yes	SELL	448	67¢	$300	0xcf0a37…
10-24 15:27:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 24?	Yes	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0x04e61d…
10-24 15:20:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	431	49¢	$213	0x399ed3…
10-24 15:19:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	69	44¢	$31	0x143fd7…
10-24 15:19:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	69	42¢	$29	0x318f6c…
10-24 14:47:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	478	21¢	$100	0x036cf4…
10-24 14:47:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	570	18¢	$100	0xe02484…
10-24 14:28:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	1,985	99¢	$1,965	0xeaefb8…
10-24 14:19:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1,955	93¢	$1,824	0x878d10…
10-24 14:18:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x77ce46…
10-24 14:18:03	Will Solana dip to $100 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	1,968	99¢	$1,948	0x63294d…
10-24 08:19:41	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xdece2d…
10-24 08:19:26	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x75e462…
10-24 08:15:11	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x58d678…
10-24 08:14:53	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7c2532…
10-24 08:13:21	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x4bf38f…
10-23 16:44:44	Will Solana dip to $100 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	186	18¢	$33	0x3cc4d3…
10-23 16:42:03	Will Solana dip to $100 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	482	17¢	$82	0x23d33e…
10-23 16:41:23	Will Solana dip to $100 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1,300	15¢	$195	0x60fc84…
10-23 13:47:59	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x5dcf6d…
10-23 13:47:59	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x167280…
10-23 13:47:56	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xa9ceff…
10-23 13:47:56	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	460	30¢	$138	0x4825b0…
10-23 13:45:32	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	449	30¢	$134	0x88d88e…
10-23 11:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	47	36¢	$17	0x03c113…
10-23 11:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x993352…
10-23 11:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x961e4e…
10-23 11:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xf48f50…
10-23 11:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x803448…
10-23 11:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	68	80¢	$54	0xef7193…
10-23 11:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xd39151…
10-23 11:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xc385ff…
10-23 11:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xb2d347…
10-23 11:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x7a1c38…
10-23 11:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x5b6bf5…
10-23 11:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x3ddf0b…
10-23 11:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x0fcf7a…
10-23 11:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x1f3a3e…
10-23 11:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0xf36dd7…
10-23 11:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb3e21e…
10-23 11:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xabb7b7…
10-23 11:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6fa64e…
10-23 11:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x439090…
10-23 11:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	84	98¢	$82	0x085f44…
10-23 11:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	84	88¢	$74	0x986c63…
10-23 11:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x357972…
10-23 10:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xc2cf4a…
10-23 10:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	59	5¢	$3	0x06084e…
10-23 10:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x417451…
10-23 10:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xc4f29e…
10-23 10:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xdb45fb…
10-23 10:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	71	63¢	$45	0x8a3a6c…
10-23 10:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x91bf94…
10-23 10:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xe0f39b…
10-23 10:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x8ef79a…
10-23 10:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	17	50¢	$9	0x4fa10e…
10-23 10:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	52	27¢	$14	0xa98eb6…
10-23 10:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4bd43d…
10-23 10:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x39f541…
10-23 10:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x2c2a81…
10-23 10:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x6ff200…
10-23 10:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xf0e5e9…
10-23 10:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x53b9ec…
10-23 06:58:27	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x691024…
10-23 06:58:02	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	946	37¢	$352	0xf1e38a…
10-22 19:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x947469…
10-22 19:00:48	Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	SELL	470	11¢	$52	0xe3f566…
10-22 18:52:08	Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	BUY	470	31¢	$146	0x836a62…
10-22 18:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x72c838…
10-22 18:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0x1ce869…
10-22 18:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0x51d799…
10-22 18:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x16199a…
10-22 18:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	138	71¢	$98	0x3cc022…