Ill-Informed-Gain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

Trades

801

lifetime

Volume

$3.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 05-31 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 39% $-56

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	6	$151	151	151	+0	Down	+$21	05-04 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	5	$93	126	114	+12	Down	+$7	05-04 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	3	$93	68	68	+0	Up	+$33	05-04 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	4	$79	96	96	+0	Down	$-1	05-04 19:41
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 11pm et	2	$69	37	37	+0	open	—	04-13 04:08
btc updown 15m 1776061800	1	$47	53	0	+53	open	—	04-13 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	2	$41	81	81	+0	Up	$-27	05-05 03:22
btc updown 5m 1776094500	2	$35	45	44	+2	open	—	04-13 15:39
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 10pm et	2	$35	20	19	+0	open	—	04-13 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$34	68	18	+50	Down	$-6	05-04 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	3	$33	109	109	+0	Down	$-27	05-04 23:38
btc updown 15m 1776082500	4	$31	27	27	+1	open	—	04-13 12:24
btc updown 5m 1776502500	4	$31	23	22	+1	open	—	04-18 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	1	$30	111	0	+111	Up	$-30	05-05 02:05
btc updown 15m 1775178000	3	$29	26	25	+1	open	—	04-03 01:06
btc updown 15m 1776462300	4	$25	27	26	+1	open	—	04-17 21:53
btc updown 15m 1776051000	3	$25	38	5	+33	open	—	04-13 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$23	38	38	+0	Up	+$3	05-04 22:07
btc updown 5m 1775470200	1	$22	24	0	+24	open	—	04-06 10:13
btc updown 15m 1775054700	5	$22	46	21	+26	open	—	04-01 14:55
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 3am et	4	$22	40	38	+2	open	—	04-04 07:43
btc updown 15m 1776465000	6	$21	35	33	+2	open	—	04-17 22:43
btc updown 15m 1775169900	2	$21	23	22	+1	open	—	04-02 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$20	62	62	+0	Up	$-0	05-04 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9PM ET	2	$20	39	39	+0	Up	$-10	05-05 01:46
btc updown 5m 1776626100	2	$19	15	14	+1	open	—	04-19 19:20
btc updown 5m 1776461100	4	$19	16	15	+1	open	—	04-17 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	2	$19	24	24	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 04:49
btc updown 15m 1776326400	3	$19	28	15	+13	open	—	04-16 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4PM ET	5	$18	21	20	+1	open	—	04-26 21:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 21:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xc67fd6…
05-30 18:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x0e944a…
05-30 18:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x421fee…
05-30 15:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe30402…
05-30 14:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0xc6a30e…
05-30 14:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x834f22…
05-30 13:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x50a1cc…
05-30 13:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7e300a…
05-30 13:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfcf618…
05-30 12:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x3e5935…
05-30 12:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbde246…
05-30 12:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x9091bc…
05-30 12:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0xd6cd65…
05-29 21:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xe8545b…
05-28 21:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xd1a9df…
05-19 22:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x5f2fe5…
05-05 23:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x294a21…
05-05 22:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0x92abd5…
05-05 22:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x60ffa7…
05-05 07:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	11	41¢	$4	0xa35fe1…
05-05 07:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x65f341…
05-05 04:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x8c30cd…
05-05 04:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	24	27¢	$7	0x1a4a4e…
05-05 03:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	81	9¢	$7	0xd46ad6…
05-05 03:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	81	42¢	$34	0xcf04eb…
05-05 02:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x5c87fd…
05-05 01:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	39	12¢	$5	0x0edef3…
05-05 01:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	39	39¢	$15	0x741b18…
05-05 00:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$4	0x5a6cb0…
05-05 00:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$0	0x9d4584…
05-05 00:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc4833b…
05-04 23:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xdcd076…
05-04 23:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	109	3¢	$3	0xf645b8…
05-04 23:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x5bfd26…
05-04 23:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0x784503…
05-04 22:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x2a5422…
05-04 22:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x239775…
05-04 22:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0x741d94…
05-04 22:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xd8b081…
05-04 22:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	62	81¢	$51	0x894c3b…
05-04 22:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x20bce1…
05-04 22:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x4bcf96…
05-04 22:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0xc7320c…
05-04 22:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x9d2d5a…
05-04 22:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x1c216f…
05-04 22:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x7a4470…
05-04 22:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	38	35¢	$13	0x10f5e0…
05-04 22:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x390283…
05-04 21:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0xee6b93…
05-04 21:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x6b76f8…
05-04 21:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	68	93¢	$63	0xb1d42f…
05-04 21:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf9c635…
05-04 21:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xe583e8…
05-04 20:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x64c4f7…
05-04 20:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	69	42¢	$29	0x85c97f…
05-04 20:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x24a336…
05-04 20:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	45	47¢	$21	0xefda73…
05-04 20:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x378903…
05-04 19:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	42	11¢	$5	0x7c5949…
05-04 19:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xdc298a…
05-04 19:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	54	64¢	$35	0x6773f6…
05-04 19:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0xce80ea…
05-03 18:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xc0c02a…
05-03 17:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa395e2…
05-03 17:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x49a229…
05-03 17:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xc6aa7c…
05-03 12:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xe8f00b…
05-03 11:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7fd204…
05-03 11:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0xc4275c…
05-03 11:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x9dbe69…
05-03 11:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x7ec5bb…
05-02 16:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc736da…
05-02 16:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x010faf…
05-02 15:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x4e057f…
05-02 15:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x39c4e7…
04-29 21:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8fd0de…
04-29 20:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x47bbdd…
04-29 18:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6b157c…
04-29 18:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5739ee…
04-29 18:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x187151…
04-29 18:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa0acd8…
04-29 18:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3cc3f1…
04-29 15:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xa77255…
04-29 15:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xe91947…
04-29 12:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xd96d80…
04-28 17:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x574547…
04-28 14:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0xb2b58b…
04-28 14:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8f6c89…
04-28 09:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x720c18…
04-28 08:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xd4a26a…
04-28 08:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x5c20e5…
04-28 07:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xbef3fb…
04-28 05:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x642e4b…
04-27 18:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xa0ceea…
04-27 18:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x0ca0ab…
04-27 17:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xa08c92…
04-27 17:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0x119bf6…
04-27 17:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xffab2a…
04-27 15:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x117651…
04-27 14:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x48b518…