Muffled-Tights — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$324

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

Trades

518

lifetime

Volume

$9.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-14 06:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 53% $-324

Politics

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	4	$310	188	188	+0	Down	+$10	05-14 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	5	$308	266	171	+95	Up	$-67	05-14 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	8	$232	146	146	+0	Down	+$32	05-14 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	4	$225	151	151	+0	Up	+$25	05-14 04:28
will tisza win 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	5	$208	875	361	+514	open	—	04-12 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	3	$195	133	100	+33	Down	+$3	05-14 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	3	$177	108	108	+0	open	—	05-01 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$174	178	178	+0	Down	$-26	05-14 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	4	$162	6,106	70	+6,036	Down	$-39	05-14 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	3	$152	180	106	+74	Up	$-48	05-14 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$150	112	112	+0	Up	+$20	05-14 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$145	96	96	+0	open	—	05-01 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	6	$136	76	76	+0	Up	+$4	05-14 00:33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$135	73	73	+0	open	—	04-12 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$133	122	122	+0	Up	+$13	05-14 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	6	$129	98	98	+0	Down	+$9	05-14 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$128	96	96	+0	open	—	05-02 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	5	$124	124	89	+35	Up	+$4	05-14 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	4	$123	64	64	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	5	$116	171	133	+38	Up	$-4	05-14 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	7	$112	589	89	+500	Up	$-2	05-14 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$111	68	68	+0	Up	+$11	05-14 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	5	$111	202	45	+157	Up	$-33	05-14 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	5	$111	114	82	+32	Down	$-9	05-14 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	6	$105	75	75	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	5	$105	114	85	+30	Down	$-3	05-14 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$100	143	0	+143	open	—	05-01 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	5	$100	93	93	+0	Down	$-4	05-14 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	6	$98	58	58	+0	Up	+$2	05-14 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$98	76	54	+23	Down	$-10	05-14 00:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 06:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xeb0f8f…
05-14 06:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x043470…
05-14 06:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x86ce4d…
05-14 06:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x71a243…
05-14 06:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x79f1d3…
05-14 06:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x94a97a…
05-14 06:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$2	0xc26917…
05-14 06:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x6c5640…
05-14 06:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x91026a…
05-14 06:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x57d81a…
05-14 06:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xba9d4a…
05-14 06:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf45b84…
05-14 05:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0xd62a9a…
05-14 04:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x38a78a…
05-14 04:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x81b867…
05-14 04:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0x66f7e2…
05-14 04:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xa2f6cf…
05-14 04:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	106	49¢	$52	0x06dd25…
05-14 04:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xa079b4…
05-14 04:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	68	90¢	$61	0x466e20…
05-14 04:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xa59873…
05-14 04:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	108	89¢	$96	0xb0048a…
05-14 04:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xb69fd5…
05-14 04:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	81	80¢	$65	0x84d586…
05-14 04:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x044d54…
05-14 04:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	68	87¢	$58	0xdca360…
05-14 04:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xf7e7db…
05-14 04:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	83	80¢	$67	0xd8afa0…
05-14 04:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x9e685b…
05-14 04:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	104	8¢	$8	0x388269…
05-14 04:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	74	89¢	$65	0x7b67a1…
05-14 04:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x84008f…
05-14 04:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x9cc7f9…
05-14 04:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	122	60¢	$73	0xf35068…
05-14 04:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0x56cb31…
05-14 04:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	44	50¢	$22	0x5c3871…
05-14 04:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xc3a735…
05-14 04:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x7740ad…
05-14 04:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x903f13…
05-14 04:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	95	84¢	$80	0xfb463d…
05-14 04:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	156	68¢	$106	0x932f07…
05-14 04:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	156	62¢	$96	0x25f698…
05-14 03:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xcb5693…
05-14 03:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc7534a…
05-14 03:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xa6c6be…
05-14 03:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	112	76¢	$85	0x6d5f69…
05-14 03:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	112	58¢	$65	0xdb5c87…
05-14 03:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6,036	1¢	$60	0x4ef74c…
05-14 03:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	70	88¢	$61	0x838f72…
05-14 03:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x6aeb1a…
05-14 03:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xdec97e…
05-14 03:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	31	68¢	$21	0x3eae48…
05-14 03:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	55	43¢	$24	0x4ebcd8…
05-14 03:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x57133a…
05-14 03:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	55	74¢	$41	0x4fd9a7…
05-14 03:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	55	75¢	$41	0x2f2c3a…
05-14 03:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	47	91¢	$43	0x59c531…
05-14 03:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xa06af0…
05-14 03:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x1215f1…
05-14 03:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0xa4b57a…
05-14 03:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x2cdaaa…
05-14 03:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x74d913…
05-14 03:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	89¢	$29	0x348b8e…
05-14 03:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xcd7b4c…
05-14 03:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x51b84d…
05-14 03:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x18bcd8…
05-14 03:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xf3b46d…
05-14 03:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	42	59¢	$25	0xd4d9b3…
05-14 03:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x88c7e8…
05-14 03:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x38f9d5…
05-14 03:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x7952fc…
05-14 03:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x60b98f…
05-14 03:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x753b0e…
05-14 03:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x1a79c8…
05-14 02:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	48	6¢	$3	0x123fbf…
05-14 02:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xfab921…
05-14 02:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x70c29c…
05-14 02:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x3c5413…
05-14 02:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xf43352…
05-14 02:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xa43eff…
05-14 02:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	42	84¢	$35	0x1c1d53…
05-14 02:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xfe5f97…
05-14 02:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x455992…
05-14 02:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x0d8136…
05-14 02:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x09067c…
05-14 02:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xdabc45…
05-14 02:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0xd49549…
05-14 02:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x3b4ceb…
05-14 02:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x1fecb9…
05-14 02:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xcf6dd5…
05-14 02:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x11aea4…
05-14 02:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd857b0…
05-14 02:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x2f4738…
05-14 02:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x162873…
05-14 02:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x035a11…
05-14 02:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x24b9c8…
05-14 02:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0xf7ec79…
05-14 02:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xaa15a2…
05-14 02:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xe67e4f…
05-14 02:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	23	59¢	$14	0xd1b1c3…