Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

115

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$182

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 11-05 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

82% 55% +$1

Politics

16% 60% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 14 2026?	2	$5	10	+10	Yes	+$2	09-16 07:26
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?	2	$5	12	+12	No	-$1	09-13 23:04
will xauusd dip to 4300 by september 21 2026 from september 22	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-23 02:18
Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-08 01:09
will googl reach 355 by august 17 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-17 21:39
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-10 19:13
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-09 22:40
will warsh say integrity during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-22 11:47
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-09 00:50
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-21 06:09
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-17 03:37
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-18 15:48
will pltr reach 171 by september 7 2026 from september 10	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-11 06:13
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-08 18:45
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-20 22:07
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-17 18:22
will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-11 16:24
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-31 11:28
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 14:29
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	09-18 18:32
spy up or down on september 16 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$4	09-16 07:28
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-19 05:20
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$2	09-03 01:25
will hood dip to 85 by august 10 2026	1	$2	11	+11	No	-$2	08-10 06:26
will xauusd dip to 4300 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-17 04:00
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-09 02:54
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-22 01:13
will amzn dip to 256 by august 17 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-17 12:17
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-23 23:20
will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-13 00:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 02:59:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7cb2b0…
11-05 02:40:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xeb7476…
11-04 05:34:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x983295…
11-03 19:56:31	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1cb1ba…
11-03 11:43:52	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xaa92d9…
11-02 03:43:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5552cf…
11-01 19:35:27	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf8b3a5…
10-31 01:30:04	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x638da1…
10-28 04:56:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x92f5a4…
10-27 20:55:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xaafdef…
10-27 12:55:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x88211d…
10-27 04:35:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x85c5ba…
10-26 08:33:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7e018a…
10-26 00:11:24	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0f7b14…
10-25 16:10:06	US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x05649c…
10-25 05:29:18	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc010a2…
10-23 12:46:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd05a35…
10-23 04:41:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x74a738…
10-22 20:20:15	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x72937b…
10-22 12:13:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb4403b…
10-21 19:28:14	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xad34fd…
10-21 11:20:59	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x815c6b…
10-21 03:19:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb64179…
10-20 05:03:09	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5f9011…
10-19 21:02:37	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8410b3…
10-19 12:26:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf2e154…
10-19 04:26:05	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $92.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb0810d…
10-18 20:25:11	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xab08ed…
10-18 12:09:08	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa7cf49…
10-18 00:01:23	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc26fd0…
10-17 15:59:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3698c8…
10-17 04:25:21	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x30fcac…
10-16 12:33:00	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb9154e…
10-16 04:31:51	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe0f918…
10-15 20:26:11	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa731c7…
10-15 11:56:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9847ec…
10-14 15:38:43	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5c3d99…
10-14 07:37:11	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa9ec3e…
10-14 07:34:28	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd8d55d…
10-13 23:17:00	will meta dip to 730 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcd57a0…
10-11 14:35:16	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb65aa2…
10-11 05:09:20	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1cc848…
10-10 19:22:24	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x540188…
10-10 06:46:16	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x977c22…
10-09 20:15:26	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xed2714…
10-09 09:47:22	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbfcbad…
10-09 01:31:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9d3197…
10-08 17:30:42	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x84e931…
10-08 06:24:38	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x185f34…
10-07 22:22:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x05d9f8…
10-06 00:58:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x05f930…
10-05 15:28:47	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xda6c48…
10-05 00:13:58	will xauusd reach 4200 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x54311e…
10-02 14:16:41	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf22d03…
10-02 05:42:47	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x71f574…
10-01 11:38:09	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb79e2c…
10-01 03:32:30	will tsla reach 360 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x98187f…
09-30 18:59:18	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4e0833…
09-30 10:41:05	wti closes above 89 on september 30 2026	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe5b6af…
09-30 02:39:27	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa5fcd9…
09-29 00:35:29	will hood dip to 112 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xca7470…
09-28 15:38:05	will abnb dip to 154 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9f6997…
09-28 07:04:35	will nvda dip to 216 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1c023e…
09-27 22:46:00	will xauusd dip to 4150 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd2c507…
09-27 14:45:08	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa786d9…
09-27 06:23:23	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa7763b…
09-26 08:11:20	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe5f407…
09-26 00:01:05	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x237230…
09-25 15:01:36	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe4d6a6…
09-25 07:01:14	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5eed00…
09-24 23:01:03	will xauusd reach 4300 in september 2026 from september 24	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x81640c…
09-24 10:38:32	Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa4a315…
09-23 02:18:07	will xauusd dip to 4300 by september 21 2026 from september 22	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xf5b589…
09-21 06:09:34	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc955eb…
09-20 22:07:55	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x5e69ce…
09-19 05:20:40	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x517019…
09-18 18:32:36	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x3948f7…
09-17 18:22:30	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x4a3b39…
09-17 03:37:09	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd9a2c0…
09-16 07:28:18	spy up or down on september 16 2026	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x57ff83…
09-16 07:26:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x0bc270…
09-16 07:25:16	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xcec0b7…
09-13 23:04:01	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xe89738…
09-13 23:00:31	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x705e8e…
09-11 06:13:16	will pltr reach 171 by september 7 2026 from september 10	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xf9afd0…
09-10 19:13:07	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2b1543…
09-09 22:40:27	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0261cc…
09-09 00:50:33	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd6d2cf…
09-08 14:29:46	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x90a603…
09-08 01:09:24	Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xbffebb…
09-07 08:37:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x780dca…
09-03 01:25:54	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x562707…
09-02 20:35:12	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x5afbe9…
09-02 07:05:40	spy up or down on september 2 2026	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x161a40…
09-01 03:29:36	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x61d784…
08-31 19:28:54	Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe693ef…
08-31 11:28:14	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xbf86a0…
08-30 14:52:31	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x59fb1e…
08-29 18:42:30	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xba1efa…
08-29 10:12:57	will xagusd dip to 66 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xdf2514…