Stimulating-Exploration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

222

Trades

271

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 11-10 00:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 166 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 96% -$5

Other

41% 94% +$4

Tech

8% 100% +$3

Sports

5% 100% +$4

Politics

1% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on march 1	2	$26	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	03-01 08:34
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	6	$24	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	03-29 09:33
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	5	$23	13	10	+3	Yes	+$0	03-31 00:41
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-12 23:46
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 9?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	11-09 00:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 31?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-31 04:50
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 10°C on November 10?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	11-10 00:35
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$7	10-27 01:04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$17	12	6	+6	Yes	+$1	04-25 03:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	3	$15	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	05-22 00:48
bitcoin above 66k on february 28	2	$13	9	9	+0	No	+$3	02-28 06:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$0	03-11 22:50
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-21 00:40
bitcoin above 60k on february 28	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	02-28 08:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 00:25
bitcoin above 62k on february 27	2	$10	1,667	1,667	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 13:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 30?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-30 00:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 15?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-15 01:09
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 28?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-29 01:00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 10?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-10 01:47
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-19 12:48
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 00:40
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 13:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 28?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-27 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or below on November 6?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	11-05 00:35
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 5pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Bosnia and Herzegovina	+$0	07-02 00:41
bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	08-07 03:07
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Spain	+$0	06-27 01:41
bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-21 00:45
bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-25 02:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 00:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 7°C or below on November 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64b14c…
11-10 00:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 10°C on November 10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x04c3cb…
11-09 00:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 10°C on November 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1005fc…
11-09 00:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 9?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa74267…
11-08 11:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78af75…
11-05 00:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or below on November 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35555d…
10-31 04:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 14°C on November 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbfbe8…
10-31 04:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x871f1b…
10-30 00:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x256592…
10-27 01:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3615a…
10-27 01:04:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x51196b…
10-25 02:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 26?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x427e01…
10-24 01:52:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x636f45…
10-24 01:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 22?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb047cb…
10-21 00:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 22?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x354d08…
10-21 00:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x48be61…
10-20 00:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x34cf42…
10-17 05:16:46	highest temperature in shanghai on october 18 2026 27c	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0c4c90…
10-14 00:08:30	Knicks vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe32cd9…
10-14 00:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 14?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb1d028…
10-13 08:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 14?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb1b72f…
10-11 01:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9a4ae2…
10-11 01:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x79a9a3…
10-10 01:47:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x73b843…
10-10 01:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 10?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5013c0…
10-09 00:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8922f6…
10-06 01:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15bc3b…
10-04 00:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xed986c…
09-30 00:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c9150…
09-30 00:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3643b7…
09-29 01:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1f42d6…
09-29 01:00:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd727f0…
09-28 01:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 29?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x085b2c…
09-27 00:33:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 28?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac8bda…
09-24 01:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x633646…
09-21 16:55:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95c05e…
09-20 01:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf708aa…
09-18 00:07:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e3cc1…
09-15 01:11:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb9790f…
09-15 01:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x730984…
09-14 00:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x971919…
09-13 01:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 14?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x43abe8…
09-12 05:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 13?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8308c0…
09-08 05:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x74e4b9…
09-06 00:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b5bf4…
09-02 00:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ad2c1…
09-01 01:08:57	bitcoin above 86k on september 1 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcdd2e6…
08-30 01:17:30	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x54df3d…
08-28 01:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c13dc…
08-28 01:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or below on August 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3ebc90…
08-27 03:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x746134…
08-26 00:49:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2fc2c6…
08-25 00:26:10	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xc369b4…
08-24 01:17:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2662e…
08-23 02:29:22	mls vwh dal 2026 08 22 spread away 1pt5	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfea1d7…
08-22 06:19:42	bitcoin above 70k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x814a6a…
08-21 01:14:03	bitcoin above 66k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfdec31…
08-20 00:30:10	bitcoin above 62k on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf52cc3…
08-19 02:24:49	bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x426595…
08-18 01:00:58	bitcoin above 62k on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3e892…
08-17 01:19:25	bitcoin above 60k on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x82f604…
08-16 07:24:40	bitcoin above 60k on august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a8036…
08-15 02:22:22	bitcoin above 60k on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x12ea0e…
08-14 00:24:42	bitcoin above 60k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbf6a2…
08-13 01:18:27	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0a392…
08-12 00:46:07	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6aa439…
08-11 01:19:03	bitcoin above 60k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca3593…
08-10 01:11:28	bitcoin above 62k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xff2d83…
08-09 02:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x363822…
08-08 01:07:12	mlb nym pit 2026 08 07	New York Mets	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc2ce37…
08-07 03:07:37	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b6de3…
08-06 01:08:27	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe6a53e…
08-05 01:09:23	bitcoin above 60k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcabc0a…
08-03 00:52:09	bitcoin above 56k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6bc8d3…
08-02 00:19:14	will bitcoin reach 70k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8b2d8a…
08-01 01:12:24	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07da5e…
07-31 08:55:56	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x89c0fb…
07-30 00:16:21	bitcoin above 58k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67947b…
07-29 00:28:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb1a53…
07-28 00:21:00	bitcoin above 58k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d2e9e…
07-27 00:14:03	bitcoin above 62k on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7f3bf9…
07-25 03:02:12	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x18ab56…
07-24 00:28:39	bitcoin above 68k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7f4eed…
07-23 05:36:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x71d347…
07-23 05:35:40	bitcoin above 68k on july 23 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfda191…
07-23 05:32:22	bitcoin above 68k on july 23 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x419438…
07-22 00:16:06	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb0125…
07-21 00:45:46	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf066c2…
07-20 08:20:04	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd23798…
07-19 05:17:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread away 4pt5	Spain	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf6e03…
07-17 01:05:22	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 4pt5	France	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc610c8…
07-15 06:15:47	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread away 5pt5	England	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe97830…
07-14 00:06:46	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 5pt5	France	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb3ec6c…
07-13 02:46:40	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6a74b8…
07-12 00:40:08	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 spread away 4pt5	Argentina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x756406…
07-11 01:45:02	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread home 4pt5	England	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88bf38…
07-10 01:17:13	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread away 3pt5	Spain	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1153e…
07-08 02:24:59	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread away 3pt5	France	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b8734…
07-08 02:24:02	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread away 4pt5	France	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x057659…
07-05 22:27:41	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 spread home 3pt5	England	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x70f572…