Hefty-Flatboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$3.79K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved (90d)

518

Trades (90d)

1,173

3,247 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$66.2K

$166.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-06 11:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 46% -$9,079

Politics

9% 20% -$1,138

Other

3% 32% -$730

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	4	$6.1K	7,091	7,091	+0	No	+$14	01-25 07:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	5	$5.1K	12,271	12,271	+0	No	-$153	01-14 09:55
will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	3	$4.0K	2,522	2,522	+0	Yes	+$1,032	08-19 20:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	3	$3.8K	1,985	1,985	+0	Yes	+$112	10-24 14:28
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-21 13:00 UTC	2	$3.2K	4,674	4,674	+0	Down	+$2,606	01-21 16:41
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 21	2	$2.5K	2,326	2,182	+144	Yes	+$2,001	04-22 04:40
will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 13	4	$2.3K	1,403	1,403	+0	Yes	+$524	08-13 16:46
Will Solana dip to $100 October 19-25?	4	$2.3K	1,968	1,968	+0	Yes	+$1,638	10-24 14:18
will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	14	$2.0K	3,119	3,118	+1	No	-$558	08-02 05:08
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	6	$2.0K	7,376	7,376	+0	No	-$883	04-21 13:01
will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 14	4	$1.9K	2,410	2,410	+0	No	-$241	08-14 14:35
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	4	$1.8K	2,312	2,312	+0	No	-$635	10-26 16:28
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?	4	$1.8K	6,089	5,781	+308	No	-$1,799	04-26 17:31
Will Solana dip to $100 on October 28?	9	$1.5K	1,393	1,393	+0	Yes	+$670	10-28 14:27
will spy dip to 730 by july 27 2026	5	$1.4K	798	798	+0	Yes	+$185	07-29 20:06
will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 18	3	$1.4K	1,509	1,418	+91	Yes	+$998	04-18 10:54
will bitcoin dip to 77k on april 23	2	$1.4K	1,061	1,025	+35	Yes	+$246	04-23 10:56
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 15?	3	$1.3K	1,207	1,207	+0	Yes	+$908	06-15 13:16
will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 22	2	$1.0K	619	612	+7	Yes	+$193	03-22 21:06
will bitcoin dip to 70k on march 21	2	$981	704	694	+10	Yes	+$415	03-22 00:21
will ethereum dip to 2200 on august 20 2026	3	$928	1,600	1,600	+0	No	-$672	08-20 15:16
will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 22	2	$923	3,658	3,658	+0	No	-$540	06-22 19:20
will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 21	4	$905	3,394	3,394	+0	No	-$799	06-22 01:26
will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 21	3	$861	3,060	2,877	+183	No	-$170	04-21 20:17
will bitcoin reach 64k on june 12	2	$851	455	455	+0	Yes	+$51	06-12 15:00
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 2	2	$799	475	466	+9	Yes	+$105	04-02 12:20
will ethereum reach 1900 on august 16	17	$766	1,552	1,552	+0	Yes	-$421	08-17 03:01
will ethereum reach 2600 august 24 30 2026	7	$761	2,002	2,002	+0	No	-$755	08-30 13:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 12?	3	$753	700	700	+0	Yes	+$81	10-12 09:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 27?	11	$748	3,085	0	+3,085	No	-$748	04-27 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 11:48:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xe188a8…
11-06 11:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0xbe4d2e…
11-06 11:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xe77e49…
11-06 11:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	180	4¢	$7	0x68170d…
11-06 11:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xaa1abd…
11-06 09:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe83b03…
11-06 09:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	161	50¢	$80	0x616529…
11-06 09:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x33dc28…
11-06 09:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd7aec4…
11-06 07:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xf0c8c1…
11-06 06:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0xa72f35…
11-04 15:04:45	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	97	27¢	$26	0x7d746b…
11-04 15:01:48	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	122	25¢	$30	0x6b411f…
11-04 15:00:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0x3dc94b…
11-04 15:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xe34988…
11-04 14:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xd62322…
11-04 14:57:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x5bc776…
11-04 14:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	42	31¢	$13	0x2aec98…
11-04 11:47:45	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	134	73¢	$98	0xc4081b…
11-04 11:47:01	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x594349…
11-04 11:46:21	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x6b123d…
11-04 11:45:58	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	39	15¢	$6	0x37f69f…
11-04 11:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x321906…
11-04 11:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb5b08e…
11-04 11:42:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x16c428…
11-04 11:23:42	Will Solana reach $95 on November 4?	Yes	SELL	260	51¢	$133	0xe1c47c…
11-04 10:33:30	Will Solana reach $95 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	253	57¢	$144	0xb21b22…
11-04 10:33:09	Will Solana reach $95 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x3ab6f9…
11-04 02:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	111	43¢	$48	0x51f271…
11-03 12:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x296b04…
11-01 20:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	53	82¢	$44	0xcce9a1…
11-01 19:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x151ee2…
11-01 19:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	152	17¢	$26	0xd1f048…
11-01 19:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x747fce…
11-01 19:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	427	1¢	$4	0x1eb2cc…
11-01 19:51:25	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	59	1¢	$1	0xf0b7e1…
11-01 19:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	119	32¢	$38	0xfc94b9…
11-01 19:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9076a3…
11-01 19:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0x2fced9…
11-01 19:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x4e7ebb…
11-01 19:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0x251ec7…
11-01 19:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0x113b76…
11-01 19:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x5c178b…
11-01 19:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xe26c2c…
11-01 19:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	427	23¢	$100	0x03f1b3…
10-29 06:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xcbeabd…
10-28 16:55:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	490	43¢	$209	0xa746f9…
10-28 15:28:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	490	51¢	$250	0x231043…
10-28 14:27:41	Will Solana dip to $100 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	530	78¢	$414	0x4b4318…
10-28 14:27:07	Will Solana dip to $100 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	83	80¢	$66	0xf1db1c…
10-28 14:26:29	Will Solana dip to $100 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	712	80¢	$570	0x9fa49f…
10-28 14:26:19	Will Solana dip to $100 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	68	80¢	$54	0x8d47b1…
10-28 09:06:55	Will Solana dip to $100 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x71763a…
10-28 09:06:23	Will Solana dip to $100 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	759	35¢	$266	0x6cae45…
10-28 09:05:50	Will Solana dip to $100 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x59f2a8…
10-28 08:55:23	Will Solana dip to $100 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x8cd6bf…
10-28 08:44:34	will solana dip to 100 on october 28 2026	Yes	BUY	585	26¢	$152	0xc68f7e…
10-28 07:07:34	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x75d35a…
10-27 16:06:18	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	383	46¢	$176	0xe51ac6…
10-27 15:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xe4eaf9…
10-27 15:37:33	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	383	50¢	$191	0x348681…
10-27 12:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	234	2¢	$5	0x1e5cd6…
10-27 12:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x0e6b01…
10-27 12:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0xfe305c…
10-27 12:26:18	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x2b1c89…
10-27 12:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x960853…
10-27 12:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x4fcf5a…
10-27 11:33:17	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	67	97¢	$65	0xd76d68…
10-27 11:31:11	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	67	87¢	$59	0x92a537…
10-27 11:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	64	36¢	$23	0xeaa266…
10-27 09:22:50	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x481784…
10-27 09:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	86	65¢	$56	0x6f6f03…
10-27 09:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xde0888…
10-27 09:10:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	182	14¢	$25	0xe4eadb…
10-27 09:02:06	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	39	75¢	$29	0x651c82…
10-27 08:19:48	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	65	44¢	$29	0xecbcee…
10-27 08:19:15	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	47	87¢	$41	0x16ceb5…
10-27 08:15:56	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x7cc2d5…
10-27 08:15:24	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x30d3a7…
10-27 08:12:15	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	87	31¢	$27	0xa866df…
10-27 08:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	126	98¢	$123	0x3d41b8…
10-27 08:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	124	94¢	$117	0x212c2b…
10-27 07:50:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xb6e0de…
10-27 07:48:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	116	97¢	$113	0xf50eb3…
10-27 07:38:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	140	83¢	$116	0x1e238a…
10-27 07:16:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	140	39¢	$54	0x6729ea…
10-26 16:28:54	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	2,312	26¢	$603	0xe887d7…
10-26 08:18:42	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0x60e2ed…
10-26 08:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	181	28¢	$50	0x737e70…
10-26 06:22:56	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2,130	54¢	$1,150	0xa9256c…
10-26 06:22:03	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	70	54¢	$38	0x3b93c8…
10-25 14:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x1fd5c5…
10-25 14:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x78d9ff…
10-25 14:45:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	405	15¢	$61	0xebe49d…
10-25 14:45:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	64	15¢	$10	0x5f2673…
10-25 14:45:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0xf77f2d…
10-25 14:45:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x703d7f…
10-25 14:45:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x6836a8…
10-25 14:45:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x634738…
10-25 14:45:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x0b4e59…