Stimulating-Exploration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$705

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-05 22:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 100% +$0

Other

24% — —

Tech

12% — —

Sports

10% 100% +$1

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on march 1	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	03-01 08:34
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	6	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	03-29 09:33
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	5	$23	13	10	+3	open	—	03-31 00:41
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-12 23:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$17	12	6	+6	open	—	04-25 03:28
bitcoin above 66k on february 28	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	02-28 06:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-11 22:50
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-21 00:40
bitcoin above 60k on february 28	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-28 08:30
bitcoin above 62k on february 27	2	$10	1,667	1,667	+0	open	—	02-27 13:11
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-19 12:48
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 00:40
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 13:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 00:16
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-27 01:41
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 5pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	07-02 00:41
bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-25 02:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-24 01:41
fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 spread away 5pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-28 00:18
fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 spread away 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-24 00:47
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-02 09:00
bitcoin above 74k on march 7	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-06 23:30
fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 spread home 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-23 00:36
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 spread home 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	07-01 00:20
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread away 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	07-08 02:24
bitcoin above 76k on march 5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-05 14:23
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 spread home 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	07-05 22:27
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-21 12:22
will crude oil cl settle at 60 65 in march 449	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-11 22:50
bitcoin above 68k on april 15	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	04-15 00:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 02:24:59	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread away 3pt5	France	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b8734…
07-08 02:24:02	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread away 4pt5	France	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x057659…
07-05 22:27:41	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 spread home 3pt5	England	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x70f572…
07-04 06:28:05	bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x639c8b…
07-03 00:22:52	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb48903…
07-02 00:41:20	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 5pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8497e1…
07-01 00:20:56	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 spread home 4pt5	Ecuador	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4880ab…
06-29 01:06:29	bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcf037b…
06-28 00:18:10	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 spread away 5pt5	Colombia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32e04d…
06-27 01:42:08	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f2af7…
06-27 01:41:28	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac6199…
06-26 00:49:22	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2301c0…
06-25 02:57:20	bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14cb19…
06-24 00:51:02	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe1509e…
06-24 00:47:29	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 spread away 3pt5	Panama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c60de…
06-23 00:36:35	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 spread home 4pt5	Senegal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb3bd9d…
06-20 01:15:44	bitcoin above 60k on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x126b6d…
06-17 00:47:08	bitcoin above 60k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb106cc…
06-17 00:46:16	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread away 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x82e064…
06-15 01:12:36	bitcoin above 72k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4828f…
06-15 01:11:46	mlb tex bos 2026 06 14	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbcdabf…
06-14 00:28:19	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 spread home 1pt5	Scotland	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x473666…
06-12 00:38:18	bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad466c…
06-10 00:59:57	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a1e56…
06-10 00:58:57	mlb lad pit 2026 06 09	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5eb9c1…
06-09 01:05:31	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfc22fa…
06-09 01:04:37	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda735e…
06-08 00:46:09	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1dfd1b…
06-07 01:01:15	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa1ac98…
06-06 02:03:03	bitcoin above 56k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5aba46…
06-05 06:13:03	bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe4a5c4…
06-01 17:46:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaeceea…
05-31 04:36:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x44dd0d…
05-29 00:35:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa478b3…
05-28 00:31:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61d5e1…
05-28 00:30:34	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x86affc…
05-28 00:29:33	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe30ab…
05-27 00:24:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x88d488…
05-27 00:23:21	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x272a16…
05-27 00:22:41	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3d5fa7…
05-26 00:59:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x93f6a9…
05-26 00:57:42	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa2dffc…
05-25 00:16:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44afc5…
05-24 01:41:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6ce5f…
05-23 00:53:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x414798…
05-21 01:19:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfbaf33…
05-21 01:18:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x22828c…
05-20 00:27:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf1d795…
05-19 00:48:19	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c119a…
05-18 06:14:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x11d091…
05-17 12:08:06	Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x537ad3…
05-17 12:06:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x484668…
05-15 00:50:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x303229…
05-14 00:29:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb5351e…
05-13 01:12:36	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9f0c29…
05-12 01:19:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c0254…
05-11 07:26:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x46b8bc…
05-10 01:37:50	Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6e5e58…
05-09 01:29:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6b30af…
05-09 01:28:29	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x33f94f…
05-08 00:13:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e8dd1…
05-07 01:24:02	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x902352…
05-07 01:23:27	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Boston Red Sox	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb7989f…
05-06 01:08:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x375621…
05-06 01:07:20	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1d1ef9…
05-05 01:40:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3ca16…
05-05 01:39:26	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x77addd…
05-04 07:45:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd873bb…
05-03 01:52:08	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x9ac25c…
05-02 09:19:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2cad9b…
05-01 01:28:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc4955…
04-25 03:28:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4cc5f1…
04-25 03:27:44	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8eb128…
04-23 01:23:36	nba orl det 2026 04 22	Pistons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6085de…
04-22 00:16:28	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1c429…
04-22 00:15:16	Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x919c72…
04-19 10:07:24	bitcoin above 70k on april 19	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x935bd5…
04-18 01:36:16	bitcoin above 72k on april 18	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x706efd…
04-18 01:34:30	nba cha orl 2026 04 17	Magic	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x081ce0…
04-15 00:45:58	bitcoin above 68k on april 15	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x08ef14…
04-15 00:45:06	nhl nj bos 2026 04 14	Bruins	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfa96b1…
04-14 10:50:29	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x46cd05…
04-14 10:49:43	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3ae829…
04-14 10:49:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0xf22e13…
04-14 10:49:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x889322…
04-11 13:32:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6bb059…
04-11 13:28:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x48872a…
04-09 10:55:19	bitcoin above 68k on april 9	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5f5c0f…
04-09 10:48:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5c7063…
04-07 07:29:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x735f7f…
04-07 07:29:05	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf275ba…
04-03 01:01:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9810a8…
04-03 01:00:31	bitcoin above 72k on april 3	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e37e9…
04-02 13:30:05	highest temperature in toronto on april 3 2026 9corhigher	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd021eb…
04-02 13:28:59	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd71c9d…
04-02 13:27:47	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6baf47…
03-31 13:16:03	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x357150…
03-31 13:14:59	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x783550…
03-31 00:41:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x785213…
03-31 00:41:15	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa5542b…