Elliptical-Burrow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$123

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-07 14:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$30

Sports

3% 100% +$93

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	6	$514	420	420	+0	open	—	04-18 01:16
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	3	$374	484	239	+245	open	—	05-20 21:20
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$313	183	183	+0	open	—	05-14 21:22
Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5	2	$162	106	106	+0	open	—	05-16 13:48
Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5	2	$141	92	92	+0	open	—	06-07 00:01
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$139	84	84	+0	open	—	05-16 23:24
uel fen1 not 2026 02 19 total 2pt5	2	$131	107	107	+0	open	—	02-19 18:38
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	1	$97	193	0	+193	open	—	05-18 18:03
val gm bbl1 2026 02 13 game4	2	$90	46	46	+0	open	—	02-13 19:52
tur gal eyu 2026 02 13 gal	2	$84	45	45	+0	open	—	02-13 19:24
val fs1 fut1 2026 06 07	1	$79	125	0	+125	open	—	06-07 14:27
will chlo zhao be nominated for best director at the 98th academy awards	2	$73	47	47	-0	open	—	01-18 13:31
wta pegula anisimo 2026 02 20	2	$72	50	50	+0	open	—	02-20 15:37
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	2	$66	55	55	+0	open	—	05-17 16:40
will inga ibsdotter lilleaas be nominated for best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	2	$66	37	37	+0	open	—	01-18 01:21
will joel edgerton be nominated for best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$65	37	37	+0	open	—	01-18 01:21
spl ahl njm 2026 02 19 njm	2	$64	35	35	+0	open	—	02-19 21:02
will yngvill kolset haga avy kaufman sentimental value be nominated for achievement in casting at the 98th academy awards	2	$63	46	46	+0	open	—	01-18 01:21
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	2	$61	45	45	+0	Over	+$30	05-13 22:04
will bugonia be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$60	33	33	+0	open	—	01-18 01:18
Antalyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to Score	1	$54	102	0	+102	open	—	05-17 16:57
atp mensik sinner 2026 02 19 first set total 8pt5	2	$51	30	30	+0	open	—	02-19 19:56
val gm bbl1 2026 02 13	1	$45	85	0	+85	open	—	02-13 19:56
bitcoin up or down on february 3	2	$39	95	0	+95	open	—	02-03 12:56
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5	1	$39	132	0	+132	Over	+$93	05-13 22:45
lol me1 s2g 2026 02 19	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	02-19 18:38
will kate hudson be nominated for best actress at the 98th academy awards	1	$32	50	0	+50	open	—	01-17 14:29
atp mensik sinner 2026 02 19	2	$27	42	42	+0	open	—	02-19 21:16
will kon knueppel win the 2026 nba 3 point contest	1	$24	94	0	+94	open	—	02-14 20:13
will hamnet win best motion picture drama at the 83rd golden globes	1	$23	0	93	-93	open	—	01-07 18:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 14:27:39	val fs1 fut1 2026 06 07	FUT Esports	BUY	125	63¢	$79	0x0f9a75…
06-07 00:01:03	Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x027e7a…
06-06 20:30:00	Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	92	54¢	$49	0xb2b236…
06-01 13:01:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xa863de…
05-21 22:36:44	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 104.5	Over	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x119184…
05-20 21:20:23	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0x57c17b…
05-20 19:59:50	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	245	22¢	$54	0x712d96…
05-20 17:54:39	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	239	34¢	$81	0xaf52fd…
05-18 18:03:48	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	193	50¢	$97	0xe85428…
05-17 16:57:14	Antalyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	102	53¢	$54	0x532b4f…
05-17 16:40:19	Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	Over	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x1fead8…
05-17 13:05:18	Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0x06b0a4…
05-17 12:52:12	SV 07 Elversberg vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x41da44…
05-16 23:24:10	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	100¢	$83	0xda0f2e…
05-16 17:45:11	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	67¢	$56	0xcd2ef1…
05-16 13:48:58	Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x156133…
05-16 12:20:41	Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	106	52¢	$55	0xc4cd46…
05-14 21:22:22	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0x2dab2a…
05-14 12:16:50	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	183	71¢	$130	0x50e5fb…
05-13 22:45:26	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5	Over	BUY	132	30¢	$39	0x7045ce…
05-13 22:36:34	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xb797b5…
05-13 22:04:01	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	Over	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x03f843…
05-13 18:42:06	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	45	34¢	$15	0x12aae1…
04-18 01:16:26	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	199	60¢	$119	0x786734…
04-17 22:36:34	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	199	65¢	$129	0xa2fbdf…
04-17 21:23:58	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	170	63¢	$107	0x808837…
04-17 21:11:12	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	51	64¢	$32	0xf145d9…
04-15 18:48:42	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	178	55¢	$97	0x13bdc6…
04-15 15:34:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	67¢	$29	0xf5e67f…
03-13 17:59:25	tur kar fen 2026 03 13 draw	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x08c098…
03-13 17:46:09	tur kar fen 2026 03 13 fen	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x648fee…
02-20 16:50:06	lol kc g2 2026 02 20 game1 kill over 26pt5	Over	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x1737a9…
02-20 15:37:06	wta pegula anisimo 2026 02 20	Pegula	SELL	50	83¢	$41	0x181925…
02-20 13:06:50	wta pegula anisimo 2026 02 20	Pegula	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x9435b8…
02-20 12:44:42	cs2 mouz navi 2026 02 20 game1	MOUZ	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0x8aeaf6…
02-19 21:16:02	atp mensik sinner 2026 02 19	Mensik	SELL	42	42¢	$17	0x7bfdac…
02-19 21:09:56	atp mensik sinner 2026 02 19	Mensik	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x702ee6…
02-19 21:02:02	spl ahl njm 2026 02 19 njm	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x2a0aff…
02-19 20:11:28	spl ahl njm 2026 02 19 njm	No	BUY	35	82¢	$29	0x500da7…
02-19 19:56:38	atp mensik sinner 2026 02 19 first set total 8pt5	Over	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0xb91e22…
02-19 19:17:26	atp mensik sinner 2026 02 19 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xf86561…
02-19 18:38:22	lol me1 s2g 2026 02 19	Misa Esports	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf64017…
02-19 18:38:10	uel fen1 not 2026 02 19 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	107	77¢	$82	0x205b34…
02-19 17:40:40	uel fen1 not 2026 02 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	107	46¢	$49	0x453edc…
02-19 13:31:26	lol me1 s2g 2026 02 19	Misa Esports	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x7d5dfc…
02-19 12:39:54	eth updown 5m 1771504800	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe898e5…
02-19 12:31:30	btc updown 5m 1771504200	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe28469…
02-19 12:29:48	btc updown 5m 1771503900	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4137ee…
02-14 20:13:09	will kon knueppel win the 2026 nba 3 point contest	Yes	BUY	94	25¢	$24	0x24097e…
02-13 19:56:43	val gm bbl1 2026 02 13	Gentle Mates	BUY	85	53¢	$45	0x6b4a6b…
02-13 19:52:35	val gm bbl1 2026 02 13 game4	Gentle Mates	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0x43dc11…
02-13 19:46:33	val gm bbl1 2026 02 13 game4	Gentle Mates	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x03ceb6…
02-13 19:24:01	tur gal eyu 2026 02 13 gal	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x3f0552…
02-13 16:37:45	tur gal eyu 2026 02 13 gal	Yes	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x3f9771…
02-06 21:32:07	btc updown 15m 1770413400	Up	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x9613c7…
02-06 21:06:27	es2 leg gra 2026 02 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xfa916c…
02-06 21:04:05	val gx tl1 2026 02 06	Team Liquid	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x64e1c2…
02-06 20:16:47	val gx tl1 2026 02 06	Team Liquid	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x799531…
02-03 12:56:46	bitcoin up or down on february 3	Up	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x4115bb…
02-03 12:56:00	bitcoin up or down on february 3	Up	BUY	45	41¢	$18	0x8b3a51…
01-18 13:31:38	will chlo zhao be nominated for best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	47	76¢	$35	0xcf2747…
01-18 01:21:50	will yngvill kolset haga avy kaufman sentimental value be nominated for achievement in casting at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	46	65¢	$30	0x07c43c…
01-18 01:21:18	will inga ibsdotter lilleaas be nominated for best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0xefcd5e…
01-18 01:21:04	will joel edgerton be nominated for best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	37	87¢	$32	0x9088c1…
01-18 01:18:10	will bugonia be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0xf60633…
01-17 14:33:32	will chlo zhao be nominated for best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	47	81¢	$38	0x3d8cf6…
01-17 14:33:06	will inga ibsdotter lilleaas be nominated for best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	37	90¢	$33	0x7733d6…
01-17 14:32:34	will bugonia be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x042d1d…
01-17 14:32:02	will joel edgerton be nominated for best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	37	89¢	$33	0x640700…
01-17 14:29:42	will kate hudson be nominated for best actress at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xaeb1fa…
01-17 14:28:16	will yngvill kolset haga avy kaufman sentimental value be nominated for achievement in casting at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	46	71¢	$33	0x8e3400…
01-07 18:13:29	will hamnet win best motion picture drama at the 83rd golden globes	Yes	SELL	93	25¢	$23	0xdc5f84…
01-05 21:29:57	nba nyk det 2026 01 05 1h total 121pt5	Under	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xd3c02c…
01-05 20:40:29	bitcoin up or down january 5 3pm et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x90e6e4…
01-03 19:01:55	epl bou ars 2026 01 03 spread away 1pt5	Arsenal FC	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xdaf81d…
01-03 18:34:17	epl bou ars 2026 01 03 spread away 1pt5	Arsenal FC	BUY	46	23¢	$11	0xb7f5f7…
01-03 18:32:33	epl bou ars 2026 01 03 spread away 1pt5	Arsenal FC	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xaebe12…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	15	$3.61K	494	06-01 12:04
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	15	$2.01K	601	06-07 14:57
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	14	$388.2K	1,946	06-06 22:56
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	13	$192.5K	1,399	05-20 20:36
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	13	$7.04K	1,438	06-01 06:54
Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37	12	$28.6K	407	06-07 14:04
Vigilant-Environment 0xdbdd…a5de	12	$4.93K	47	06-07 14:30
(anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2	12	$4.52K	543	03-18 15:31