Ill-Informed-Gain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$208

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

506

Trades

885

lifetime

Volume

$3.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 08-14 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 40% -$208

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	6	$151	151	151	+0	Down	+$21	05-04 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	5	$93	126	114	+12	Down	+$7	05-04 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	3	$93	68	68	+0	Up	+$33	05-04 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	4	$79	96	96	+0	Down	-$1	05-04 19:41
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 11pm et	2	$69	37	37	+0	Down	+$6	04-13 04:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 23:00 UTC	3	$56	93	53	+40	Down	+$20	08-12 23:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 06:30 UTC	1	$47	53	0	+53	Up	-$47	04-13 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	2	$41	81	81	+0	Up	-$27	05-05 03:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 15:35 UTC	2	$35	45	44	+2	Down	-$4	04-13 15:39
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 10pm et	2	$35	20	19	+0	Down	+$4	04-13 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$34	68	18	+50	Down	-$6	05-04 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	3	$33	109	109	+0	Down	-$27	05-04 23:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 12:15 UTC	4	$31	27	27	+1	Down	+$2	04-13 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 08:55 UTC	4	$31	23	22	+1	Up	+$8	04-18 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	1	$30	111	0	+111	Up	-$30	05-05 02:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 01:00 UTC	3	$29	26	25	+1	Up	+$10	04-03 01:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 22:00 UTC	3	$26	20	20	+0	Up	+$8	08-12 22:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 21:45 UTC	4	$25	27	26	+1	Up	+$3	04-17 21:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 03:30 UTC	3	$25	38	5	+33	Down	+$10	04-13 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$23	38	38	+0	Up	+$3	05-04 22:07
bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 7am et	4	$23	27	27	+0	Down	+$7	08-03 11:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 23:15 UTC	4	$23	33	33	+0	Down	+$5	08-12 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:10 UTC	1	$22	24	0	+24	Up	+$2	04-06 10:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 14:45 UTC	5	$22	46	21	+26	Up	$0	04-01 14:55
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 3am et	4	$22	40	38	+2	Up	+$4	04-04 07:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 22:30 UTC	6	$21	35	33	+2	Up	+$4	04-17 22:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 03:00 UTC	2	$21	18	18	+0	Up	+$9	08-13 03:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 22:45 UTC	2	$21	23	22	+1	Up	+$8	04-02 22:52
bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 11pm et	3	$20	38	21	+17	Up	-$2	08-13 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$20	62	62	+0	Up	$0	05-04 21:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 23:00:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xbc1f01…
08-14 22:58:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x37a0da…
08-14 22:58:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x72512f…
08-13 21:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x99ff75…
08-13 20:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xec8158…
08-13 15:05:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x40588d…
08-13 12:06:12	bitcoin up or down august 13 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x2caf5d…
08-13 12:02:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0x7a2eda…
08-13 12:01:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x450370…
08-13 11:58:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa6183d…
08-13 11:30:04	bitcoin up or down august 13 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x438ec6…
08-13 03:41:45	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xcde826…
08-13 03:31:45	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0xd8fe2e…
08-13 03:25:04	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xc1af65…
08-13 03:13:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 03:00 UTC	Up	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0xa7693a…
08-13 03:05:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x240513…
08-13 02:51:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x6a2c00…
08-13 02:45:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd8cd0e…
08-13 02:41:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0x4655b3…
08-13 02:31:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0x7c079d…
08-13 02:24:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x5e97bc…
08-13 02:23:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0xc15b9d…
08-13 02:18:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xad7a8e…
08-13 02:14:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x6d13e4…
08-13 00:38:49	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 8pm et	Down	SELL	24	8¢	$2	0x5f1c69…
08-13 00:09:22	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0xa992fd…
08-13 00:03:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x53a88e…
08-12 23:48:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xfd01c8…
08-12 23:43:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	71¢	$9	0x4e817e…
08-12 23:32:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x559c8f…
08-12 23:28:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 23:15 UTC	Up	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0x4a00fe…
08-12 23:24:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xd43646…
08-12 23:22:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0x2f8422…
08-12 23:21:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2c1de8…
08-12 23:13:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xf47063…
08-12 23:11:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	53	71¢	$38	0xe6d692…
08-12 23:02:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	53	30¢	$16	0xc382b3…
08-12 22:49:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x636301…
08-12 22:48:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0x581a96…
08-12 22:45:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x22ee4e…
08-12 22:33:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xdac5c6…
08-12 22:31:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xcf50ad…
08-12 22:29:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x7b66f6…
08-12 22:28:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x5c09bb…
08-12 22:22:28	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0xefa633…
08-12 22:11:51	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe1a41d…
08-12 22:07:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xb1deb1…
08-12 22:02:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x55f193…
08-12 22:01:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x34aa0b…
08-12 21:55:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x39ef6c…
08-12 21:53:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x345e8b…
08-12 21:52:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x307086…
08-12 21:48:36	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x42c3f6…
08-12 21:04:24	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x44c754…
08-08 18:33:24	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x957eda…
08-08 18:28:30	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x007a10…
08-08 18:16:51	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$4	0x9dd839…
08-08 18:03:52	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x3b9167…
08-08 11:22:01	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x3c1f30…
08-08 11:14:40	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x7d1390…
08-08 11:03:25	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xa3086d…
08-08 10:30:27	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x3e2704…
08-08 09:34:37	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xa7a782…
08-08 09:33:01	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x7c8484…
08-05 21:04:42	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2c73c0…
08-03 19:41:30	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	26	35¢	$9	0xa833e3…
08-03 19:12:24	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x453557…
08-03 19:11:29	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x40c342…
08-03 15:40:02	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0xea63ad…
08-03 15:23:36	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x61aa27…
08-03 12:31:41	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xe7ccb5…
08-03 11:46:15	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x1df84f…
08-03 11:26:54	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x72838b…
08-03 11:20:36	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0xc0604b…
08-03 11:08:18	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb0a4e4…
08-03 10:52:15	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x6cfb9d…
08-03 05:59:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x666108…
08-03 05:55:48	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x762fad…
08-03 05:51:45	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5649ff…
07-31 14:11:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x3cbf98…
07-29 12:20:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xac3a57…
07-29 11:48:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x5e1e33…
05-31 21:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xc67fd6…
05-31 20:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4ff063…
05-30 18:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x0e944a…
05-30 18:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x421fee…
05-30 15:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe30402…
05-30 14:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0xc6a30e…
05-30 14:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x834f22…
05-30 13:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x50a1cc…
05-30 13:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x8f9d67…
05-30 13:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7e300a…
05-30 13:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfcf618…
05-30 12:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x3e5935…
05-30 12:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbde246…
05-30 12:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x9091bc…
05-30 12:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0xd6cd65…
05-29 21:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xe8545b…
05-28 21:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xd1a9df…
05-19 22:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x5f2fe5…