Elementary-Fireplace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-24 05:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

65% — —

Crypto

35% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	10	$4.6K	2,334	2,334	+0	open	—	01-21 03:22
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$943	475	475	+0	open	—	02-12 03:09
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	2	$927	464	464	+0	open	—	01-23 09:36
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 260 279	1	$472	472	0	+472	open	—	02-22 02:52
bitcoin above 78k on february 7	1	$470	471	0	+471	open	—	02-07 06:12
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	1	$468	469	0	+469	open	—	02-03 05:47
ethereum above 2100 on april 21	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	04-21 02:49
ethereum above 1800 on march 20	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	03-20 03:03
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 28	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	03-28 03:08
xrp above 1pt3 on march 22	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	03-22 06:53
bitcoin above 60k on march 29	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-29 03:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	1	$45	45	0	+45	Yes	+$0	05-05 08:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-30 05:17
bitcoin above 70k on april 17	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-17 05:19
ethereum above 2000 on april 22	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-22 02:37
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-13 02:39
solana above 70 on april 15	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-15 02:44
will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on april 10	1	$42	43	0	+43	open	—	04-10 02:34
ethereum above 1800 on april 2	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-02 03:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	05-02 03:45
bitcoin above 60k on april 7	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	04-07 03:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	04-26 03:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-22 10:11
bitcoin above 68k on march 21	1	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	03-21 09:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$39	39	0	+39	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:03
ethereum above 1800 on april 4	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	04-04 02:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	05-21 09:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	05-17 05:52
will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-23 03:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 29?	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	04-29 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 05:29:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xedefb3…
05-22 10:11:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x209fd6…
05-21 09:13:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xb15466…
05-20 07:10:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb723cb…
05-19 05:36:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x123586…
05-17 05:52:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x83b526…
05-16 05:18:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x40e8d7…
05-15 05:21:38	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x4d50fe…
05-14 05:42:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfdfc70…
05-11 09:03:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x6badd5…
05-07 02:13:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9e2c22…
05-05 08:11:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x710410…
05-02 03:45:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xdfb87e…
05-01 02:46:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 1?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x703b63…
04-30 05:17:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x0b363b…
04-29 08:44:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x4b362b…
04-28 02:57:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0c0cff…
04-27 02:31:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xa3f9b0…
04-26 03:06:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x3b49fc…
04-25 02:52:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xeaa3b1…
04-24 03:37:10	ethereum above 2600 on april 24	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0d2d1b…
04-23 03:00:00	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9f803c…
04-22 02:37:40	ethereum above 2000 on april 22	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xee20a8…
04-21 02:49:56	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x5bf928…
04-20 02:28:50	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5eee0b…
04-19 02:31:22	ethereum above 2100 on april 19	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x00e9f3…
04-18 03:01:38	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 19	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x300eb2…
04-17 05:19:28	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xd1bdbb…
04-16 02:48:38	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9bab35…
04-15 02:44:26	solana above 70 on april 15	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x6a840d…
04-14 06:39:57	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x40098a…
04-13 02:39:03	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x4f3acc…
04-12 02:31:13	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on april 12	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd15975…
04-11 02:30:03	bitcoin above 68k on april 11	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6519dd…
04-10 02:34:15	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on april 10	No	BUY	43	100¢	$42	0xd6ed97…
04-09 02:28:59	bitcoin above 66k on april 9	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x82c8bf…
04-08 02:25:15	ethereum above 1900 on april 8	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xba6fe7…
04-07 03:23:31	bitcoin above 60k on april 7	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x5a3943…
04-06 05:17:43	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 6	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x5ebe66…
04-05 02:39:09	bitcoin above 62k on april 5	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x552b17…
04-04 02:29:21	ethereum above 1800 on april 4	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xe129fb…
04-03 06:27:59	bitcoin above 62k on april 3	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x26ca6b…
04-02 03:07:59	ethereum above 1800 on april 2	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xfa1084…
04-01 02:35:47	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 1	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x232999…
03-31 02:31:43	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xed0731…
03-30 02:31:58	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xce5269…
03-29 03:20:02	bitcoin above 60k on march 29	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xf805af…
03-28 03:08:21	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 28	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x71f9f7…
03-27 02:30:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x15c739…
03-26 02:21:43	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3910a6…
03-25 08:52:43	ethereum above 1900 on march 25	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x6bebcb…
03-24 02:17:03	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 24	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x89632b…
03-23 03:13:15	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xcbc9bc…
03-22 06:53:57	xrp above 1pt3 on march 22	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x79ac9b…
03-21 09:02:55	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$39	0xdc3599…
03-20 03:03:17	ethereum above 1800 on march 20	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xc0e9ef…
03-19 03:17:05	solana above 110 on march 19	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfcedef…
03-18 02:58:53	bitcoin above 68k on march 18	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xec7b13…
03-17 09:33:17	xrp above 1pt4 on march 17	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xea3283…
03-15 02:30:35	ethereum above 1600 on march 16	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x809d46…
03-14 08:29:27	bitcoin above 66k on march 14	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0a2e37…
03-13 09:20:11	xrp above 1pt3 on march 13	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb321f7…
03-11 02:56:15	solana above 70 on march 11	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb6d536…
03-10 02:31:35	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 10	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9904ea…
03-09 05:16:25	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x466cda…
03-05 02:59:25	ethereum above 1800 on march 5	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8bde1a…
03-04 05:33:07	bitcoin above 60k on march 4	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd7aa7b…
03-03 02:57:15	bitcoin above 56k on march 3	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4b7389…
03-02 03:55:41	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 2	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6727eb…
03-01 04:08:45	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 1	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd4dfa8…
02-28 07:22:53	bitcoin above 68k on february 28	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4d18c1…
02-22 02:52:30	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 260 279	No	BUY	472	100¢	$472	0x297c38…
02-12 03:09:17	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	475	99¢	$472	0xa9c827…
02-11 02:37:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	475	99¢	$471	0x745abf…
02-07 06:12:11	bitcoin above 78k on february 7	No	BUY	471	100¢	$470	0xb9430d…
02-03 05:47:20	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	No	BUY	469	100¢	$468	0x376dde…
01-23 09:36:26	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	SELL	464	100¢	$463	0xe681e1…
01-22 03:03:36	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	464	100¢	$464	0x80f3bd…
01-21 03:22:26	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	465	100¢	$464	0xb1197e…
01-20 02:36:28	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	465	100¢	$464	0x5c2162…
01-14 06:22:34	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	466	100¢	$465	0x9646a6…
01-13 03:38:15	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	466	100¢	$465	0x893711…
01-12 03:48:36	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	466	100¢	$465	0xe97c18…
01-10 05:41:44	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	466	100¢	$465	0xea8883…
01-09 06:51:50	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	468	99¢	$465	0xc3ef15…
01-06 06:52:13	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	468	99¢	$465	0xcc781a…
01-05 11:05:51	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	469	99¢	$465	0x52c170…
01-03 09:10:39	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	469	99¢	$464	0xf60391…