Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$542

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

215

Trades

799

lifetime

Volume

$24.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$588

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 10-28 16:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

40% 63% -$395

Crypto

38% 60% -$253

Politics

21% 43% +$34

Sports

1% 100% +$72

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+394	$264	66¢	$262	-$2	10-23 18:58
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	+112	$100	92¢	$103	+$3	10-27 13:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	+104	$75	73¢	$76	+$1	10-27 13:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+82	$68	82¢	$67	-$1	10-27 13:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+100	$48	50¢	$50	+$2	10-28 14:11
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+45	$30	66¢	$29	-$1	10-24 20:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	39	$3.2K	1,849	1,849	+0	Up	+$76	10-21 19:25
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	36	$1.7K	1,372	1,372	+0	Up	+$23	10-20 16:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	7	$1.4K	741	741	+0	Yes	+$21	10-23 14:07
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 19?	3	$1.2K	817	617	+200	Up	+$0	10-19 18:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	8	$1.0K	582	582	+0	open	—	10-27 11:29
spx up or down on october 13 2026	8	$911	1,014	789	+224	Down	-$596	10-13 19:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	5	$762	402	402	+0	Yes	+$29	10-24 19:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 13:00 UTC	13	$424	366	161	+205	Down	-$50	02-05 13:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	7	$375	205	205	+0	Down	+$15	10-23 18:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 19:50 UTC	8	$364	331	200	+131	Down	+$4	03-31 19:54
spx up or down on october 14 2026	10	$350	596	596	+0	Down	-$20	10-14 14:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	3	$342	185	185	+0	open	—	10-27 13:40
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	17	$330	219	219	+0	Down	+$30	10-22 15:12
nhl ott car 2026 04 20	4	$310	214	190	+24	Hurricanes	+$72	04-21 04:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 12:00 UTC	4	$294	160	159	+0	Down	+$6	02-01 12:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 07:30 UTC	9	$284	159	158	+1	Up	+$8	02-03 07:42
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$264	394	0	+394	open	—	10-23 18:58
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 20?	28	$241	557	557	+0	Down	+$58	10-20 16:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	13	$240	798	193	+605	Up	-$20	10-14 17:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 19:15 UTC	5	$240	312	47	+265	Down	-$24	03-31 19:19
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$229	130	130	+0	No	+$16	04-21 17:02
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 22?	7	$215	115	115	+0	Down	+$1	10-22 13:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?	8	$214	198	95	+103	Down	+$16	10-12 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 09:30 UTC	21	$203	192	189	+3	Up	+$18	02-02 09:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 13:15 UTC	3	$187	400	0	+400	Down	-$9	04-07 13:27
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	10-21 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:10 UTC	10	$178	279	171	+108	Down	+$11	10-14 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 19:30 UTC	6	$169	394	21	+374	Down	-$2	03-31 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 10:00 UTC	2	$166	99	95	+4	Up	+$9	02-04 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 07:15 UTC	5	$164	110	98	+12	Down	+$5	02-03 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:36:04	Will US births in 2026 be between 3.59 million and 3.62 million?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xc1875b…
10-28 16:24:20	Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in February 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x7177c1…
10-28 16:21:11	Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in March 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	86	26¢	$23	0xfd9ad3…
10-28 16:14:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x48fff4…
10-28 14:11:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xa87c2b…
10-28 14:10:40	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	148	32¢	$48	0xc3a676…
10-27 15:04:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x91606f…
10-27 15:04:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x9fe09c…
10-27 14:10:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	90¢	$32	0x9a225b…
10-27 13:56:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xaf158e…
10-27 13:55:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3c62ff…
10-27 13:53:33	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x655bdd…
10-27 13:48:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0x2e0aaf…
10-27 13:45:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	82	83¢	$68	0x828cd7…
10-27 13:42:50	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x0c8b2f…
10-27 13:41:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	104	72¢	$75	0x8ec49d…
10-27 13:40:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	185	96¢	$178	0x1dad4a…
10-27 11:29:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	173	94¢	$162	0x8ac5de…
10-26 18:39:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	173	88¢	$152	0xc6b6a1…
10-26 18:35:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xbfce76…
10-26 16:00:18	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb240a5…
10-26 15:57:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	294	85¢	$250	0x485d7e…
10-25 00:07:05	Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x8769e3…
10-24 22:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa3a2ed…
10-24 20:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x58b2a2…
10-24 20:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x98033e…
10-24 20:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x046c5a…
10-24 20:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xc36df2…
10-24 20:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xbc4378…
10-24 20:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0x4bb804…
10-24 20:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa4d5d6…
10-24 20:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1a8ddd…
10-24 20:09:12	Counter-Strike: Four Magic vs Ducks (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs	Ducks	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xaa30bf…
10-24 20:07:56	Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xb43ad9…
10-24 20:07:24	Counter-Strike: Four Magic vs Ducks (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs	Ducks	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x2b56b8…
10-24 20:07:24	Counter-Strike: Four Magic vs Ducks (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs	Ducks	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x0292af…
10-24 20:06:41	Counter-Strike: Four Magic vs Ducks (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs	Ducks	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0xca7f5c…
10-24 20:05:32	Counter-Strike: Four Magic vs Ducks (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs	Ducks	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x7ac3ff…
10-24 20:04:02	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x9a6c91…
10-24 19:58:48	Counter-Strike: Four Magic vs Ducks (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs	Ducks	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0xb16a7c…
10-24 19:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0x2bdd0d…
10-24 19:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x81a232…
10-24 19:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xb947c2…
10-24 19:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x462bd5…
10-24 19:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x991f9c…
10-24 19:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcf2cd1…
10-24 19:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa140dd…
10-24 19:39:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	134	82¢	$110	0xe6dbc2…
10-24 19:37:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	167	90¢	$150	0x1dab70…
10-24 19:37:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	402	98¢	$395	0x0c57f5…
10-23 18:58:12	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0xb325e3…
10-23 18:21:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	SELL	71	95¢	$68	0x65d345…
10-23 18:21:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x9e7950…
10-23 18:21:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xac3889…
10-23 18:18:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x83cbd6…
10-23 18:18:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x0b4f9a…
10-23 14:19:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	91	88¢	$80	0xb8a194…
10-23 14:19:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x27c354…
10-23 14:17:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xb130b5…
10-23 14:15:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xb5763b…
10-23 14:07:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x7d5f0f…
10-23 13:47:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	149	98¢	$146	0xb4f25e…
10-23 13:44:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x59ad52…
10-23 13:43:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	246	98¢	$241	0xa6ea03…
10-22 21:15:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x050a7e…
10-22 19:31:41	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x162a44…
10-22 16:19:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xd3c13b…
10-22 15:12:26	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	80	80¢	$64	0x2ec348…
10-22 15:11:48	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xf11aaf…
10-22 15:10:51	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x5f26ba…
10-22 14:49:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0x979604…
10-22 14:36:32	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xe990d1…
10-22 14:36:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	421	95¢	$400	0x84b5df…
10-22 14:33:21	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xf0652d…
10-22 14:30:38	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1c1ce4…
10-22 14:29:32	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	85	58¢	$49	0xc96c20…
10-22 14:29:32	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x667c98…
10-22 14:26:29	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xf0b06b…
10-22 14:24:38	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x7a93f2…
10-22 13:47:30	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	90	94¢	$85	0x956380…
10-22 13:45:29	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x7c27d4…
10-22 13:45:27	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x62eb57…
10-22 13:45:26	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd76de7…
10-22 13:45:26	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd0e922…
10-22 13:45:24	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xc9d5b1…
10-22 13:36:35	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xe7119e…
10-22 13:36:35	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xbb8601…
10-22 13:36:35	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x99bb67…
10-22 13:36:35	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x16bd8f…
10-22 13:35:17	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	69	87¢	$60	0x541141…
10-22 13:32:57	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xa0a2f1…
10-22 12:30:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 22?	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x1872bf…
10-22 11:27:03	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	115	93¢	$107	0xed9238…
10-22 11:24:17	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	40	90¢	$35	0x0682b6…
10-22 11:23:54	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0xf614d4…
10-22 11:23:39	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x2b8933…
10-22 11:20:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x5a631e…
10-21 20:06:03	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x12cc19…
10-21 19:34:29	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf314b8…
10-21 19:25:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	SELL	550	98¢	$539	0x8e9eb6…